王今博：4.21原油回踩低多布局，黄金操作建议走势分析及解套

　　前言：急躁是冷静的天敌，投资者最需要的是冷静与理性，现货商品市场和其他产品交易市场一样，趋势总是变幻莫测，犹如一个巨大的战场，置身于市场中的投资者难免会心浮气躁，无法理性的分析市场以及认真的执行交易策略，使投资者的技术大打折扣，无法冷静客观的分析，从而做出错误的决定，急躁心理不仅容易失败，也容易丧失信心，最后的结果就是是惨淡退出。


Message: Monday(4month20day)U.S.Acrude oilfutures5月合约崩跌，史上首次跌至负值区域，收于令人瞠目结舌的每桶负37.63美元，因重要原油交割地库欣的储油空间接近极限，加剧了对即将到期的原油合约的抛售。美元因石油相关货币承压而微幅上涨，挪威克朗和加元表现最差。因油价大崩盘引发避险需求，金价创一周来最大升幅。


　　gold：黄金日线上看，周五现货黄金在周四收得倒挂阳十字星后，展开下跌，刺破MA5、10日均线，并收于下方，日线上，各项技术指标开始走弱，空头趋势开始出现，预计会继续延续跌势，随机指标温和走低，指示黄金回撤动能略微强化，这暗示黄金的多头滞涨的走势已经引发了空头整理盘面，产生的下跌，后面势必延续向下。


From4小时来看，周五呈现震荡下行趋势，持续走低，布林带上下轨开口收敛，MACDDead fork, green kinetic energy column slightly expanded,KDJ死叉，随机指标进一步走低，布林带上下轨开口收敛，表明短线可能进一步走低，短线也将继续承压下跌。周初短线可能会有一个小幅反弹，但整体看跌不变。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1700-1705Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1670-1665一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加笔者王今博WeiXinNumber（wjb9393）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!


　　原油：原油市场上从未发生过的事情于周一(4month20day)上演，原油期货价格跌至负值。WTI5Monthly crude oil futures settlement price report-37.63dollar/桶，历史首次收于负值，下跌55.9USD, decline305.97%。尽管许多人可能会看到这一点，并认为原油的总体价格是负的，但还是有细微差别的。简而言之，不是所有的原油都是免费的。因重要原油交割地俄克拉何马州库欣的储油空间迅速减少，促使交易员大举抛售。


　　世界主要产油国同意减产97010000 barrels/日，试图在需求下滑的情况下控制全球供应，但这些减产要到5月才开始实施。沙特正在紧锣密鼓地进行石油付运，包括向美国的大规模付运。全球石油消费量约为1Billion barrels/日，供应总体上也保持在这一水平。但目前全球消费下降了约30%，而到目前为止，减产规模远低于此。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注23.0-23.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below20.5-20.0Frontline support. For friends who currently have orders on their positions, as I, Wang Jinbo, do not know the specific positions and details of your positions for hedging, it is difficult to provide a corresponding hedging strategy. If you need to unwind, you can do so on your own (official WeChat account:wjb9393）


　　今博寄语：这个市场没有常胜将军，更没有神这一说，分析师都有出错的时候，那么关键问题来了，笔者王今博个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.


This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above contents are personal suggestions, and because online posts are timely, they are only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting.