Li Dingyuan:4.30今日黄金原油走势分析，黄金早盘1710上方坚决做多

　　人生没有返工，但市场却有震荡，高低反复的走势中，你是否已迷失方向？透过市场表象看本质，遗忘初衷是多少人最终止步与稳定盈利的道路上。立在市场本质中，任他东南西北风。市场有轨迹，交易需章法，计划你的交易，交易方能如预期，交易你的计划，利润方能如交易。不做市场的死对头，紧随市场主势的前提下划定交易框架，只为稳定盈利而坚守。交易就是如此，关键性的支撑或阻力往往承载着市场正向运行或反转的关键点，承上启下分界线，多空运行的临界点，坚持不破不立，破位反转的交易信条，用实力丈量交易之路，用技术夯实利润增长。
　　
Thursday(4month30day)凌晨：美联储4月政策会议如期维持利率不变，通过声明我们发现，美联储都在着重强调新冠病毒带来的冲击，并承诺将继续使用所有工具来支撑美国经济。受此影响，美国股市短线涨幅扩大，而国际现货gold同样短线拉升后再度回落，午夜再次拉升至1717美元，打破了近两天的区间震荡。联储在声明中指出，委员们一致同意此次的利率决定。公共卫生危机令经济活动承受重压。将超额准备金利率维持在0.1%不变。美联储同时表示，新冠病毒在中期内构成重大风险，将继续按照所需数量购买国债和抵押贷款支持证券。还会将维持利率在低位，直至美联储有信心通胀能回归正轨。
　　
　　黄金走势分析：隔日走势很是震荡，来回大区间震荡，黄金日线上来看：高位震荡，MACDDead fork, green kinetic energy column looming,KDJDead cross, random indicators slightly lower, indicating that action can be restarted under gold, and there is still a possibility of falling again in the future.4From an hourly perspective: Gold maintains a volatile consolidation,MACDDead fork, reduced green kinetic energy column,KDJFrom the new formation of a golden cross, the random index rose, indicating strong support below the gold, followed by a rebound trend in incoming materials. From the hourly chart: Low rebound:MACDGolden fork, red energy pillar expands,KDJThe golden cross, with a significant increase in random indicators, indicates that the decline is beginning to weaken and will continue to rebound at a low level; The current market situation is basically maintaining a sideways fluctuation pattern, with a roughly horizontal range of1720-1700区域，然目前这种横盘状态给短线方向的确认带来难度。在操作上，对于这种横盘震荡行情是需要加强防范意识的，基本面可能会导致市场情绪不稳定，给行情带来异动的风险。今日操作上李鼎缘建议上方继续关注1718-20Short pressure, break up and look up4Hour Bollinger Belt on Track1735Area, continue to follow below as well1700支撑测试情况，在没有失守该位置之前，后市偏向震荡看涨，看反弹。
　　
Golden Operation Strategy:
　　
　　1710Long nearby, stop loss1704, Objective1715-1719
　　
　　以上观点仅代表鼎缘个人看法，如果你觉得上述鼎缘的观点对你有帮助，可以尝试添加鼎缘菋//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
　　
　　周三美国能源信息署(EIA)公布报告显示，至4month24Day and week,EIAReduced gasoline inventory366.9万桶，远低于其增加274.9万桶的预期以及此前一周增加的101.7万桶；除却战略储备的商业crude oilInventory increase899.110000 barrels to5.276亿桶，远低于其1502.2万桶的前值以及1153.4万桶的预期。美国国内原油产量减少1010000 barrels to121010000 barrels/Day. The average four week supply of crude oil products in the United States is1452.510000 barrels/Day, decreased compared to the same period last year28%. American Petroleum Institute(API)周三公布报告显示，至4month24Day and week,APIIncrease in crude oil inventory998Ten thousand barrels, to5.1亿桶。该值低于此前预期的1060万桶，远低于1322.6万桶的前值；APIReduced gasoline inventory111万桶，远低于此前一周增加的343.5万桶，以及预期的267.3万桶；APICushing crude oil inventory increases249万桶，低于此前一周的491.3Ten thousand barrels.
　　
　　原油走势分析：从美原油4小时时图形上来看，近期下跌并未击穿10美元的重要关口，随后出现了止跌企稳反弹信号，目前油价再次站上布林带中轨上方，显示较强势的多头走势；MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩张，KDJ金叉，随机指标大幅度走高，下跌动能柱收窄，上升动能柱伸长，也预示着后市延续多头走势。从小时线来看：底分型结构形成，K线形态成多头排列，也预示后市较高概率走多头。EIA利多，原油慢性整理蓄势上扬，暂时还未释放空间，有点缓慢上涨蓄势的迹象。同时由于昨日完成了小周期的探底回升，短线继续看延续上涨，上方阻力留意上轨处也是周初回撤口子处18.0一带，第二阻力22.5Frontline, Breakthrough18.2后原油会向22.5进攻。中线、短线操作上李鼎缘建议还是回调后做多为主。
　　
Crude oil operation strategy:
　　
Callback15.0Long nearby, stop loss14.5，目标依次上看18.0-20.0Area;
　　
Message
　　
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Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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