gold:昨日价格反弹在1703一线遇阻回落,到今日早盘价格小时线延续弱势后出现反弹,目前来看反弹的幅度是大了些,但是由于现在还不是多头再度起航的时候,而且调整的时间也没结束,说明黄金依然看空,只是破位就很难了,转为震荡下跌。或者将今日的反弹和昨日反弹相对应。行情本来就是在走震荡下跌,只不过期间有弱势下行,也有反弹确定高点。从当前的情况来看,貌似下跌放缓,但实际上更重要的阻力昨日已经反弹测试过了,下跌中更加应该关注阻力,支撑只是用来做预期或者是下跌目标的,而现在就是日线冲高遇阻的时候,所以进一步明确1703之下高点调整并没有结束!黄金日线级别调整当前还没有结束,而是冲高回落。说明下行走调整的本质没有改变,那么还是要做空,而中长线方面在1650下方,可能也不会这么低,因为之前上升也是从这上来,然后才是1673as well as1697,所以作为前一波上升的上升来说,这个位置应该具备一点点支撑,那么在等到中线位置之前,短线交易刻不容缓。综合来看,今日晚间短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1685-1690Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1655-1650一线支撑。行情实时变化,添加笔者王今博WeiXinNumber(wjb9393)Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!
crude oil:原油从日线来上来看,重回空头排列,MACDandKDJ进场运行,由于合约交割造成的“假暴涨”,油价一度站上30日均线,随后连续两个交易日收阴,目前仍然受到30Daily moving average25.1附近阻力压制并失守10Daily moving average18.11附近支撑,有进一步试探5Daily moving average10.74附近支撑的迹象,下方较强支撑关注10关口,若失守该位置,则油价仍然可能跌向06美元附近;不过,由于5号合约跌破1999年来的低点,最低触及10美元附近,同时5号合约逐步移仓至6号合约也对油价构成一定支撑,临近月底,5月将开始实际实施的减产计划,同时也对油价构成一定支撑,短线仍然需要警惕油价震荡反弹的可能,上方初步阻力在10Daily moving average23.08附近,进一步较强阻力在30Daily moving average25.1附近,若突破该位置,则可能进一步试探因为合约切换跳空高开后所创出的高点于26.78USD;4month3Resistance to daily highs17.13附近。综合来看,今日晚间短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注20.0-21.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below12.5-11.5Frontline support. For friends who currently have orders on their positions, as I, Wang Jinbo, do not know the specific positions and details of your positions for hedging, it is difficult to provide a corresponding hedging strategy. If you need to unwind, you can do so on your own (official WeChat account:wjb9393)
今博寄语:我这里没有华丽的语言,只有实实在在的交易,以及明明郎朗的操作,市场只有一个方向,不是多头也不是空头,而是做对的方向。合理的风控+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, instead of constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible for them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with sudden rises and falls. However, if someone can see the situation clearly and provide direction outside the circle, they can do better.
This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393--Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above contents are personal suggestions, and because online posts are timely, they are only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting.