4.24黄金原油区间震荡是涨是跌？1728继续开多看上涨

If today is nothing more than yesterday, then what is the meaning of tomorrow,Trading not only precipitates money, but also leaves behind more insights, which are condensed through thinking and growth. Optimistic people see opportunities in every crisis, while pessimistic people see crises in every opportunity. The market doesn't care who got it right once or twice, but more importantly, it decides who stays. At every critical moment, it looks like everyone is the same, but there are always some differences here.

After ten years of trials and tribulations, I have seen too many people in this market. They boldly walked the first, stubbornly left in anger, and were extremely shy in the end, leaving behind those who walked slowly and steadily. Coming to the market is all for profit, but too many people are influenced by emotions, unwilling to regret and attempting to defeat the market. In fact, trading is just a microcosm of business. It is also about understanding the market, respecting humility, and cultivating one's heart.

Message interpretation:

Friday（4month24日）美元指数五连阳，依旧对金价构成压力，但gold依旧处于高位水平，上涨趋势并未改变，进一步关注美国复工及股票市场波动，欧盟领导人周四就复苏计划举行了视频会议，但进展甚微。德国总理默克尔虽承诺支持欧盟出台规模庞大的刺激计划，但仍不足以推动达成协议。志豪预计欧元兑美元将在第二或第三季度跌至1.02水平。油价正在得到喘息的机会，但美伊紧张局势并没有把油价抬得太高。地缘政治紧张因素对市场的影响是非常小的；目前的流行病仍在继续造成损失，这将继续削弱需求，损害油价。

1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold

　　国际金价微幅走弱，投资者在上日价格涨近1%之后锁定获利，且美元创下4month7The highest point since the beginning of the day100.87，限制了黄金走强。但受卫生事件影响欧美经济数据不佳，料让金价录得周线涨幅，本周至今累计上涨超过2.7%。过去五周，美国初请失业金人数飙升至2600万的纪录高位。欧元区本月经济活动几乎停滞。欧盟同意设立万亿欧元复苏基金，但在资金发放方式上犹存分歧。

　　技术面来看，金价周四刷新4month14日以来高点，日线MACDandKDJ金叉运行，均线多头排列，隔夜金价一度触及4month16Daily high point1738.70后回落，若金价突破该位置则有望冲击4month14Daily high point1747.36，这是近7年半来的最高位，有着强劲的阻力。一旦该关口被上破，将打开新的上行空间。不过，考虑到美元兼具流动性和避险属性，短时间可能部分挤压黄金的买需，且金价多次在1740下方遇阻，若金价不能有效突破1738.7附近阻力，则仍然需要警惕金价震荡回落的可能，下方初步支撑在日内低点1721.5Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by1711.41Nearby, further support at1700关口，若失守该位置，则削弱短线看涨信号，周三低点支撑在1680.45附近，该位置同时靠近1455.06-1747.36Upward trend23.6%回撤位；综合来看，市场仍在评估卫生事件对于全球经济的负面影响，这将在短时间继续支撑黄金，所以中长线仍以看涨为主；但由于金价目前在1740附近遇阻，短线存在一定的回调风险，所以今日短线操作思路上志豪点金（bzd99996327）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;

Focus on resistance above:1738.70；1747.36；

Focus on support below:1721.50；1711.41；

Real time market changes, strategy is for reference only. Real time entry and exit points and mid to long term layout consultation with Zhihao Dianjin for free!

　　二、美crude oilTrend analysis

　　本周初国际油价遭遇史诗级暴跌行情，WTIcrude oil5月合约跌至-37.63dollar/桶，在连续两日暴跌后连续两日回升，周四(4month23day)American crude oilfutures跳涨19.7%Settlement price report16.50dollar/桶。志豪认为，随着卫生事件危机大幅减少原油消费，全球一些最强大的原油生产商开始加大产量，全球石油储备产能可能在数周内达到极限。但是，当卫生事件过去之后，全球原油需求将迅速回归正常水平，且明年库存将出现史无前例的减少油市基本面有望企稳。

　　技术面来看，尽管油价连续三个交易日走高，但下破19.20后市场看空情绪显著。日线MACD双线粘合，均线依然空头排列，指示油价仍然存在进一步走低的可能，下方初步支撑关注布林线下轨14.45附近，该位置同时靠近周二收盘价，若失守该位置，则油价可能再次试探周三触及的低点10.26附近支撑；不过，因为市场预期美国将出台更多的刺激措施，此外美伊紧张局势叠加各产油国想要尽快实施减产以抵消卫生事件对于需求的冲击，加上此前油价一度跌至负值，这都使得油价短线大幅反弹，且KDJ重新结成金叉，若油价坚守布林线下轨支撑，则仍然需要警惕油价震荡反弹的可能，上方逐步阻力在日内高点17.95Nearby, further resistance19.20Nearby, pay close attention20关口附近阻力，若油价顶破该阻力，则削弱短线看空信号，布林线中轨阻力在21.98附近，若油价突破并企稳该位置上方则增加短线看涨信号；综合来看，尽管油价有所回升，但仍然受到19.2附近阻力压制，在油价有效收复该位置前，仍然偏向震荡下行，所以今日操作思路上志豪点金（bzd99996327）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;

Focus on resistance above:18.00；19.20；

Focus on support below:14.45；10.26；

　　技术是生存之本，授人以鱼不如授人以渔，以小博大是投资的真正魅力，拿住有把握的利润是理财之根本！文章只能给你一时的方向和思路，至于具体的点位时机和仓位，志豪会实时给出，欢迎关注！

Author: Zhihao Dianjin(Guidance hotline:bzd99996327）