Liang Qiandong5.3Looking back on this week5.4下周黄金原油走势分析及操作建议

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流于表面的光鲜，很容易被光阴的风沙吹散，抹去印象的痕迹，看一路风景，感受世事的兴衰更替，温暖人性的光辉，用心去体验，总有一天，你我都会老去，能否清晰的记得那些透着岁月回忆的日子，总有一天，单边会光临城下，能否感受到那些博弈的肻间，止盈后感动到泪流满面。

周末总结

刚刚过去的一周，陆续公布的数据显示出疫情对欧美等国家地区的巨大打击。同时疫情缓解的情况下多国正准备放宽封锁政策。但周四美国总统的一番言论令地缘政治风险重现。现货goldOnce dropped to1670.25dollar/盎司。尽管随着地缘政治风险的增加，现货黄金在周五美市盘中重回1700dollar/盎司水平，但本周金价仍下跌了逾1.5%，收跌于1680dollar/盎司左右。金价基本保持在前一周的区间内，与美元一道下跌。全球减产协议（幅度为97010000 barrels/日）于周五生效，但石油市场的基本前景仍然黯淡。供应和库存问题是阻止任何有意义的反弹的两个关键因素。本周，6monthfutures上涨了略高于9％，在周二交易价格跌至10美元附近后恢复良好。

展望下周，市场将迎来每月一度的美国非农就业报告，预计数据表现将史无前例糟糕。另有多国贸易帐，以及中国外储和社融等重磅数据出炉将先后出炉。事件方面，澳洲联储和英国央行将先后召开议息会议，多位美联储官员也将相继发表公开讲话。投资者还需关注疫情在全球的发展以及各国的举措。

Analysis of gold market trend:

Gold（4.29）Daytime prices fluctuate and rise before testing1720Near the front line, the European market subsequently launched a correction adjustment as expected, and the US market broke through during the trading period1700、1690Support, retreat below once to1680Nearby, and has been fluctuating at a low level since then. Yesterday, the overall backtesting intensity was relatively strong, and in the early stage1690The upward trend broke through, and the daily line closed at a solid saturated medium negative line, running through the short cycle moving average band. The probability of a pullback increases. From a technical perspective of gold, in terms of daily structure, yesterday's bearish trend was relatively strong, and the appearance of this bearish trend largely made short-term market operations better. In the future, short-term market trends are likely to have inertia and continue to decline and callback. So the focus below is still on following first1680Nearby oscillation, if it falls below, the target area for expected pullback may widen to the previous low point1660Even if it is not ruled out to retreat to areas with high trading intensity in the early stage1650-40The possibility of the region. At present, the focus above is on moving average pressure, namely1695-1705Belt, followed by above1710-1720It is highly likely that it will be difficult to rebound, as yesterday's bearish candlestick penetrated and fell below the moving average,1680The support gained rebounds, but it does not mean stopping the decline. The market is allowed to rebound within the day, but as long as it does not stand above the moving average, it is still advisable to follow the downward trend and operate in the short term4From an hourly perspective, prices are currently arranged in a dead cross pattern,KDJThe phenomenon of rapid decline on the fast line hitting the bottom and rebounding oil,MACDThe red kinetic energy column has weakened in volume, and yesterday's sharp decline needs to be digested for a few days. The rebound is a normal phenomenon, and the pressure level above is mainly in theMA10Daily line and20Below the daily line1697-1703Range, the highest rebound in morning prices was also hindered by1692附近，综合来看，短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1695-1700Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1660-1665Frontline support.

crude oilMarket trend analysis:

原油小时图显示，在形态上看原油出现了NType breakthroughs can be subdivided intoABC，NBreakthrough can only be considered as a three wave structure. If further evolution into an upward driving wave is needed, further extension is needed. The minimum standard isCThe rise of the waves should exceedAIt's best to give the wave an increase in amplitude%168位置，然后出现四浪回撤与五浪上涨。综合来看梁乾东认为，油价在一波连续上涨后，上涨动能出现了削弱迹象，目前处于18.0-20.2During the interval oscillation, there is a sense of deja vu, which is also the weekend review. If we hold onto the support of the oscillation interval18.0The probability is that the upward trend will continue, and if it breaks below the high probability, it will retreat and seek support16.0Next week's trading, we will consider a pullback layout with multiple orders as the main focus, and a rebound short selling as a supplement. The top will pay attention to20.4-22.0dollar/Bucket, lower support attention18.0-16.0dollar/Bucket.
　　有一天，觉得累了，不想看形神交错的脸，不想看世事无常的纷争，不想看天地间那份遥远，不想看日复一日的单调频繁，那时，就准备一个简单的行囊，去感受旅途中的别致。有一天，趋势来了，不想见震荡中的洗盘，不想见阴阳交错时的变脸，不想见单边时的措手不及，不想见资金缩水时的无奈，那时，就准备好一次性的勇敢，去感受我们引领下不一样的风景。