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美东时间周三,国际金价收跌,接连失守1700USD and1690美元两大关口。截止收盘,纽约商品交易所黄金futuresThe most active market trading6Monthly gold futures price6日比前一交易日下跌22.1US dollars, closing at per ounce1688.5USD, with a decline of1.29%。美东时间周三,小非农——美国4monthADPDecreased employment population2023.6Ten thousand, far ahead of record low reduction70.8ten thousand people(Before correction, it was reduced74.2ten thousand people)。预期减少2050Ten thousand, the previous value was corrected to decrease14.9万,初值减少2.7万。当前的ADP就业数据是前所未有的。仅4月份的失业总人数就超过了金融危机期间失业总人数的两倍。但对于最新的ADP数据,美联储布拉德称“并不意外”。黄金市场近几个交易日一直围绕在1700dollar/盎司关口附近波动,黄金交易商Heraeus表示,黄金市场将迎来传统淡季,技术面也显现出动能乏力。此外,Heraeus认为,黄金市场看多预期有些过度。“上一次期金市场净多头持仓创下记录后的五个月里,金价跌去了差不多18%。此外,季节性因素影响下,接下去的夏季金价可能盘整,也可能走低。”黄金市场在经历了去年至今年一季度的大涨后,目前已经稳定在了1700dollar/About ounce level.Mauldin Economics投资策略师Jared Dillian表示,作为投资的黄金,眼下这种情况正是其凸显的时候。
黄金晚间短线跌破1700US dollar level, lowest hit1685美元一线!
黄金下跌原因:1、当前地缘政治冲突和贸易局势的变化正在巩固美元的涨势,相比之下,黄金和美股更可能出现异动。2、虽然黄金目前的交投区间比较狭窄,但由于对冲基金仍在继续多黄金期货和option,黄金价格隐含波动率在周二收盘收升至24%,运行于近期高位。而黄金波动率的上升意味着金价在未来可能出现更大起伏,而本周五非农最有可能成为触发金价大涨或暴跌的导火索。
Technical aspects of Meijin:
日图布林带三轨缩口运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉继续下行,KThe line intersects below the Bolin track,MACD位于零轴上方呈死叉缓和向下运行绿色动能维持放量,KDJ三线呈死叉继续朝下发散,日图行情表现弱势形态;4小时图上,布林带三轨缓和朝下运行,MA5Under the moving averageMA10均线交死叉向下,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方交死叉下行绿色动能小幅放量,KDJ三线呈死叉向下发散运行,金价短线有一定的下行动能,日内操作上建议反弹高空为主。上方初步阻力在1708Nearby, the resistance in the next step is1728; Preliminary support below1672Further support on1660;
Daily trading strategy(06Contract):
1Above1708-1728Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
2Below1672-1660Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
文章内容纯属作者个人观点,不做下单建议,具体行情以盘中趋势为准,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。
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