黄金高空续跌看1643，原油还能抄底？04.20

　悲观者抱怨风向，乐观者期待转向，聪明者调整风帆，交易当中没有目标、没有期待，哪来的劲头，要学会偶尔的幻想，却不能沉湎于此。有句话说的话：有规划的人生叫蓝图，没规划的人生叫拼图。交易也是一样，震荡的时候少一些浮躁、多一点冷静，单边的时候少一些冲动、多一点坚定。
　　
International news:
　　
　　全球股市本周在加息预期和贸易前景的双重打压下节节败退，而gold很可能在隔夜跳升后趁胜追击，美总统周四宣布对进口中国商品的关税措施。此举可能招致中国的报复，使得对爆发全球贸易战的担忧升温。美国新临时支出法案恐将再度“流产”，美国政府面临着关门危机。据彭博周三报道，美国国会原定于周五临时支出法案到期前，促成1.3万亿美元的新支出法案，但该议程可能将被推迟。据悉，政策制定者们原来希望在当地时间周二结束之前公布法案，但因在移民、基建和管控的条款上仍未达成一致，目前谈判仍在继续。此前，众议院共和党人已将投票推迟至周四，现在或需要等到周五才能投票，意味着留给参议院的时间已经不多。
　　
Gold Message:
　　
Last Friday(4month17day)Boosted by two pieces of news, market risk sentiment suddenly heated up, with the US dollar, gold, andcrude oilThey all fell back one after another. US President Trump previously released guidelines for states to restart the economy in three stages, setting out testing standards that states must meet and requiring prompt provision of protective equipment for reopening. Trump said that the United States has passed the peak of the COVID-19, and healthy Americans will return to work when conditions permit. Two major negative news came Gold fell: after the news that US President Trump planned to restart the US economy and the preliminary data of COVID-19 treatment drugs came, investors chose more risky assets. Gold prices on Friday(4month17day)Falling2%。
　　
Gold technology:
　　
　　随着近期市场乐观情绪回升，短时间将对黄金构成压力，志豪点金认为在市场消化解除限制措施对于经济的影响之前，黄金短时间都将承压。日线来看黄金上周冲高回落收低，而且周初开盘强势快速冲高最高至1747.50一带承压。后半周中阴线回撤击穿千七关口改变强势走为回调修正，最低至1676In the area, this week's opening further continues the pullback, and the weekly closing has a cross with a longer upper shadow lineK线，周线上行放缓步入修正格调。日线十字KAfter the line, cooperate with the retracement of the bearish line. Periodic local adjustments. Loss of defense10日线之后，日线打破了强势上涨趋势，今日现货黄金小幅走低，一度刷新一周低点至1672.27，目前小幅回升至1678.97美元，上周五因投资者揣测美国经济不久将逐渐摆脱防疫封锁以及寻找疫情治疗方法的进程中出现了转机，美股上涨，使得黄金一度跌至1670美元附近。召锡目前从4小时来看黄金触及布林带上轨之后短线承压下行，黄金目前已经破位中轨一线并且下轨也逐步击破，但受目前疫情逐步扩撒短期会给黄金带来一定的之前情况，所以综合分析操作上志豪点金建议高空低多操作即可，上方关注1695—1700Resistance, pay attention below1670—1665支撑。有套单的朋友，可单线本人，由于笔者志豪点金不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线陈大宾微信号bzd99996327
　　
Crude Oil Message:
　　
　　本周欧美主要经济体将公布4monthMarkit PMIInitial value, number of initial jobless claims in the United States, and data on new home construction are worth paying attention to. Texas crude oil regulatory authorities continue to discuss oil production restrictions, and the earnings season continues. Technology stocks such as Netflix and Intel will release performance reports. The international market has been volatile this week, with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)（OPEC）Reached a historic production reduction agreement, International Monetary Fund（IMF）The significant reduction in global economic growth expectations has kicked off the earnings season for the US stock market. The epidemic situation of COVID-19 pneumonia continues to spread around the world. According to the data of Johns Hopkins University, as of the eastern time of the United States17day21Hour10Minutes (Beijing Time)18day9Hour10Points), the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 rose to700282For example, the global cumulative confirmed cases have exceeded225Wan. The data shows that from2Month to3In January, Saudi Arabia's oil exports to the United States more than doubled. The crude oil transported from Saudi Arabia to US ports2Monthly average36.610000 barrels/Daily increase3Of the month829540bucket/Day. This means that Saudi Arabia exported approximately to the United States last month2500Ten thousand barrels of crude oil, this is from2018year12The highest level since the beginning of the month. but4In the month, the numbers may continue to rise.
　　
Technical aspects of crude oil:
　　
　　周一国际原油价格扩大跌势，美原油5monthfutures合约触及逾20年来低点，此前最大产油国达成的减产协议被认为对于新冠疫情之下的需求受挫局面来说是杯水车薪，而且围绕贸易商的储油空间快速用尽的担忧越来越强烈。原油今日跳空开局17.7附近，开盘后油价出现下跌，出现了震荡下跌走势，上周五日线收盘中阴线，高点没有破前高，低点破前低出现落尾走势，均线空头排列，运行在k线上方形成压力，没有出现拐头迹象，日线级别连续下跌后，指标处于超卖区域中。在小时图显示，油价处于连续震荡下跌走势中，在19.2-20.5区间运行了一个震荡箱体后出现下跌，昨日同样在19.0-17.4出现了震荡区间后出现下跌，召锡目前从4小时来看价格触及中轨一线之后承压走低，但价格虚破下轨之后短期企稳上涨，指标上来看价格已经出现严重的超卖短期有修复指标的需求，所以综合分析操作上志豪点金建议高空低多操作即可，切记不要追空，上方关注19—19.2Resistance, pay attention below14.2-14.4支撑。有套单的朋友，可单线本人，由于笔者志豪点金不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线陈大宾微信号bzd99996327
　　
　　志豪寄语:In this investment market, there is a popular saying that when you meet the right person at the right time, what is the right person? I think it's just that a person in charge has the ability to prioritize the interests of clients, even if they stay up all night. As long as the order is still there, I will be;What is the right thing, trust, communication, cooperation, grasp every profitable order, so as long as you need it, I will always be there. There may not be a shortcut to success, but there must be a method. We should not be the audience of others' miracles, but rather take action ourselves and become the creators of miracles. Opportunities always favor those who are prepared, and miracles often happen to those who have vision. Thousand mile horses are common, but Bole is not. Choosing is important. I don't want to say how powerful I am, I just want to say that you are lucky because you met me; I also want to say that you are unfortunate because you missed me. Successful people often have different ways and paths, but they all have a common characteristic: seize the opportunity and seize it!
　　
The author of this article is Zhihao Dianjin, WeChatbzd99996327。