Weekly Closing4.24黄金暴涨还会跌吗附最新行情策略分析及策略建议

　　本市场就像一把双刃剑，用得好的人成为世人的偶像，用得不好的人小则损失金钱，大则倾家荡产，市场就是这样的残酷没有一点温情可言。希望各位投资者顺势而为，稳健获利。我所希望看到的是，投资者长期稳健的获利，集小胜为大胜，而不是今日赚的盆体满钵，明日输的一文不剩，做投资，先是做人，然后才是获利。没有谁能够陪你走到天涯海角


Message: Thursday(4month23day)金价继续走高，现货gold一度涨近1.5%, refresh4month14The highest point since the beginning of the day1739.28dollar/盎司，因投资者权衡遭受病毒疫情冲击的经济是否会迎来新一波刺激措施。值得注意的是，彭博数据显示，ETF的全球持仓量在周三录得连续第23个交易日上升，并创下纪录，黄金支持的交易所交易基金本月净流入460万盎司，平均约80亿美元，迈向2016year2月以来的最高记录。


Thursday(4month23day)美元继续走高，美元指数刷新4month7The highest point since the beginning of the day100.69；欧元和兑美元跌至近一个月低位，此前欧盟首脑峰会未能就经济刺激计划达成协议；随着油价反弹，大宗商品货币涨幅居前。现货黄金涨超16USD, closing at1730关口之上。油价大幅攀升，美油一度涨逾30%, refresh daily high to18.26dollar/桶，因交易员关注需求疲软所引发的减产前景。


　　黄金：黄金日线来看，国际金价连续第二个交易日走高，徘徊七年半高位。布林带三轨均开口向上，MACD金叉但红柱能连逐渐减弱、KDJ死叉向下，随机指标温和承压；表明黄金市场多头不是很乐观，短期上行空间可能不会太大。指示黄金下行动能蠢蠢欲动，接下来可能展开一波回调；金价于高位附近震荡，下方MA20均线支撑效果强劲，昨日金价大幅反弹，短时间内突破MA5压力均线，但目前受10Daily moving average1705支撑过程当中，扭转趋势或仍需确认下破1700整数关口支撑的有效性。


Gold4小时方面，昨日的连阳形态配合今早盘1719的触及，足以表明多头的强劲，虽然目前出现了高位回落现象，但由于短期均线呈上扬姿态，尤其是10Daily moving average and60Daily moving average at1697-1696一线构成双重支撑，其它各周期指标也保持多头排列，加之布林带整体上行意愿较强，因此判定多头优势很大。不过，有一点值得注意，那就是目前sto双线已于超买区结成死叉，一旦其下破超买区，或将引发一波抛盘，至于结果是下破支撑，还是于支撑之上进行调整后再冲高，取决于sto双线从哪个点位下破超买区，所以，4小时级别整体需于低位接多，以防短线出现意外。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1743-1745Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1718-1720Frontline support.


Latest operating suggestions for gold:


　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1743-1745Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1730-1728frontline;


　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1718-1720Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1733-1735frontline;


　　3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in inter market prices can be found on Wang Jinbo's WeChat account(wjb9393)The actual offer shall prevail;


　　crude oil：原油从日线图来看，原油日线MACDandKDJ死叉运行，指示油价整体承压，短线仍有进一步下行的迹象，下方初步支撑参考1986year4Monthly low point9.75，进一步支撑在前一交易日低点6.50附近，这也是油价这几十年来触及的最低点；不过，由于KDJ逼近超卖区域，短线仍然需要警惕震荡反弹的可能，上方短期阻力参考昨日反弹高点18.50附近，该位置同时靠近布林线上轨，若该位置再次被收复，则油价可能试探20.0关口附近阻力，若进一步上破则关注22.6附近阻力，油价需要有效收复该位置才能削目前的弱势信号；王今博综合来看此次石油危机可能导致全球原油需求峰值出现永久性的下降，因此在市场上过剩的产量被消化之前，油价短时间内将继续承压，短期内应当杜绝“抄底”。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注18.8-19.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below15.4-15.6Frontline support.


Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:


　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break18.8-19.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target16.4-16.2frontline;


　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break15.4-15.6Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target17.0-17.2frontline;


　　3The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market should be cautious. For more details, please follow Wang Jinbo's personal website||Wei:wjb9393；


　　王今博寄语：这个市场没有常胜将军，更没有神这一说，分析师都有出错的时候，那么关键问题来了，笔者王今博个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.


This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---公众号：王今博）供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。