Li Yushan5.9-5.10黄金原油收官策略附非农之战空单解套

投资市场你并不孤单，李昱山期待你的到来！金融领域，博大精深，每天行情波折不断，我所能做的就是用我多年的研究经验，给大家帮助。你有你的仓位,我有我的技术;你否定我的现在,我决定你的未来;你嘲笑我只会说大话,我可怜你总被止损;你可无视我们的建议,但我们会证明这是赚钱的趋势.翻仓注定是孤独的旅行,路上少不了盈亏.但那又怎样,即便天天熬夜,也要让你翻仓.
　　
　　————goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Friday（5month8Spot gold in Japan1710美元上方窄幅震荡，现报1717美元。周四尽管因各国解除封锁措施使得美股大涨，纳斯达克综合指数更是收复今年以来失地。但是黄金仍创出逾两周以来最大涨幅，因在周五关键月度就业报告之前，美国经济出现疲软迹象，同时美国利率futures市场首次开始消化从12月开始略微为负的利率环境，这使得美元自两周高位回落。尽管美国准备出台更多的刺激措施提振经济，可能短时间施压金价。但是持续扩大的债务水平和美联储持续刷新纪录的资产负债表规模可能意味着美国财政压力加大以及通胀飙升，从长期看也支撑黄金。但是昱山指出，在疫情出现明显好转之前，投资人可能不愿建立风险部位，美元仍具有魅力，因此仍需要警惕美元和黄金交替走强的局面。日内关注非农数据。目前市场预期是4The monthly non farm employment population in the United States is expected to decrease2200Ten thousand people, the largest decline in history, and poor data may continue to boost gold prices.
　　
Yesterday's gold bullish line, the daily line has broken the convergence triangle; Today's non agricultural data, given that gold has already broken levels1710Strong pressure, daily bullish, bullish, upward impact not ruled out once1725as well as1740Front high area. At present, gold is classified as a high-level horizontal consolidation at the daily level. Yesterday, it stepped back on the daily line to support the lower track. If we want to break through, we choose to move up, and4At the hourly level, it is also in a horizontal convergence and consolidation state, with the gold price dropping twice yesterday1685After gaining support, the market quickly pulled back, and then the market1705，1721Slow operation within the area.4The hourly low level has stabilized and rebounded, and the large positive release has achieved a breakthrough. Structurally breaking through the downward small step channel, standing firm1713Short term bullish. The current market is temporarily affected1720Pressure and4The hourly level Bollinger's upward pressure has rebounded, but the upward trend has not changed. It will continue to rise after today's volatility, and the daily pressure will be tested above1740区域！不过由于美盘的非农数据临近。亚欧盘还是横向整理为主。所以综合分析操作上昱山建议高空低多操作即可，上方关注1726—1728One line of resistance, pay attention below1700—1698Frontline support.
　　
　　————crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Thursday(5month7day)油价下跌供应过剩担忧挥之不去，盖过了沙特上调油价的利好。商品收盘，WTI 6Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.44USD, decline1.83%Settlement price report23.55dollar/Barrel; Brent7Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.26USD, decline0.87%Settlement price report29.46dollar/桶。原油期货宽幅震荡走低，供应过剩担忧挥之不去，盖过了沙特上调油价的利好，美油7Monthly contract rebates exceeding8%Rise, end of day sharp decline3%. Saudi Arabia's state-owned energy giant, Saudi Aramco, has raised the price6The prices of most grades of crude oil in the month drove up oil prices for a while, but in Saudi Arabia4月份出口创纪录的原油后，市场仍然严重过剩。
　　
　　昨日收出实体阴线并且结束了6Continuous positive trend, influenced by Wednesday morningAPIData is bearish, crude oil rises and falls during the opening session, while crude oil strengthens and rises during the Asian session26Above the front line but did not stabilize upward, followed by26Out of the decline, crude oil has been fluctuating and falling during the opening of the European market. We are prepared in advance to26.2做空也是没有给到点位就开始回落，翰林认为目前因美国库存增幅高于预期，在冠状病毒疫情驱动的需求下滑大背景下，促使重新关注供应过剩风险而且沙特5Monthly crude oil exports are expected to decrease to nearly10The lowest level in years. So there will be some high volatility in the short term of crude oil, and the US crude oil market will break through in the evening25First line, lowest touch24Nearby, follow the noon strategy to bring offline customers23.4Going long and bullish, causing prices to break through24After the first line, it regained its grip again, and the US market opened with crude oilEIAData is bullish, crude oil strengthens in the short term, pulls up a wave of hits24.8We have successfully eliminated multiple orders on the first line, but prices have been under pressure since then25There was not much fluctuation in the lower end of the trading day, and crude oil hit a small decline this morning23.4First line, but currently it has stopped falling, rebounded and stabilized24Above, currently from4小时来看原油触及布林带上轨之后冲高回落，但价格一直运行在布林带中轨上方运行，而且布林带中轨有点走平短线有点震荡，所以综合分析操作上昱山建议高空低多操作即可。下方关注23.0—22.8Frontline support, attention from above26.5—26.7A line of resistance.