Li Yushan:5.7黄金原油今日资讯看点附行情分析操作指导

如何成为一名成功的投资者达到持续稳定盈利的状态？由三个重要部分组成=Trading ideas/idea+Trading ideas(skill)+Trading sentiment(Market sentiment and personal sentiment)我们先简单的讲一讲交易思想/Concept, we will discuss trading sentiment in the future. The most crucial point in trading is to find the key point of your life and enter the market. How can you find this point? This can be applied to stage pricing algorithms! How to avoid so many trend traps? This needs to rise to trading thinking, which is your subjective understanding of trading. The inherent law of market fluctuations is the result of the game between the long and short sides, which is interactive. Trading ideas and concepts are important, skills are not important. The ideology is correct, the skills are natural.
　　
　　goldMarket trend analysis:
　　
Wednesday(5month6day)美元指数站上100关口，美国财政部再融资计划推动美元走强，日元兑美元升至七周高位，投资者在全球经济数据惨淡之际寻求避险。金价走低，现货黄金一度跌1.4%, refresh this week's low point to1682.07dollar/盎司，因美元走强、美债收益率攀升，和黄金供应将随着冶炼厂恢复运营而增加的预期令金市承压；随着各国开始放松疫情相关限制措施，投资者风险偏好逐步改善，降低了贵金属这种无息资产的吸引力。道明证券大宗商品策略主管指出，金价下跌，这可能是两个因素共同作用的结果，即纽约商品futuresexchange(COMEX)获得更多供应，且随着风险偏好增强和美元反弹，市场对黄金的兴趣可能略有下降。冶炼厂长达六周的关停给全球黄金供应造成打击，并助推纽约/伦敦黄金价差创下几十年来最阔水平。金价今年迄今已上涨约11%，因全球经济在大流行期间大幅下滑，全球最大黄金上市交易基金持仓量创2013year4月以来最高水平，这反映了投资者的兴趣。
　　
　　技术面来看：日线高位震荡；从日线来看，KLine on1670-1746区间横盘震荡，目前MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉；暗示黄金存在震荡下跌的可能性。下行方面，先留意布林带中轨1680一线，这受布林带中轨支撑；若跌破，支撑位下看上周五低点1670一线，这在4月中旬以来被多次测试。下破后会增加市场看空信号，看向4month21Daily low point1659.55附近；若再度失守，进一步支撑在1634.70This is affected by60日均线支撑，同时是1451.55-1747.36这波上涨的38.2%回撤位。若再度下破，留意1600关口，这受布林带下轨支撑，同时是50%回撤位，有较强支撑性。
　　
　　4hour1700附近震荡；四小时级别来看，布林带轨道走势平坦，MACD金叉但指数略低于0Below the axis,KDJ有死叉趋势、指数位于50附近；这表明金价短线多空相对焦灼，料维持震荡走势。现货黄金徘徊1700关口，上行方面，先关注60average1708附近，若上破则看向周一高位1714.67.若进一步走高，则留意4month30Daily high point1721.68，这受布林带上轨压制，阻力性较强。金价下方支撑位仍先关注1680First line, this is4小时图中近期多次测试的点位，有一定参考性。一旦失守，料测试1676Near the front line, this is supported by the lower track of the Bollinger belt. Once lost, material testing1670Frontline, if this point is missed, it will further trigger bearish sentiment in the market and is expected to be retested4month21Daily low point1659.55附近。综合来看：今日短线操作思路上老师个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1696-1700Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1670-1672一线支撑。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询老师jy82991Get it for free!
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:
　　
　　国WTI 6Monthly crude oil futures electronic price Wednesday(5month6day)Closing down0.99USD, decline3.74%Report25.50dollar/桶。油价急挫逾3%，因美国原油库存增加，柴油库存猛增，抵消了石油输出国组织(OPEC)主导的减产带来的提振，以及随着部分国家解封，需求将复苏的希望。交易商和业内消息人士表示，伊拉克尚未通知经常购买其石油的买家将减少出口，这表明该国在全面执行OPEC与俄罗斯等其他产油国达成的创纪录减产协议方面存在困难。两位熟悉数据的消息人士称，伊拉克以及尼日利亚和安哥拉等较小产油国执行力度不高，可能会打击OPEC+的减产努力，尽管俄罗斯5月前五天的石油产量降至87510000 barrels/日，接近全球减产协议为其设定的5Month and6month85010000 barrels/日的产量目标。美国能源信息署(EIA)周三表示，上周美国原油库存增幅低于预期，馏分油库存猛增，但汽油库存连续第二周下降。这表明需求出现缓慢复苏，投资者希望经济复苏，目前意大利、西班牙、尼日利亚和印度以及美国的一些州已经开始允许部分人员复工，并开放了建筑工地、公园和图书馆。德国联邦政府和16个州已经就解封方式达成一致。
　　
　　技术面来看：原油高位遇阻回调，KDJGolden cross, random index temperature up,MACDThe golden fork continues and the red energy column spreads upwards, indicating that crude oil is still in the upward trend and will continue to maintain a strong trend unless it falls below20.0Support, otherwise it will be difficult for crude oil to return10.0Below, althoughEIAThe data is bullish, but due to the sharp decline in crude oil in the US market, it is difficult for the data to fluctuate strongly. Now, the overall situation has fallen into low volatility. Below, we will first pay attention to5Daily moving average22.0Support, followed by20.0The checkpoint supports, and before losing two positions, the market tends to rise in the future. Follow Above First26.7Resistance, followed by27Resistance, if the position is breached, the resistance is expected to be explored28.0-30.0Area;
　　
Crude oil4From an hourly perspective: fluctuating and falling:KDJThe high dead cross extends downwards, and the random indicator extends downwards,MACDThere are signs of forming a dead fork, and the red energy column is decreasing; Indicating that the crude oil rebound will not take place, and there will be a retreat trend in the future26.0After encountering obstacles at the checkpoint, it began to retreat. Currently5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average creates reverse resistance, and the upper short-term focus26.7Frontline pressure level, further resistance at the high point of rebound27Nearby resistance, due to the insufficient rise in crude oil, the short-term trend is towards a correction and consolidation. Below, we will first focus on the low point22.5First line support, followed by20.0The support of the gateway is further supported by18.0On the first line, which is also a recent rising point, breaking the support of this position will end the bullish pattern of crude oil; However, due to the flattening of the three tracks of the Bollinger Belt, since the rebound of oil prices to the low point, the middle track of the Bollinger Belt has been supporting the periodic rise of oil prices, so the future market has not fallen behind the middle track21.0支撑之前，还是保持强势走势，综合来看，今日操作思路上昱山个人建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅；上方关注25.0-25.2Resistance, pay attention below22.0-22.2Support!
　　
　　很多时候我都在想，这个市场为何有如此之多的亏损者，总是消极、抱怨行情不好，老师不好，这不好，那不好，最终吃亏的仍然是自己。伸手需要一瞬间，牵手却要很多年，无论你遇见谁，他都是你生命该出现的人，绝非偶然”。昱山每写一篇文章，也是希望能遇到有缘人，我能帮助到他。投资我做了这么多年，也是比较信佛，相信缘分，命里缺金的投资人不在少数，其实缺的是一个贵人。也希望自己可以成为你的贵人，在我的投资生涯中，都坚持这样的投资理念：投资最重要的不是你一次能够赚取多少，而是你能不能控制风险，落袋为安，长久的立足生存。