Xu Bohong:5.1Short positions in spot gold seize the initiative, cautious pursuit of long positions in crude oil, with European strategy attached

Today is a holiday for workers, and Bohong wishes all workers a happy holiday5月的到来，让国内疫情开始慢慢好转，在此博鸿向疫情期间付出辛苦工作的每一位人员表示诚挚的祝福，希望你们一身平安，同时今天亚洲很多市场休市，行情比较淡，对于博鸿来说自从入gold市场，客户不休息，我们不休息，客户放假，我们还在你身边，一直默默的为每一位充满热情的客户提供专业的服务与指导，从业9Countless apprentices and students have been brought out over the past year, hoping to change your lifestyle and level through investment. As the saying goes, what others have is not as good as what you have, and what others know is not as good as what you know. No one will accompany you until you go forever, but Bohong will give you the confidence and confidence to go forever. Don't miss an opportunity to learn and earn money.
　　
Goldcrude oil市场解读：
　　
On Thursday, gold prices fell sharply, and the bearish signals on the technical side significantly increased; Moreover, European and American countries plan to restart their economies and increase market risk bias, which poses further downward risks to gold prices in the short term. It is worth noting that the US dollar index once fell below during trading hours99.0Why did gold and the US dollar fall together after recording three consecutive days of decline and the sentiment of safe haven currencies dissipate? Thursday（4month30Day)WTIcrude oilfutures延续强劲上攻态势，日内自低位16.55The US dollar has rebounded significantly, approaching20%To intraday high19.76USD, refreshed from4month21Since the beginning of the day, it has reached a new high for two weeks, recording three consecutive days of gains and a cumulative rebound65%! Further recovery during the period20.0USD to high level20.40The US dollar, without a doubt, is4Month USA5The continuous rebound of oil prices after settling with negative oil prices for the first time in history in monthly crude oil futures has surprised the market. The strong performance of oil prices is due to the further increase in global production reduction efforts and the promotion of economic restart plans in countries such as Europe and America. Friday（5month1The interrogation of the Syrian artillery bombing situation in the early hours of the day, as well as the earlier escalation of the US Iran situation, will trigger market attention to the evolution of the Middle East situation. The subsequent escalation of the conflict is expected to further drive up oil prices. Can gold be driven to rebound here by this?
　　
　　5.1Analysis of Gold Market Trend
　　
Spot gold（4.29）Daytime prices fluctuate and rise before testing1720Near the front line, the European market subsequently launched a correction adjustment as expected, and the US market broke through during the trading period1700、1690Support, retreat below once to1680Nearby, and has been fluctuating at a low level since then. Yesterday, the overall backtesting intensity was relatively strong, and in the early stage1690The upward trend broke through, and the daily line closed at a solid saturated medium negative line, running through the short cycle moving average band. The probability of a pullback increases.
　　
From the perspective of gold technology, in terms of daily structure, yesterday's bearish candlestick was relatively strong, and the appearance of this bearish candlestick greatly improved the short-term market operation. In the future, the short-term market is likely to have inertia and continue to decline and callback. So the focus below is still on following first1680Nearby oscillation, if it falls below, the target area for expected pullback may widen to the previous low point1660Even if it is not ruled out to retreat to areas with high trading intensity in the early stage1650-40The possibility of the region. At present, the focus above is on moving average pressure, namely1695-1705Belt, followed by above1710-1720It is highly likely that it will be difficult to rebound, as yesterday's bearish candlestick penetrated and fell below the moving average,1680The support gained rebounds, but it does not mean stopping the decline. The market is allowed to rebound within the day, but as long as it does not stand above the moving average, it is still advisable to follow the downward trend and operate in the short term4From an hourly perspective, prices are currently arranged in a dead cross pattern,KDJThe phenomenon of rapid decline on the fast line hitting the bottom and rebounding oil,MACDThe red kinetic energy column has weakened in volume, and yesterday's sharp decline needs to be digested for a few days. The rebound is a normal phenomenon, and the pressure level above is mainly in theMA10Daily line and20Below the daily line1697-1703Range, the highest price rebound in the morning was also hindered by1692Nearby, if the European market cannot break through the limit, radical players can restrain themselves and directly bear the market. Overall, it is recommended to focus on high altitude and support low levels in today's operations. Pay attention below1680Break situation, further investigation of break1660、1670Nearby, followed above1697-1703Pressure level.
　　
　　5.1Gold operation suggestions
　　
　　1Rebound1697-1703Short nearby, stop loss1710, look at the goal1680Nearby;
　　
　　2Falling back1670-1660Don't break through and go long in batches, stop loss5US dollars, look1680That's enough;
　　
　　5.1Analysis of crude oil market trend
　　
Crude oil（4.29）The price continued to fluctuate at a high level yesterday. Although there were signs of recovery under repeated pressure, it seems to be a bearish component and there was no expected technical recovery trend. In addition, the market rose abnormally again in the second half of the night, with a slight increase in early trading today20Above the front line. Oil prices fell first and then rose this week, with market fluctuations showing a unilateral trend, but the focus above is on crude oil contracts6The opening price pressure level.
　　
From the perspective of crude oil technology, the current trend of crude oil has deviated slightly from the expected technical trend, and has become extremely emotional due to market sentiment. Market risks are extremely sensitive, and the explosion of a tanker truck on the previous trading day can certainly drive the rebound of crude oil prices. For the crude oil reserves of various countries, it is just a drop in the bucket, but unfortunately, the price of crude oil has rebounded with astonishing strength. After a significant rise in crude oil, Currently entering a dense pressure area,20Nearby is the pressure line within the pressure zone. The impact of oil prices in this area indicates that the short-term increase is almost over, and it is not recommended to pursue the increase in operation; And waiting for obvious blocked signals to come out to short, short-term4Looking at the hourly trend pattern from Tuesday10.0A low point on the front line, until this morning's20.40Within three trading days, the maximum increase exceeded100%. Prices continue to stabilizeMA10Key daily support,MA5The daily line only provides a brief upward momentum, if the price breaks throughMA10The daily support indicates that the price rebound may have peaked, and bulls may profit out. The current priceMAThe moving average is arranged in multiple positions, butKDJIf there is a signal in the short end of the triple bond market, it will face a waterfall decline,RSIThe express line turns down and is in the oversold range,MACDThere is a phenomenon of contraction, but once there is a sell-off, the market's crude oil will continue to decline. It is not ruled out that there will be a "black swan" market on Friday today. Overall, it is recommended to short crude oil at a high level in today's operations, and the upper level should pay attention to it20.5-21.4Pressure level, pay attention below15-16Supporting position;
　　
　　5.1Crude oil operation suggestions
　　
　　1Rebound20.5-21.4Short in batches, stop loss22.5Look at the target falling back15-16Nearby;
　　
　　2Falling back15Long nearby, stop loss14, look at the goal18That's enough;
　　
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