Qin Zixin:5.8隔夜黄金暴涨迎非农，日内黄金走势操作分析

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Qin Zixin:5.8Overnightgold暴涨迎非农，日内黄金走势操作分析
　　
On Thursday, influenced by the downward trend in US bond yields, gold and silver also significantly increased. Asian and European gold hovering around1685-1695Between the US dollars, bulls suddenly gained strength during the US market, and spot gold broke through in a row1700、1710and1720dollar3At a major level, it briefly exceeded the daily limit2%, setting the largest daily increase in two weeks;COMEXgoldfutures更是涨至1730dollar/Ounces. Spot silver breakthrough15dollar/Ounces, highest touch15.41The US dollar, once exceeding4%。

　　——5.8Interpretation of Gold News——
　　
　　今晚，万众瞩目的非农报告终于要出炉。20:30To be announced in the United States4After the adjustment of the rose season, the non-agricultural employment population, with a previous value of-70.1万，预期值为-2200ten thousand people；同时将公布美国4Monthly unemployment rate, previous value was4.4%Expected value is16%。这将是本周，乃至近一个月来最重磅的数据之一。
　　
Wednesday'sADP数据已经令市场见识了就业市场的残酷现状，ADP就业数据录得-2023.6万人，这是史上第一份“千万级别”的就业数据，且远超前纪录低位。除了新增就业数据，失业率也值得关注。周四晚公布的初请失业金人数录得317万人，为连续第五周下降，但七周以来美国全国失业人数飙升至3300ten thousand people。
　　
Thursday, USA2021year1月份联邦基金利率期货报价显示，市场预期美联储有实施负利率的可能性：通常用作对冲美联储政策行动的欧元美元option显示，到2021By mid year, the Federal Reserve's policy interest rate will be as low as negative45Basis points。
　
　　——5.8Gold market analysis——
　　
　　黄金技术面来看，黄金日线来看：震荡下跌，KDJReorganize into a dead fork, with random indicators gently declining,MACDThe high dead cross is downward, and the green energy column is spreading downward, indicating that gold will not rise and will continue to retreat; Now, looking at the price of gold‘M’The double roof has been established,1740Forming a double roof and starting to fall, below1670The position forms a short-term support level, followed by1660重要支撑位，这是决定着此次底部非常关键的点，而短线方面一直在处于弱势回调格局之中，黄金避险降温非常明显，尽管价格已经站上1700关口上方，但是还是没有改变此前的主要下跌趋势，仍被限制在窄幅下跌区间内。　

From4From the hour chart, it can be seen that gold1670Frontline support stops the decline and rebounds, and gold returns to near the Bollinger track, with indicatorsKDJ拐头向上交金叉运行，短线呈现一定上行势能。布林线开口，金价偏向延布林线中轨向上运行，目前正试探1710The resistance near the integer level, if accidentally breached at this position, will weaken the short-term bearish signal, and gold is even expected to return to the Bollinger Line track1722Nearby resistance。
　　
　　综合来看，金价短线存在筑顶风险，所以今日短线操作思路上秦梓昕个人建议高空为主，低多为辅目前黄金整体运行在1692-1720区间震荡中。Short term focus above1720-1722Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1710-1708Frontline support, pay attention if breaking through1690-1692Frontline support。
　　
　　——5.8Suggestions for Gold Operations——
　　
　　1，空单策略：1718-1720附近做空，设置4Stop loss point for points, target1710.
　　
　　2，多单策略：1708-1710附近做多，设置4Stop loss point for points, target1720.
　　
　　——5.8非农走势预测分析——
　　
　　不少投机者青睐数据行情，尤其是非农数据，实在是因其难以预测并随之带来的行情巨大波动，瞬间产生的盈利带来的喜悦和刺激。不过不论什么数据，在笔者看来都是一时的蒙蔽人眼，纯粹的忽悠。数据一时的好与坏，不会影响方向与趋势。但是笔者更倾向于非农数据就是个赌博的借口和理由而已，成功的几率也就是百分之二十五。为什么这么说呢？来分析非农数据最有可能出现的行情：一，单边上；二，先下再上；三，单边下；四，先上再下。四种情况都有均等机会发生，各占百分之二十五而已。保守和稳健的投资朋友们应该放弃重大数据和风险事件行情，等待方向明确再入场。　

Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal views and does not constitute specific operational suggestions. Based on this, we are responsible for our own profits and losses, and investment is risky. We need to be cautious when entering the market.
　　
Author: Qin Zixin   QQ：974288610
　　
　　V-Letter:QZX3323，微信公众号：秦梓昕（关注公众号，每天第一时间获取每日资讯）
　　
Author's Message: Investment carries risks   Be cautious when entering the market
　　
Writing time:2020/5/7