Liang Qiandong4.30原油周线谨防跳水暴跌，黄金走势分析

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Attitude determines hardship and joy, concept determines success and failure, and the simpler a person is, the more peaceful their trading becomes. Many times, you would rather be killed in battle against the tide than reflect on yourself. A drop of ink can stain a glass of water, but it is difficult to muddy a river because a generous heart can accommodate it;One sentence can ruin a temporary mood, but it is difficult to determine a person's life, because fate is in one's own hands;An accident can make your footsteps heavy and difficult to erode your persistent pursuit, because you are "alive" in the market, and because you are strong, the road is ahead. Don't easily stop walking.

Message surface:

Wednesday（4month29日）欧洲时段，美油大涨逾25%to15dollar/桶上方，全球多国计划开启复工，美国至少有16个州计划重启经济，随着各国政府宣布放松疫情相关限制措施，市场受到全球需求复苏希望的支撑。投资者对OPEC+五月将到来减产充满期待，此外，石油公司破产数量增加也预示着最坏的时候已经到来，但也意味着供应可能会迅速下降。

欧洲时段，现货goldfall drastically1700大关，美国一季度GDP数据标志着经济衰退开始，但美国一季度GDP数据将强化需要重新开放经济的需求。黄金整体仍获得美元指数弱势的支撑，美联储可能进一步扩大宽松行动。但股市有所走高，美国至少有16个州计划重启经济，随着各国政府宣布放松疫情相关限制措施，风险资产受到全球需求复苏希望的支撑，令黄金避险需求有所降温。此外关注北京时间明天凌晨的美联储利率决议和明晚的欧洲央行利率决议。

Wednesday(4month29day)New York intraday, Beijing time22:30, USAEIAAccording to the published data, as of4month24日当周美国除却战略储备的商业crude oil库存增幅不及预期，精炼油库存增幅超预期，汽油库存意外录得下降。EIA数据公布后美国原油价格短线维持在日高震荡。

In addition, as of4month24Day and WeekEIA汽油库存实际公布减少366.90Ten thousand barrels, expected increase275.6Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value101.7Ten thousand barrels; As of4month24Day and WeekEIA精炼油库存实际公布增加509.20Ten thousand barrels, expected increase388.8Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value787.6Ten thousand barrels.

Gold trend analysis:

黄金技术面来看，昨日黄金于1692Stopping the decline and returning to the thousand seven mark, is this the end of the adjustment, or is it a bullish comeback? Considering the overall performance of gold in recent times, the probability of further short-term adjustments is still high, as gold prices have been adjusting since last week1738Since the decline, both high and low points have been gradually moving downwards, especially the extended actions after the fall of Qianqi, which has expanded the advantage of bears. Although the Qianqi level has been regained, the gold price is still at a low level1720In other words, if the bulls cannot win today1720，那么将会提高深度调整的概率。当然，在月线收官来临之际，梁乾东预期黄金难以展开更深度的调整，反倒是继续上演千七争夺战的可能性更大。日线两连阴导致价格运行短期均线下方，并带动5Daily moving average at1713The area is in a downward trend,10The daily moving average is also below1706Intentionally following nearby, coupled with weakened upward momentum in other cyclical indicators,stoDouble line maintains a dead cross downward shape,RSIThe indicators also have sufficient downward potential, so the daily trend should lean towards bearish positions. However, one thing worth noting is that yesterday's gold price was lower than1692After unfolding the rebound, the Bollinger track has now moved upwards1697Nearby, this means that the bulls' defense has been strengthened, so while the daily line is bearish, it is also important to pay attention to the strength of the bulls' counterattacks. gold4In terms of hours, after yesterday's low rebound, the price has now moved above the short-term moving average, which should be a bullish development. However, with the lack of upward momentum on the short-term moving average, other cyclical indicators have gradually shifted towards bearish positions. In addition, the overall trend of the Bollinger Bands is intentionally downward,stoBilinear to80There are signs of dead forks forming below the shaft,RSIThe indicators have no intention of increasing in volume, so4The hourly level is still relatively empty overall, and due to the Bollinger medium track and daily line5日均线呈重合压制，因此可期冲高后的再次回撤或加剧下行。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1715-1720Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1680-1685Frontline support.

Analysis of crude oil trend:

从技术面来看，油价昨天收取一根小阳十字KThis kind of closing is a signal to stop the decline, so today we can operate long and short, just grasp the point. Oil prices hit a milestone yesterdayVType reversal, such a trend is a bullish signal, but the upward pressure is located on the daily lineMA5.10The location of the14.6Nearby, if we break through and stand firm here today, we can go to the future market20Nearby, so today we will focus on this point. And let's take a closer look at the support below, after all, the current market is not extremely strong, and if it is aggressive, it is easy to make mistakes. Pay attention to the support below for four hoursMA5.10The position of the golden cross is12.5的位置，这也是昨天的顶底转换位置。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注17.0-17.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below12.6-12.8Frontline support.
I write every post in the hope of meeting someone who is destined. I hope to help investors in need, no matter how they first feel. We should give each other a chance to get to know each other. I believe that being able to read so many words is fate. Investment is mostly based on fate. If you believe in fate and believe that I can do something for you with my heart, you can try to communicate with me. I hope friends with teachers can also communicate with me. No one can accompany you to the ends of the earth, perhaps one day you will need me.