Li Yushan:5.5黄金原油早间市场行情点评附操作建议

-----goldToday's operation suggestions-----
　　
　　金价本周的走势无疑将与周内公布的央行决议和重磅数据相关。本周五市场将迎来—美国4月非农就业报告，该数据涵盖了美国整个疫情封锁时期，市场认为其将凸显出疫情封锁对经济的冲击，初请失业金数据表明过去六周有3000多万美国人申请了失业救济，本周的非农数据的糟糕程度显然将创下纪录。美国非农就业报告将于本周五5month8Daily Beijing Time20:30出炉，目前媒体调查显示，美国4月季调后非农就业人口将减少2200Ten thousand, United States4月失业率将飙升至16%，4月平均时薪月率料从0.4%Slide down to0.3%。
　　
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded and closed higher last Friday, initially suppressing and then rebounding. At the beginning of the trading session, it was under pressure and fell, hitting a new low within the week1670.40The area has stabilized and rebounded, recovering some lost land. At the same time, forcefully converting the daily chart into a big positive line for closing, the fluctuation base of the day increases, and it is normal for fluctuations to be repeated. And the weekly line closed as a small negative line, closing at5日线上方，那么我们来分析今天的行情。本周一开盘在5日均线附近。周线上涨中的停顿震荡修正阶段。日图进入夹角区间，下方有30Daily support, while previous lows1660未失守，日图构造双顶回落的形态暂时还未成立，短线宽幅震荡。本周数据较多，重点要留意周五的非农数据报告，技术面暂时看高位震荡。短线4Temporarily entering the box section during the hour of oscillation, due to the above1747 1738The high point moves down the contraction range, while the low point below1660 1670两个低点也在上移，短线进入窄幅箱体区间。暂时高位震荡等待破位。
　　
　　本周短线操作也看来回拉锯。4Pay attention to the upper part after local continuous positive rebound during the hour1715、1723附近阻力。预计短线是先扬后抑的震荡。小时图一波连式的强势反攻，使得价格重新回到中短期均线之上。长期均线之下开始凌乱震荡，均线指标走得乱，说明短线暂时也走不出单边，继续卡点操作。综合来看，今日操作上lysa1918建议以回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅。上方重点关注1718Frontline resistance, focus on below1695Frontline support.
　　
　　-----crude oilToday's operation suggestions-----
　　
According to last Saturday(5month2day)公布的每周金融市场调查显示，上周原油价格双双录得反弹，美国WTICrude oil rebound16.8%Brent crude oil rebounded6.6%There has been some improvement in the fundamental situation. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)5month1A new round of production reduction measures will be implemented from the beginning of the day, but the latest data shows that,4monthOPECCrude oil production has increased to daily levels3025Ten thousand barrels, this is more than3The adjusted production for the month has increased161Ten thousand barrels. This has once again raised concerns in the market about whether the scale of this round of production reduction is sufficient. Crude oil rebounded and closed higher last week, with its lowest decline at the beginning of the week10.0Starting from a low level and stabilizing, after a short-term stop from falling, it has launched a four consecutive positive counterattack, reaching its highest point at the end of the week20.30High position, final weekly harvest with a positive line. The daily chart rebounded continuously. This week's opening was short and low, continuing last week's low opening trend. The previous week, it hit a high closing point, and the following week, it opened low and confirmed support. Currently, the technical side has entered a low bottom, and this downward and upward trend may be repeated. Firstly, the technical side is doing chassis consolidation, and secondly, waiting for improvement in the news side. Looking at the bottom of the daily oscillation chart.
　　
Crude oil6号合约短线图：短线4The hour has seen a strong counterattack of a continuous positive trend, and currently the short-term bulls are still maintaining good performance without any sense of pause. The attached indicators have temporarily entered a high position, and the short-term indicators are waiting for confirmation of support after stepping back. At the same time, the indicators will be corrected before moving up again.4小时看多，但留意周初的回踩深度。金市良臣认为小时图由于前期三次探高20.30附近不破高，连续承压回落，昨日美盘已经强势打破，强势上涨台阶依然保持完好，短线依然是震荡偏强的格局。
　　
　　目前短线由于21.6轻微承压，今日继续看多原油，小幅回踩即可多单继续跟进。所以综合分析今日操作上lysa1918建议低多为主，下方关注19.8-20.0Short term support, this position is the high point area explored three times in the early stage, and this area is expected to form a top to bottom transition; Pay attention to the resistance above first06The high point position of contract number22.6，触及此位短空一次行情千变万化，点位仅供参考
　　
　　以上就是给大家分享的一点个人拙见，见笑的朋友望指出不足，认同的朋友谢谢你们的支持。其实在结果出来前我们所有的分析都是猜测，有计划的交易布局好过一头撞进未知的行情中找不到方向，大行情当然是大利润，但其中的风险同样值得我们去畏惧，我更希望的是通过轻仓复利的方式扩大利润，而不是期望一单重仓，一面辉煌一面苍凉，如果你的对交易的态度与我不谋而合，欢迎跟上我的节奏，与我一起共同迎战每一个明天。