5.3黄金收官反弹、非农来袭，黄金能否再度迎来大跌？

Spotgold时隔一周后重新收跌，终盘走低1.64%to1698.90dollar/Ounces. The Federal Reserve opened the door to expanding monetary easing measures, which hit the expectation that the economy would soon recover from the COVID-19 epidemic. since3month21Over the past few days, the cumulative number of new applicants for unemployment benefits has increased to3030Ten thousand is equivalent to almost one out of every five workers losing their jobs in just over a month. US Q1 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)The month on month annual rate is shrinking4.8%, USA4The monthly manufacturing activity index fell to11At the lowest point in the year, due to strict measures taken to slow down the spread of the epidemic, the United States almost came to a halt, and the longest economic expansion in American history came to an end.5month4day-10This week, the market will welcome the monthly US non farm employment report, which is expected to perform unprecedentedly poorly. There are also trade accounts from multiple countries, as well as heavyweight data such as China's foreign reserves and social finance, which will be released one after another. In terms of events, the Federal Reserve of Australia and the Bank of England will hold interest rate meetings, and multiple Federal Reserve officials will also deliver public speeches one after another. Investors also need to pay attention to the global development of the epidemic and the measures taken by various countries.
　　

This week, gold fell first and then rose, reaching a low point1670.5, high point1721.9Similar to last week's market situation, the range has not changed significantly, but it has increased compared to last week's low point8个点，连续三周最高点有一个下跌趋势形成，下方连续两周最低点不断抬高又有一个上升趋势，呈现三角区域末端整理行情，在国际局势动乱的情况下，黄金主体趋势还是优先看涨对待。志豪点金从技术面来看，周线收下引线实体阴线，MA5The weekly moving average is slightly downward, while below1670-60There is strong support in the region, and the overall approach is tentatively based on the interval, with a focus on attention1725-1670The stretching and breaking situation of the interval. The daily line ended its consecutive negative decline last Friday and rebounded1700关口收盘，布林带上下轨区间逐步缩小，多空都有机会进场。从四小时盘面来看，4hourKLine4Continuous stretching, under pressureMA30\MA60average1705The resistance level has fallen and ended this week's market. There is still a possibility of further upward trend in the short term, as shown in the attached indicatorsKDJGolden fork,MACDThe green energy pillar is shrinking, and the gold price is moving upwards towards the middle track of the Yanbulin Line,STOThe indicator fast line has entered the overbought zone, and there is no rule out the possibility of an upward trend1710关口后回踩修复指标。综合来看，周一短线操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1716-1718Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1686-1688Frontline support.
　　

​————Internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Friday（5month1In Japan, OPEC and its allies officially began implementing97010000 barrels/The daily crude oil production has decreased. However, on Thursday, US President Trump mentioned the possibility of imposing tariffs on China in response to questions from reporters, causing market anxiety. The oil market closed with mixed gains and losses:WTIcrude oil6monthfutures收涨上涨94Cents, increase5%Report19.78dollar/Barrel; Brent crude oil7Monthly futures decline4Cents, or0.2%Report26.44dollar/Bucket. Despite a sharp decline in crude oil demand, the current performance of US shale oil producers remains strong, but the decline in drilling numbers may indicate more troubles in the future.
　　
From a technical perspective, crude oil is affected by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)(OPEC)And its allies have started record cutting production to address the oversupply caused by the health crisis, coupled with most countries planning to reopen their economies, giving oil prices a chance to rebound; US crude oil rose on Friday4.5%At one point during the trading session, it rose to20Above the US dollar, the daily chart recorded four consecutive bullish days,MACDandKDJGolden cross operation, further exploration of oil prices in the middle track of the Bollinger Line20.44Signs of nearby resistance, if broken, are expected to be further explored4month21Daily high point22.58and4month17Daily high point26.78Nearby resistance; However, as oil prices are still being suppressed by the mid track resistance of the Bollinger Line, if oil prices cannot effectively break through this level, there is still a need to be vigilant about the risk of oil price fluctuations and declines. Below is preliminary support for reference to Friday's low point18.07Nearby, further support at10Daily moving average16.29Nearby, currently5Daily moving average uploaded10The sign of the daily moving average, which is also a crossing point, can serve as a reference for the short-term long short boundary. If oil prices stick to this position, there is still a chance to continue the trend of oscillation and rebound; Although Saudi Arabia4We reached an agreement to suspend production in mid month, but after4For most of the month, storage concerns continue to put pressure on the market. Global production capacity may vary6Reached its maximum in mid month, due to storage,2020The energy demand for the year may decline6%，创下纪录。志豪点金认为，如果已经不堪重负的储油能力每周都变得越来越满，油价上涨就不可能持续很长时间，因为问题还没有真正解决。减产协议即使没有预期的利好，至少也不会是利空，此外如果经济重启，这个绝对是重大利好，考虑这两样因素总体下月还是利多的，现在需要关注的是库存不足的风险。综合分析来看，短线操作上志豪点金建议高空为主，上方关注22-22.3Resistance, short-term focus below18.0-18.2Frontline support.
　　
　　这里没有华丽的语言，没有浮夸的利润，只有最朴实无华的基本分析操作。健杰相信是金子总会发光，天生我材必有用，健杰专业单一操作黄金品种，十年磨一剑，只想用心做到顶尖！
　　
Author: Zhihao Dianjin(Guidance hotline:bzd99996327）
　　
Author's message: May you and I start with words, adapt to character, fall into technical difficulties, persist in kindness, and finally have character.