4.20The crude oil waterfall is experiencing a abnormal decline. How to grasp the future trend strategy of gold market

Nongfu Spring is advertising over and over again, not to make you buy immediately after seeing it, but to tell you about their persistence in water quality. Mercedes Benz stands up billboards one by one, not asking you to go immediately4SThe store collects the car, but tells you their attitude towards the car. I send suggestions time and time again, not to make you come to me immediately. Just wanted you to know aboutforeign exchangeInvestment, we are professionals. In depth analysis of the reasons for investment losses, Wang Jinbo teaches you the skills of market reading to safeguard your investment path!


　　没有不赚钱的投资，只有不成功的做单！是否赚钱在于买涨买跌时机的把握，赚钱靠机会，投资靠智慧，理财靠专业。王今博专注分析现货gold、crude oilForeign exchange products. Our professional team provides online analysis and one-on-one real-time guidance to help investors avoid risks, expand profits, and stay informed of international market trends anytime, anywhere, making the most stable orders. Guidance heat.Line（wjb9393）


　　——黄金行情走势分析


　　过去一周，现货黄金先扬后抑，在对新冠肺炎引发的经济担忧的推动下，一度于周二强势攀升至7Half year high, approaching1750dollar/盎司关口。黄金在周三和周四相对平静。不过，好景不长，在美国总统特朗普宣布三阶段重启经济计划以及有关瑞德西韦疗效的消息传来之后，空头很快发起猛攻，黄金价格在周五(4month17day)Faced with strong bearish pressure, it eventually fell to1700Below the US dollar level, close at1684.19dollar/Ounces, down4.71USD or0.28%。展望接下来一周，新冠肺炎动态、各国政府的应对举措以及其对经济的影响无疑是市场焦点所在。数据方面，所有高频数据，如周四公布的美国初请失业金人数，仍将是所有宏观基本面中最重要的市场驱动因素。周二公布的3月美国成屋销售数据也很重要，因为这些数据可能反映出未来消费者行为的一些变化。其他值得关注的数据包括4Monthly manufacturing industryPMI、3月新屋销售以及美国3月耐久财订单。


　　黄金技术面来看，现货黄金从日线来看，金价冲高后回落，延续上一交易日的下修走势，日内下破1700Da Guan, fell to1678.75Horizontal, clear breaking position200hourSMAThe support of the moving average.MACDGolden fork, red kinetic energy column narrowing,KDJDead cross, random indicator moderately declining, indicating a slight strengthening of gold pullback momentum, indicating a weakening of bullish sentiment towards gold in the market, while also being wary of the risk of pullback due to overbought. Spot gold from4小时来看，上周五黄金呈现震荡下行趋势，持续走低，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average is arranged in short positions,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are parallel downwards,MACDThe green momentum column of the indicator continues to increase in volume, with the fast and slow lines crossing downwards, further supporting the trend1675Nearby, if the support at this position is effectively breached, we will go to explore it1644Support position, this is3If the points tested since the end of the month fail again, the support level below will further look towards1600关口。综合来看：周一短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1700-1705Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1665-1670一线支撑。对黄金等投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，欢迎单线王今博wjb9393Is Weixin getting the latest information and daily market trend analysis!


　　——原油行情走势分析


　　本周欧美主要经济体将公布4monthMarkit PMIInitial value, number of initial jobless claims in the United States, and data on new home construction are worth paying attention to. Texas crude oil regulatory authorities continue to discuss oil production restrictions, and the earnings season continues. Technology stocks such as Netflix and Intel will release performance reports. The international market has been volatile this week, with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)（OPEC）Reached a historic production reduction agreement, International Monetary Fund（IMF）The significant reduction in global economic growth expectations has kicked off the earnings season for the US stock market. The epidemic situation of COVID-19 pneumonia continues to spread around the world. According to the data of Johns Hopkins University, as of the eastern time of the United States17day21Hour10Minutes (Beijing Time)18day9Hour10Points), the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 rose to700282For example, the global cumulative confirmed cases have exceeded225Wan. The data shows that from2Month to3In January, Saudi Arabia's oil exports to the United States more than doubled. The crude oil transported from Saudi Arabia to US ports2Monthly average36.610000 barrels/Daily increase3Of the month829540bucket/Day. This means that Saudi Arabia exported approximately to the United States last month2500Ten thousand barrels of crude oil, this is from2018year12The highest level since the beginning of the month. but4In the month, the numbers may continue to rise.


Crude oilfuturesOnce rose more than5%; Although there were two brief dips during the US market period, they quickly regained their lost ground and ultimately closed up close to2%。WTICrude oil futures also opened high and closed low, rising more than2%However, the late trading trend was poor and ultimately ended in a decline1.88%On Friday morning Beijing time, US President Trump announced guidelines allowing the US economy to reopen. Trump stated that the federal government's guidelines allow for a three-stage restart of the economy. On Thursday, crude oil prices turned lower as US crude oil inventories surged far beyond expectations amid the severe impact of the pandemic on demand, which may mean that the previously decided production cuts by oil producing countries were only a drop in the bucket. Wang Jinbo believes that this may sound counterintuitive, but the inventory growth far exceeds expectations(In the morning session)Providing some price support factors, this is a precursor to more oil well closures, and wellhead closures actually indicate a decrease in US supply, which has been ongoing since crude oil exploration18Running above the first line, although the backtesting is slightly deeper, it is close to the previous low point. The weekly line continues to be in the bottom of the market, and negative news has been released continuously recently. However, the price is still stabilizing near the low point, and there is no volume decline stage. The news has focused on releasing pressure, but there has been no new low in prices. At this stage, even if a new low is reached, it will quickly recover.4From an hourly perspective, crude oil prices are falling and touching14.5After the support of the position, there was a stabilization followed by a volatile trend, and fromKFrom the performance of the line, the support is also effective, and the downward trend indicates that there is a gradual increase in buying power in the market. Wang Jinbo is currently4From an hourly perspective, the price has been running below the mid track, with a bearish trend in the cycle. However, based on indicators, there has been a serious oversold situation, so there has been a constant pursuit of short positions. Therefore, Wang Jinbo suggests to buy at a low level and then go short based on today's opening trend. It is undeniable that everyone who is trading wants to make a profit, but the prerequisite is to find the right direction. If you need help, you can add Wang Jinbo's official guidance WeChat（wjb9393）Get real-time guidance.


　　——今博寄语


　　周一，本该是继周末之后一个令人期待的时间，因为这一天充满了新生，我们期待着这一天会发生不一样的事，期待着好运到来，期待着不一样的生活，但是你不得不打开手机，打开电脑，打开盘面，要关注今天的行情，关注手里的套单是否给你机会出来，这个周末对你来说过得并不如意，因为你怕下周行情会再涨，你怕亏损的越来越严重，茶饭不思，投资就是你的一切，但是生活该是这个样子吗？不是，不要以为你做多行情下跌是你运气不好，不要做空行情上涨就是你不适合投资，赚不赚钱不是行情说的算，也不是你说的算，而是由我们共同说的算，初来乍到，就不要留有遗憾的离开这个市场。


　　我常说，计划你的交易，交易你的计划，我不可能保证你单单获利，也不敢保证你一单不亏，在我看来，如果有谁能在这个市场做肯定的回答，那不仅是人品的问题，更是对你们不负责任，不管是资金也好，生活也罢，行情在时刻变化着，我们的思路也需要做不断的调整，有一份属于并且合适你自己的交易计划，可能你的盈利短期来说并不是那么乐观，却始终是一个健康稳健的方法，这会多一点愉悦，少一些操劳，我们做的是交易，是投资，不要去为难自己的身体与资金，我每天给大家更新文章并不是为了证明自己多么厉害，而是我始终觉得，进入到这个市场我们就是这个市场的一份子，或多或少，你都要学到点什么东西，因为这些东西会是属于你的，也是一生受用的，在保证自己稳定生存的前提下，在寻找获利的方法，是最有效且最实在的。


This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice, and because the online posting is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting