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金荣中国:黄金不突破1700就仍是震荡偏空

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Fundamentals:
Tuesday(4month21day)gold价格先从1698附近下跌到最低1660附近企稳反弹,之后陷入1690-1670区间震荡,日线收带长下影线阴线。
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金荣中国:黄金不突破1700就仍是震荡偏空914 / author:Jinrong China340 / PostsID:1543536
Technical aspect:
金荣中国:黄金不突破1700就仍是震荡偏空902 / author:Jinrong China340 / PostsID:1543536

        日线上,黄金日线收带长下影线阴线,目前处于短期线附近及下方运行,5Japan and Japan10日均线死叉形成但方向混乱有分歧,中期线走平偏向上,MACDBonding,KDJ向下运行,指标偏空。黄金前一波上涨从1450Up to last week's high point1748Nearby, the increase is close to300The US dollar is approaching the limit of its previous year's increase, as seen in this way1748The nearby and above areas are likely to become the top of this year, which means that even if there is still room above, it is difficult to expect much further increase. Instead, the top of this year can be seen at any time, and once adjusted, it will be100-200美金空间,这个风险不容小觑,当然今年由于疫情影响,想要真正趋势转空还是需要等待疫情拐点的,只有拐点出现后无限QEOnly then can it stop and loose liquidity weaken, so that gold can emerge from a sustained pullback, otherwise a pullback will occur100The US dollar may still stabilize and continue to rise, of course, it has been mentioned1748The top area is nearby and above, so it is expected to be in the future1-2Maintain for a month1600-1748The probability of fluctuations between them is high, and then waiting for the epidemic to gradually control and reach a turning point before gold can truly begin to rebound and fall. Therefore, it is very likely that in terms of time6From the beginning of the year to the beginning of the month, in terms of time cycle3Gold is showing a clear upward trend in the month, entering into3A wave appeared after the month1700-1450Great plunge, but due to insufficient liquidity, unlimited in the Federal ReserveQEAfter providing sufficient liquidity, gold began to soar and even broke through1700Pass, this indicates3After the month, it is not a downward trend, but currently it cannot be completely said to be an upward trend. From a spatial perspective, it is a large-scale fluctuation, which means3月份到现在整体其实是一个超大区间波动,只不过是波动空间太大,在更短的周期上看是趋势行情,但你退一步出来看就是区间波动,那么12Month to3month3The period of one month is on an upward trend,3month-6The month should be a volatile market, but there is a lot of room for it. Wait until6A new trend market will only appear after the month, and it is likely that the epidemic has reached a turning point. As mentioned before, once the epidemic reaches a turning point, gold will fall6月份后黄金很可能走下跌趋势了,到时候将走出持续回调的走势,不再是来回震荡颠簸没有真正方向,这是未来中期需要注意的节奏。
        短期看,昨天再创新低,不过很盘很快拉升回来后震荡,说明近期下跌支撑也比较明显,下跌不容易,但是也没有打开短期下行格局,所以整体看仍然是震荡偏空,如果不出意外将震荡看空到本月底,只是中间节奏无法判断,有可能颠簸得厉害,就像昨天那样,所以不可以追涨杀跌。短期线看虽然死叉了,但是方向混乱有分歧,说明压力并不是很充分,这样提供了今天收出阳线的可能,真这样的话行情仍然可能转多,不过如果这两天震荡后仍然下跌,那么空头将坐实并延续一段时间,今天日内只要不突破站稳1700关口,整体就还是在空头掌控范围内,还是以高空为主,整体看空到月底。关注1670-1660支撑,再往下1640-1620支撑,上方压力在1690-1700,突破区间前可以尝试高抛低吸,更多以高空为主。(Band Midline Trading Opportunity Reminder:1690-1700Layout empty orders, target1660-1640-1620)
金荣中国:黄金不突破1700就仍是震荡偏空433 / author:Jinrong China340 / PostsID:1543536

        4小时陷入区间震荡颠簸,目前处于短期线附近运行,短期线混乱方向不明显,中期线走平粘合,MACDSmooth bonding,KDJ向上运行,指标方向不明显。黄金4小时跌破趋势后进一步下跌到最低1670-1660,整体看维持在一个区间内颠簸,暂时没有方向了,不过震荡下行格局没有被打破,只要4小时不突破站稳1700关口,就还是空头掌控范围内,仍然有机会继续下跌创出新低,预计跌破1660后下一目标是1640然后是1620,甚至可能到1600关口,当然如果重新回到1700上方,自然要再次冲击1740-1750even to the extent that1800关口,今天突破1660-1700之前可以高抛低吸,建议多空都短线中做等待突破。
pressure1700-1708-1720-1725-1740-1748-1800
brace1670-1660-1640-1620-1600-1570-1500-1450-1400-1350
Spot gold:
1.   1662-1665Long light position, stop loss1659, Objective1670-1690-1700-1708-1720-1740-1800
2.   1690-1700Short selling, stop loss1705, Objective1670-1660-1640-1620-1600
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