Zhou Hongjin:4.23黄金小幅承压，原油涨幅收窄-黄金原油最新行情走势分析策略

Summary:gold行情走势、黄金交易策略、黄金行情解析、crude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　
Although it may seem simple to buy up and buy down, many investors are still troubled by it, and even pay a painful price, with insiders watching the door and outsiders watching the excitement. Opportunities require us to search for them. When you see this article, opportunities are already given to you. It is inevitable that people will suffer setbacks and failures in their lives. The difference is the mentality when facing setbacks and failures. Some people always treat setbacks as failures, so they can deeply undermine the courage to win each time. The key to investment is to walk on the right path, with the right direction. There is no stable market environment for "sailing smoothly". What is the purpose of investment? Make money! In this market, having a clear mind is more important than having a smart mind, and having good habits is more practical than having skilled skills. Resilience is what lasts, reality is what lasts, and doing anything is like that.
　　
Message interpretation:
　　
　　4month23日，现货黄金小幅承压，但整体仍维持七年高位。黄金futures反弹，在石油市场动荡、大宗商品和股市持续波动的情况下，投资者押注全球各国政府将推出进一步刺激措施。受避险买盘推动，金价前一交易日创下近两周最大涨幅，今年累计升幅14%。近几年黄金的投资需求和金价的相关性是很高的，美国银行将18个月金价预期上调至3000dollar/盎司，较目前水平还能涨超50%。美油布油涨幅收窄。国际油价在多空因素交织下，波动有所减弱，但在全球供应过剩之际依然严重承压。全球处于原油需求下降最剧烈阶段，OPEC+及其他产油国减产势在必行，美国产量已经较历史高点下滑90万桶。同时，即便疫情仍在恶化，考虑的经济重创带来的更广泛的负面影响后，后期重启经济可能迫在眉睫。
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　技术面来看，黄金昨日日图大阳收起，回测1678附近启稳回升，欧美盘突破1702一线收复前一日高点，重新将区间带回千七之上，美盘时段最高触碰1718.50.且收盘在高位。日图收成饱满中阳线。日图结构本周下探启稳在中轨之上，重新站上10日线，继续处于高位震荡当中。形态上由于提前完成了止跌回调，重新回升有望再探高，但是量能相对会小一些。倾向会在高位拉锯震荡，今日守住千七开盘，短线在此位之下适当看多。
　　
Short line4小时经过周初的快速下探回升，收复台阶下行失地。站上1702就反转了这波下行趋势。4小时连阳回升后，今日回踩突破口1702转换成支撑，短线回踩先顺势多。至于上方空间依旧边走边看，小一点1730附近，大一点可能1740附近。探高后仍会陷入高位震荡。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金（zh66646）Get it for free!
　　
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
　　技术面来看，原油昨日低位小幅反弹收盘。虽然从低点10.0附近反弹至16.30高点也有将近6美元的反弹空间，但相对于周初的跌势。昨日的反弹相当于收缩震荡走势。相对以前单日6美元的波动空间算是比较大得了，而近期波动基数较大。几美元的波幅。反映在K线形态上也是一个平行结构。暂时依旧看不出多空强弱，只是经历单边下跌后，短线开始下行放缓，进入低位震荡修正阶段。今日开盘依旧处于中性位置，上轨22.60压制，下方6.5Support.
　　
　　小时图布林线轨道开始收缩。在经历一波大行情之后，一般会收缩震荡修正再重新选择方向，当然消息面也是改变趋势的重要一环。国外疫情能否得到有效控制，以及减产协议和消化库存何时能够得到改善。将决定原油止跌的时间点，技术面盘底时间拉得长，需要借助消息面的空间才能快速完成。否则横向时间长，短线就要继续震荡操作对待。小区间下方支撑在10.80.上方小压力16.30.行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金（zh66646）Get it for free!
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
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