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在负油价、欧佩克+内部冲突、特朗普发推以及全球经济暴跌的情况下,严重的投资不足反而没有引起过多的注意。在接下的12reach18Monthscrude oil价格保持一定水平的主要原因便是没有足够的资金来投向成熟的油田。即使在最坏的情况下,即新冠疫情结束后的需求依然比2019Low annual demand per day1000Wanzhi1500Ten thousand barrels, and even this situation persisted until2021Year or2022At the end of the year, global industry will ultimately need more crude oil to resume production. The financial difficulties of the US shale oil industry, North Sea oil, and Canadian crude oil industries, as well as the increasing scarcity of investment in low-cost oil producing areas, will push the crude oil market into a new storm and ultimately lead to a surge in oil prices.
Tuesday(5month5day),市场风险情绪随着欧洲各国放宽封锁政策而回升,gold因此承压。但在经济前景不明以及货币财政刺激政策大力实施的环境下,不少分析仍看涨黄金。欧市盘中公布的经济数据仍然表现不佳。数据公司报告称,追踪私营部门活动的4Month UK "ComprehensivePMI”Exponential from3Of the month36Descending to last month's13.8. Any lower than50All readings will show shrinkage, while4月份的数据是有记录以来的最低水平。关注工纵好“志豪点金”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份!
——Analysis of Gold Trends——
From a technical perspective, spot gold rose nearly on Monday16USD, refresh daily high to1714.67dollar/Ounces. However, due to renewed concerns about international trade frictions in the market, the US dollar rose, and the sharp rise in oil prices led to a rebound in US stocks, leading to a decline in gold prices in late trading1702dollar/Around ounces and fell below on Tuesday1700The US dollar barrier. At present, the market is cautious about the possibility of a second outbreak of the epidemic. Meanwhile, the United States will set a record for borrowing in the second quarter3Trillion US dollars to fight the epidemic may exacerbate the country's debt pressure, so pay attention to the United States in the futureISMPMI' target='_blank'>Non manufacturingPMI. With the continuous stimulus measures taken by various countries and the gradual lifting of lockdowns, market risk sentiment may rebound, which may encourage some funds to flow back into the stock market, which may temporarily limit the rise of gold. Last day, while the US dollar continued to rebound, spot gold also continued to rise, briefly touching1710Above, concerns about a new round of trade war have ignited, driving investors to seek safety. During Tuesday's Asian session, gold prices were at1700Wandering near the checkpoint. The world's largest goldETF--SPDR Gold TrustIncrease in position compared to the previous day3.81Tons, increase rate0.36%, is continuous18The daily increase in holdings also indicates that the market's risk aversion sentiment is still very strong. Technically speaking1700The US dollar was previously a psychological resistance level for gold, breaking through this level means that bulls will continue to control the market and pave the way for testing higher resistance levels. The next resistance level for gold is1715、1728and1760USD. At present, the most important buying level for gold is1685、1660美元。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以反弹高空为主,上方短期重点关注1722-1727Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1685-1680Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1722-1727Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1706-1704frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1685-1680Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1710-1712frontline;
3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in the intraday market can be found on Zhihao Dianjin WeChat(bzd99996327)The actual offer shall prevail;
——原油走势分析——
From a technical perspective, crude oil fell yesterday and started to stabilize and recover, with the lowest decline18.0Horizontal consolidation and transition, with efforts to recover lost ground during the US market period. And broke through last Friday's high point20.30.The bulls accelerated and continued to break through the high, continuing again the next day. The daily chart closed positive, and the daily and weekly charts continued to see a rebound. The mid-term bottom rebound is slowly reversing the previous bearish trend with the release of short-term space.4When I step back on the support of the middle track of the stable Bollinger Road, I force myself to charge up and continue to YangKThe line has broken through, and the support for today's top to bottom conversion is20.30.After stepping back on the short line, the moving average indicator will continue to diverge upwards to form support. crude oil4The hour relies on breaking the high mouth20.30回踩顺势多,上方志豪建议先看22.60Break down and look again24.30.The hourly chart shows a rise in the structure of the first wave, and after sorting it out, it drives the second wave to break through the high and continue. The hour chart has fully developed into a bull headed structure, although there is a backpedaling along the way, it is also a preparation for upward momentum correction. After breaking the high yesterday, the push accelerated, and today it is supported by20.80 20.30.围绕支撑带低位多。所以综合分析今日操作上志豪点金建议低多为主,下方关注22-21.5Short term support, top focus27-27.5Short term resistance.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break27-27.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target18-18.2frontline;
2The downward correction of crude oil does not break22-21.5Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target22.5-22frontline;
3The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Zhihao Dianjin's official website||Wei:bzd99996327;
志豪寄语:这个市场没有常胜将军,更没有神这一说,分析师都有出错的时候,那么关键问题来了,笔者志豪点金个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.
Author: Zhihao Dianjin(Guidance hotline:bzd99996327) |
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