Chen Dabin:4.22原油今日会涨吗？黄金原油操作建议及走势分析

Investment is a long-term process, accompanied by losses and gains. It is normal to make a profit. If you lose confidence or hope due to temporary losses, I personally feel that it is not worth the loss. Temporary losses do not represent investment failure, but only indicate that you have not really mastered the ability to control funds during this period. Losing confidence due to losses is undoubtedly giving yourself a way out, I have found an excuse for my temporary failure, and I think everyone doesn't want it to be like this. They all hope to find a sense of achievement in investment success and the joy of victory! I think you should adjust your mood now, summarize the reasons for your past failures, and think about how to do well in order to make money. Leaving quietly will only cast a shadow on your psychology and leave you with regret forever! If that's the case, it's better to be bold and stay, believe in yourself and each other. The market is fair to everyone, and you just haven't achieved it yet. Believe that this day is not far away!

　　
　　市场消息面:
　　
Wednesday Beijing time(4month22day)In the early morning, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of4month17Day and WeekAPIcrude oilInventory increase1322.6Ten thousand barrels, expected increase1613.3Ten thousand barrels; Increase in gasoline inventory343.5Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory increase763.9万桶；数据公布后，美油短线跌幅略有收窄，收报13.12dollar/Barrel, decline35.78%。知名金融博客零对冲表示，因疫情影响需求，加上欧佩克减产尚未执行，全球原油严重供应过剩，全球范围内储油空间告急。分析师称市场需要看到原油产量的立即减少才可能开始恢复。美国原油库存连续13周录得增加。关注工纵好“陈大宾”即可享有每日财经资讯热点解读、gold原油中线布局计划一份！
　　
　　原油市场崩溃势头扩大，6monthWTIcrude oilfutures合约一度下跌68%To each barrel6.50美元，该合约周二成交量逾200万手，创下历史最大单日合约纪录。6月布伦特原油期货最深跌幅逾30%, lowest touch17.51dollar/Bucket, for2001year11月以来最低。油价跌势扩大至并非即将到期的期货合约，突显出石油市场危机的严重程度，因各国为减缓疫情传播而实施的封锁措施造成燃料需求低迷，导致供远远过于求，迅速造成存储罐、管道和油轮不堪重负。
　　
　　对于金价的下挫，分析师指出，本周以来太多原油多头仓位爆仓，基金经理人不得不再度抛售黄金以换取更多美元来冲抵保证金。陈大宾认为，由于油价本周暴跌，5月合约甚至跌至负数，这导致很多基金经理人的原油账户爆仓，为了填补这些亏损，基金经理们迫切抛售一些可以换钱的资产，包括黄金，债券，还有股票等，这样的抛售或导致金价短期内仍然会有较大的下行压力。
　　
　　在黄金、原油都遭遇抛售之际，资金涌入美元等避险资产：美元持续反弹，最高100.43，欧元、英镑等承压。此外，资金也涌入美债。美债价格也走高，美国5年期国债收益率创纪录新低的0.307%，因投资者转向安全资产。由于全球风险厌恶情绪瀰漫，美元指数成功突破关键的100关口。对于黄金后市：根据路透社日内一项分析师调研结果揭示，黄金作为一项传统的避险资产，预期将在未来一年交投于于近期高位的下方，因市场对美元避险资产的需求力度高于黄金。由于受到封锁措施的影响，预期实物黄金在印度，中国地区的需求将大挫，同时走强的美元也令黄金持续承压。

　　
　　原油分析：油价的崩跌，也冲击了市场情绪，没想到的是5The monthly contract's unexpected drop has come to an end, and the result is6The monthly contract has taken on a relay baton of sharp decline, continuing to follow a downward pattern to fill the gap after opening high yesterday morning. Yesterday（4.21）The opening price of crude oil in the morning rose directly to13.5On the front line and then up all the way to22.6The US dollar began to decline, starting from the morning Asian session-Europa-The US stock market fell unilaterally all the way, without giving the bulls any opportunity, catching them off guard. After a whole day of decline, crude oil ultimately fell（4.22Fill the gap at one o'clock and drop to the lowest point6.5The US dollar filled the high opening gap, and crude oil did not go as it did yesterday0After the development of the US dollar and filling the gap, crude oil began to rebound significantly10On the US dollar, the final closing was at13美元一线，陈大宾认为：原油不会出现类似跌至负数的局面，切换合约后高开的缺口已经补上，原油会震荡修复一下再找方向，短期原油还有上行的空间，操作上大宾建议低多为主，上方至少还有8-10The space in US dollars, friends with multiple orders don't need to rush, you need to closely monitor the following8.8美元一线，只要这个位置今天不破，那么再次站上20上方的可能性非常大。大宾相信，每一个正在交易的人都想盈利，这是毋庸置疑的，但前提你要找对方向，如需帮助可添加陈大宾官方指导微信：xy187603Get real-time guidance.
　　
　　黄金分析：周线级别来看，上周黄金受长上影线收阴影响，基本上已经确立了行情接下来是一个调整周期。当前黄金四小时线级别上依然是震荡行情，于1720dollar-1650美元区间震荡。昨日21日的行情一根大阳线收在1702美元附近，很多人会觉得黄金将再一次反弹，冲击1750-1800美元，却没有看到上方1728美元附近的阻力压制作用。多头戏码反复上演，让大部分人产生错觉，只可惜多次触及1700美元附近行情最终都是再次回落，反弹明显却力度不够，这算不算假象？并且行情可以很明显的看到目前1700美元附近已经形成关键压制，整数关口的阻力足以表明黄金上行空间短期来看利润不大，机会很小，因此操作上陈大宾建议选择高位做空最为稳妥，关注1700dollar-1728美元这两个关键性压力点。有套单的朋友，可单线本人，由于笔者陈大宾不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线陈大宾xy187603是惟心

　　
　　为什么别人盈利能够轻而易举，为什么你盈利就难于上青天，很简单，因为别人轻车熟路，而你却盲目乱撞；
　　
　　为什么跟随老师依旧改变不了亏损的结局，因为你的老师只是空有一身理论，实践起来却手忙脚乱；
　　
　　为什么总是亏，因为陷入沼泽的你，心里只有恐惧和着急，再怎么挣扎依旧徒劳无功。
　　
　　为什么爆仓总是你，因为你一步重仓操作就跌入了布满利刃的深坑，直接结束。
　　
　　盲目的介入市场，随意的寻找老师，慌乱的心态，不控制风险的操作等种种因素或许是你失败的原因，即使遍体鳞伤，即使待在市场上不开心，但面临高额利润的终点，你离开市场是否甘心，半途而废的你是否又开心？害怕继续亏损，只是对自己没信心的借口，各行各业经验最重要，术业有专攻，包括我在内谁前期还没交过学费？我能从亏损中走到终点，我相信你只不过差几个阶段。——有感而发，献给那些在亏损中挣扎迷茫的投资者。
　　　　陈大宾：建立基本面变动模型，研判市场情绪变化，用以判断趋势。十余年锤炼的技术分析研判短线细节。中线为主，短线为辅。对汇市、金市、油市、股市、债市等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特的见解。本文由陈大宾撰写，大宾用心写好每一段分析，传递有价值的投资理念。希望价有所值，值有所得；由于文章策略具有延时性；咨询陈大宾 Obtain the latest real-time market analysis.