市场开始押注美联储有跌入负利率的可能周四,美国2021year1月份联邦基金利率futures报价显示,市场预期美联储有实施负利率的可能性:通常用作对冲美联储政策行动的欧元美元option显示,到2021By mid year, the Federal Reserve's policy interest rate will be as low as negative45个基点。尽管在此前发言中,美联储官员重申负利率可能不会到来,鲍威尔也一直坚决反对利率降至负数的观点,但这并未阻止交易员投机,周四鸽派预期席卷了货币市场。随着降息预期升温,我们昨日目睹了一大奇景:两年期和5年期收益率均跌至历史新低。巴克莱首席美国经济学家MichaelGapen表示,这样的鸽派预期可能来源于,市场日益认识到美国可能正进入或已处于通缩螺旋之中。押注美国陷入负利率的鸽派预期升温,无疑是黄金的一大利好,昨日黄金在美盘时段狂飙近30美元,创下两周来的最大单日涨幅。
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Liu Jingcan, Senior Gold Analyst, Strength Analyst and Team Director, has a unique and distinct trading philosophy, with an average trading success rate80%Above, comprehensive guidance time: early7:00——In the early morning of the next day2:00。 guidanceVLetter:Ljj1632。Q-Q:2747672046。
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