Liang Qiandong5.4黄金原油今日走势分析及操作建议附解套

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市场如天气，说变就变，方才涨势如虹，顷刻间又溃不成军，懂得见好就收才是获利的基本原则。很多时候因为不愿意放弃手中的一粒石子而最终错失地上的宝石，所以阻止你前行的，不是人生道路上的一百块石头，而是你鞋子里的一粒沙子。本性的苏醒，往往在遭遇真实之后，在比夜更深的地方，一定有比夜更黑的眼睛。没有糟糕的事情，只有糟糕的心情。追逐后的疲惫需要时间才能缓解，而交易留下的伤痛需要总结后重新拼杀才能痊愈。在这里，只有不断的成长和进步才是跟上市场步伐的唯一途径。

crude oil：本周国际油价反弹收高，美国原油库存增长低于预期，而且随着欧洲部分国家和美国一些城市放松疫情封锁举措，对石油需求增长的预期升温。但市场依然担心全球储油能力有限，能源行业正不惜代价地寻找储油空间。且预计随着逐步解除抗疫期间而采取的限制措施，燃料需求仅会缓慢复苏。

美国总统周三称，政府将很快公布帮助美国石油企业的计划。财长努钦(Steven Mnuchin)表示，计划可能包括在已很充裕的国家石油储备再增加数以百万桶计的石油。雪佛龙和埃克森美孚等九家企业已同意出租场地，用于储存美国紧急石油储备中的2300万桶原油。

gold：汇通网CTFC持仓数据：美国商品futuresTrading Committee(CFTC)5month1日发布的报告显示，截止至4month22Solstice4month28日当周：欧元看多意愿降温；黄金看多意愿升温，黄金投机性净多头增加13158Hand contract, to262729手合约，表明投资者看多黄金的意愿升温。

Gold trend analysis:

Gold（4.29）Daytime prices fluctuate and rise before testing1720Near the front line, the European market subsequently launched a correction adjustment as expected, and the US market broke through during the trading period1700、1690Support, retreat below once to1680Nearby, and has been fluctuating at a low level since then. Yesterday, the overall backtesting intensity was relatively strong, and in the early stage1690The upward trend broke through, and the daily line closed at a solid saturated medium negative line, running through the short cycle moving average band. The probability of a pullback increases. From a technical perspective of gold, in terms of daily structure, yesterday's bearish trend was relatively strong, and the appearance of this bearish trend largely made short-term market operations better. In the future, short-term market trends are likely to have inertia and continue to decline and callback. So the focus below is still on following first1680Nearby oscillation, if it falls below, the target area for expected pullback may widen to the previous low point1660Even if it is not ruled out to retreat to areas with high trading intensity in the early stage1650-40The possibility of the region. At present, the focus above is on moving average pressure, namely1695-1705Belt, followed by above1710-1720It is highly likely that it will be difficult to rebound, as yesterday's bearish candlestick penetrated and fell below the moving average,1680The support gained rebounds, but it does not mean stopping the decline. The market is allowed to rebound within the day, but as long as it does not stand above the moving average, it is still advisable to follow the downward trend and operate in the short term4From an hourly perspective, prices are currently arranged in a dead cross pattern,KDJThe phenomenon of rapid decline on the fast line hitting the bottom and rebounding oil,MACD红色动能柱放量减弱，上周的急跌几日需要消化，反弹属于正常现象，上方压力位主要在MA10Daily line and20Below the daily line1697-1703Range, the highest rebound in morning prices was also hindered by1692附近，综合来看，短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1695-1700Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1660-1665Frontline support.

Analysis of crude oil trend;

上周迎来大涨行情，周初二次下探10,周三周四出现极强单边上涨走势，一举上破18，周五切换到新合约价格出现跳涨，最高至23.2，周线收大阳线。从这次原油交割的时间来看，4month16日是06合约的交割，4month30日是07合约的交割，相差也就半个月的时间，这说明市场流动性问题已经得到改善。再从基本面上来看，欧洲大部分国家已经复工，美国已经过了峰值，一旦美国经济恢复，原油的需求量也会大大增加。因此，原油后市依然保持看涨的思路，顺势多为主，下周关注下24附近压力，若回落19-18附近可尝试做多。刚入市的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对咱们做投资来讲是很大的困扰，所以梁乾东欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步，让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向，做最稳健的单子。
　　心中的恐惧，永远比真正的危险巨大的多，勇气是控制恐惧心理，而不是心里毫无恐惧。人一生下就会哭，笑是后来才学会的，所以忧伤是一种低级的本能，而快乐是一种更高级的能力。不能左右行情波动的方向，但可以改变交易的思路；不能预见明天，但可以珍惜今天。尝试去把别人拍过来的砖砌成结实的地基，生活就不会那么辛苦了。行动不一定带来快乐，而无行动则决无快乐。交易的缺点就像花园里的杂草，如果不及时清理，很快就会占领整座花园而最终将你埋葬在花园里。