​策测解币：美联储利率决议来袭，能否再拿出压箱底的货来助力币市？

​策测解币：美联储利率决议来袭，能否再拿出压箱底的货来助力币市？


币市从4month22日开始拉升，4month23日大涨以来，随后经过了5天的震荡，日线区间运行于7440-7800之间，在本周初两天的低点上移，高点上破的引力下，今日迎来了暴涨，而这一切均有信号可寻？


基本面上分析：


昨日本人从疫情的延伸，谈到了美国经济方面的要命问题，失业率及股市，那么今日我们从数据方面来看看，其中今日美国公布的第一季度GDP录得大减，-4.8%by08年以来的第四季度的最低水平，第一季度年华率则录得6年来的首次下跌，这还是美国疫情还没大爆发的数据，第二季度的GDP增速不知要负多少?这个数据也是今天的一个开始，还有房屋销售月率等预计也会录得下滑，可想而知美国经济有多糟糕！那么在这种情况下，币市怎能不做出反应，数字货币资产也成为了避险的好产品！


其次油市方面：中东油罐车爆炸事件给油市提振，今早的API也不及预期给油市助力，俄罗斯也标示将继续与合作伙伴在石油方面进行合作，预计俄罗斯今年crude oil产量将减少10%；再次支撑油价，今晚还有原油EIA也将公布，若不及预期，那将会再次给油价利好，今日目前美油及布油纷纷上涨！紧跟币市行情拉升！




第三点，今晚的重点，也就是明日凌晨两点美联储将公布利率决议，今日的币市大涨跟这个可以说是息息相关，因为上次的无限QE+提出购买大公司的债券+直接向小企业提供贷款+帮助地方政府购买市政债券等已经助力币市拉升了太多，今晚的美联储会做出哪些惊人的举动呢？目前来先预测一下会谈哪些问题？


1，加息或降息问题，也就是利率问题！2，还是继续购买+提供贷款+等，负利率适不适合美国，今晚的好戏似乎很有看头，一大批的问题等待FOMC解决！鲍威尔也太难了，因为不知道如何才能救美国经济，毫无头绪，压箱底的东西该拿的已经拿了，现在只有一条负利率的路还没有走，美联储敢尝试吗？




BTCTechnical analysis:


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