Xu Bohong:5.3美国制造业深跌黄金绝地反击，黄金原油下周行情分析策略

Article outline:gold下周后市如何操作？黄金下周后市走势预测；黄金还会涨吗？crude oil行情分析；后市如何操作布局？黄金空单被套了怎么解套？下周有哪些消息面影响黄金走势；目前黄金的支撑和阻力是多少；什么是地缘政治？地缘政治如何影响黄金的走势？投资黄金亏损如何挽回损失？foreign exchange市场操作需要注意哪些事项？怎么操作把握稳健收益？炒黄金、原油亏损的原因是什么？
　　
　　各位投资朋友们，当你看到这篇文章时，我已经明白你目前遇到困境，那么首先笔者徐博鸿想表明一点，你们能够在千万分析师中看到我的文章这是一种缘分，既然是一种缘分，那么我希望能够保持下去，找到我并且与我交流，那么你目前遇到的困境或许是徐博鸿做分析师以来见到过到许许多多例子当中的其中一个而已，所以你可以把所遇到的问题都拿出来与我交流，既能够让自己能够在我这边多学习一点知识，也能够多明白一点道理，甚至能够在这个变化莫测的市场中持续存活并持续获利。当然你目前持续在亏损，那么你便要在心里在反问自己的问题出现在哪里，还是说我缺少一个和自己有默契的老师？那么我想只要你认真的看了徐博鸿的这篇文章，那么你必定会有收获，对目前的困境抓住一根稻草。刚入市黄金原油的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息.这对咱们做黄金来讲是很大的困扰.所以徐博鸿欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步.让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向.做最稳健的单子.
　　
　　黄金—原油行情消息面；
　　
　　黄金；美国股市收低，但因各国陆续重启经济，提振市场的风险偏好，加上临近月末，投资者并未买入黄金，而是选择获利了结，这使得黄金一度触及1680关口。不过数据显示第一季ETF黄金持仓跳增300吨，整体持仓则是突破3000吨，创下历史新高。同时越来越多的机构押注第二季度美国经济可能会进一步大幅差于预期，且巨量刺激引发的通胀和债务危机也将逐步显现，从长期看黄金仍偏向于多头。
　　
Crude oil; On Friday, international oil prices continued to rise,WTIcrude oilfuturesAscend to20dollar/Above the barrel, the intraday rise exceeded6%, reaching a new high in two weeks; Brent crude oil futures rose above expectations4.7%Report27.76dollar/Bucket. Afterwards, it turned downward and approached at one point18The US dollar barrier. But it rose again in the evening, as of20:00，WTICrude oil futures return20dollar/Above the barrel, Brent crude oil futures rose within the day, reporting26.51dollar/Bucket. Oil prices have risen for three consecutive trading days due to intensified global production cuts and signs of recovery in the physical market. enter5After the month, major oil producing countries such as Saudi Arabia and Russia will implement joint production reductions in accordance with the agreement97010000 barrels/Heaven. Amidst the urgent situation of global oil storage space approaching saturation, there have been reports that Saudi Arabia has started to reduce production ahead of schedule. OPEC's rotating chairman called for full implementation on Friday4The monthly production reduction agreement calls for the implementation rate of production reduction in various countries of the group to exceed100%. According to reports, according to the OPEC agreement, Basra in Iraq has started to reduce production, and Norwegian oil, Kuwait Oil Company, Oman Oil, and others have also started to reduce production. As news of the reduction continues to spread, concerns about oversupply among market participants are gradually easing.
　　
Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
　　
Gold（4.29）Daytime prices fluctuate and rise before testing1720Near the front line, the European market subsequently launched a correction adjustment as expected, and the US market broke through during the trading period1700、1690Support, retreat below once to1680Nearby, and has been fluctuating at a low level since then. Yesterday, the overall backtesting intensity was relatively strong, and in the early stage1690The upward trend broke through, and the daily line closed at a solid saturated medium negative line, running through the short cycle moving average band. The probability of a pullback increases. From a technical perspective of gold, in terms of daily structure, yesterday's bearish trend was relatively strong, and the appearance of this bearish trend largely made short-term market operations better. In the future, short-term market trends are likely to have inertia and continue to decline and callback. So the focus below is still on following first1680Nearby oscillation, if it falls below, the target area for expected pullback may widen to the previous low point1660Even if it is not ruled out to retreat to areas with high trading intensity in the early stage1650-40The possibility of the region. At present, the focus above is on moving average pressure, namely1695-1705Belt, followed by above1710-1720It is highly likely that it will be difficult to rebound, as yesterday's bearish candlestick penetrated and fell below the moving average,1680The support gained rebounds, but it does not mean stopping the decline. The market is allowed to rebound within the day, but as long as it does not stand above the moving average, it is still advisable to follow the downward trend and operate in the short term4From an hourly perspective, prices are currently arranged in a dead cross pattern,KDJThe phenomenon of rapid decline on the fast line hitting the bottom and rebounding oil,MACDThe red kinetic energy column has weakened in volume, and yesterday's sharp decline needs to be digested for a few days. The rebound is a normal phenomenon, and the pressure level above is mainly in theMA10Daily line and20Below the daily line1697-1703Range, the highest rebound in morning prices was also hindered by1692Nearby, overall, Xu Bohong's personal suggestion for short-term operation is to focus on rebounding from high altitude, with a focus on short-term operations above1695-1700Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1660-1665Frontline support. Friends who have no direction or losses in the market can find Xu Bohong:xbh768Solve it, even small funds have the conditions for profitability. Large funds make big profits, small funds make small profits, and act within our capabilities!
　　
Analysis of crude oil market trend:
　　
Looking at the crude oil daily chart, crude oil closed at the physical bullish candlestick yesterday, and the Asian session opened with crude oil15The first line of stabilization is beginning to rebound, influenced by the previous day's crude oilEIAThe impact of positive data led to a sharp rebound in crude oil, as there were signs that the U.S. crude oil surplus was less than expected, and the crude oil demand hit by the restrictions of the COVID-19 epidemic began to rebound. However, Xu Bohong believes that the rebound is minimal, and no one should mistakenly believe that the collapse of the global energy market is coming to an end. At the beginning of the European market, crude oil has been gradually rising and stabilizing17The performance of the first tier prices is very strong, and Xu Bohong also followed the strategy to lead offline customers to buy long today and seize the profit space. The US market prices have been constantly reaching new highs, but the highest rebound has occurred18.6A sharp drop occurred nearby, reaching its lowest point16.5Nearby, in the latter half of the night, oil producing countries announced that they would reduce production and there were signs that the increase in US crude oil inventories led to another stabilization and ultimately stabilization of crude oil prices18First line and closing at19Above, currently with the highest rebound20.4Short term pressure on the front line, Xu Bohong is currently under pressure from4小时来看价格一直企稳中轨一线之前，而且中轨一直逐步勾头向上短期有点偏强。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上徐博鸿个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注21.0-21.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below18.0-17.5Frontline support. Real time market changes, add author Xu BohongWeiXinNumber（xbh768）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!
　　
　　徐博鸿做单思路解析；
　　
　　一、及时设置止损：这个问题相关的文章很多，有的散户见一次止损后没几天行情又涨了回来，下次就抱有侥幸心理不再止损，这是不行的。就我而言，决不容许出现超过10%的亏损。“截断亏损，让利润奔跑”，确是至理名言啊。但话又说回来，如果你没有自己的赢利模式，你的结局也就是买入，止损，再买入再止损。
　　
　　二、自我信任不犹豫：很多朋友分析昨天行情头头是道，判断今天走势模棱两可，制定好的策略不去执行，前怕狼后怕虎。一个没有目标的人是可悲的，但一个没有执行力的人是可笑的。没有目标的人将在这个市场为别人实现目标，没有计划的人终将有一天被别人计划。
　　
　　三、交易要有节奏感：对主力的操盘方法没有一个系统的认识，投资原油沥青等现货就像盲人摸象，毫无章法，运气好时也能赢两把，运气不好了就一败涂地。所以散户总是唱“为什么受伤的总是我”的那个人。
　　
　　四、避免追涨杀跌：在交易中不愿放过每一个机会，看见大盘涨了一点就急忙杀入，根本不清楚自己能有几成胜算，结果一下又被套住了，其实这是由于水平低下，缺乏自信所致，如果你能有几套适用于不同环境市场的赢利模式，那么不管原油黄金行情涨、跌还是盘整，你都有稳健的获利办法，你就能从容不迫的等待趋势明朗时再介入，把风险降到最低。
　　
　　博鸿寄语；
　　
　　多空的快速转换，总是让人措手不及，方向的转换往往只在那一瞬之间，多少人冒着风险成为了市场的炮灰。每一笔交易都是心中多空抗衡后的结果，入场前对于市场而言，多空似乎都有理有据，只是每个人看待问题的角度不同而已，而决定自己入场方向的理由需要首先说服自己，同时入场前首要考虑的应该是自己能够承受的风险而非利润，关键点位一旦失守需要果断离场斩断亏损的魄力！能接受亏损才能享受利润！这条路上心态很重要，失败并不可怕，可怕的是你不愿意总结，如果你始终是一成不变，那你才是真正的失败！不管你现在处于什么样的状态，徐博鸿迎都希望这些文字能给你带来一丝丝的帮助！如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰；找不到方向；长期处在亏损中，或许可以和我谈谈。能不能合作暂且不谈，能够解开你的心结，这才是最重要的
　　
This article is written by Xu Bohong (Wei Xin:xbh768---公众号：徐博鸿）供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。