Shi Wanjin:4.20Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil, short-term intraday trading recommendations for short selling layout

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The game in the investment market is like the experience of life's ups and downs. The changes in the market have rules to follow, while the changes in human nature are unpredictable. Many investments Friends facing the ups and downs of the market may shake their original intentions over time, become anxious about gains and losses, and more seriously, evolve into startled birds If you don't have good determination, you will be led by the market, and without a good mentality, it is easy to make mistakes. It's best to invest in friends correctly Make a plan for your own investment, set a reasonable return target based on the amount of funds, and do not blindly make orders, which may cause unnecessary losses. In There is no friend in the market who does not want to achieve excess returns, but there are always only a few winners in the market?The path of life is depicted by the heart The success of investment requires wisdom to be obtained.
goldTrend analysis:
Daily lineVThe trend is rising, and in the daily chart, the international gold price has reached its highest point in nearly seven and a half years1747.36Subsequently, there was some pressure and it fell for three consecutive trading days.MACDGolden forkKDJDead cross trend but index at80This indicates that the market's bullish sentiment towards gold has weakened, while also being alert to the possibility of a pullback risk due to overbought4Hourly high volatility; At the 4-hour level, the gold price is1700Narrow oscillations above the checkpoint; The upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands converge,MACDDead fork,KDJDead cross with exponent at30This indicates that the short-term trend may further decline. Pay attention to the support below first1666Barrier, this is an important psychological barrier and is also similar to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands; Once it breaks, it will increase short-term bearish sentiment, so pay further attention1600frontline.
Gold from1670Starting to rebound and explore from left to right1747The area is starting to decline and explore the current situation1678Nearby, currently1700If the gold price recovers from the initial resistance level above, it will weaken the short-term bearish signal,5Daily moving average resistance1711.97nearby,If the position is recovered, increase the short-term bullish signal and pay attention above the short-term1695-1700Resistance, pay attention below1670-1665Support. The recommended intraday operation is to focus on rebounding at high altitudes.
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
proposal1687—1690Short selling, stop loss1698US dollars, stop profit view1640nearby
Stabilize below1640Go long later, stop loss5US dollars, stop profit view1660nearby
crude oilTrend analysis:
Short term US crude oil4The downward trend has temporarily slowed down in the hour, and yesterday's dip did not break through the low level. It is currently consolidating horizontally at a low level, and the space is starting to shrink. For a weak market, as long as it is sideways at a low level, it is beneficial for the bulls. There is no room for decline, and after a low-level consolidation, there will be a rebound. Of course, a reversal still requires spatial coordination. The current structure appears to have closed today's weekly chart, with low volatility expected to dominate. But due to holding on19.20Low point, short-term operations should be done at an appropriate low and short position, and a rebound can be timely put into the bag. Today's short-term trading recommendation is to focus on rebounding at high levels, with a particular emphasis on short-term trading above19.4-20.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below16-15Frontline support.
proposal17.5Short selling, stop loss5US dollars, look at the target16.5frontline
The following are common misconceptions among many investors:
Misconception 1: The mentality of turning over funds in investment and financial management
The mentality of flipping through the book is the most common type of investment blocking psychology. Just after losing one order, one thinks of quickly building another order to recover the loss Another new loss has arrived. Therefore, the most important thing after a loss is to calm down and take a break, rather than immediately starting over just to make up for it Next entry.
Misconception 2: Trading at the Opening of Investment and Wealth Management
In the first few minutes of the market opening, the market may be very unstable, and sudden surges or drops are also common situations. So beginners should Try to avoid trading during this time period to avoid losses.
Misconception 3: Hasty exit in investment and financial management
It is generally better to use stop loss or trailing stop loss orders when exiting, as a hasty exit may result in missing out on stronger market trends And greater profits.
Misconception 4: Adding positions when losses occur in investment and financial management
The market will definitely turn back, I just opened my position too early. "This is the most wrong mentality in crude oil investment. If we add it here Investing may result in even greater losses. Investment should not have a mentality of luck. Additional investments can only be made when profits are made.
Misconception 5: Ignoring the timing of closing positions in investment and financial management
If the entire market starts to decline, these already losing positions may be the biggest part of your losses, which means you should first level them out These positions. A good position will not fall quickly, on the other hand, they may also rise again. So don't rush to liquidate profits Position.
Misconception 6: Pursuing Perfect Positions in Investment and Financial Management
Always thinking about entering or closing positions at the best point is also a greedy mentality, which is more likely to bring greater losses.
Misconception 7: Reverse market operations in investment and financial management
Any wave of market fluctuations is formed through the accumulation of a period of time and some events, so how much risk is there in operating against the market It is unrealistic to expect to reverse the long-term accumulation of market trends, so investment needs to follow the trend.
Misconception 8: Overnight Holding in Investment and Wealth Management
Unless in special circumstances, it is not recommended to hold positions overnight. As mentioned earlier, there may be many unexpected market events when the market opens again the next day Changes and overnight positions may catch you off guard.
Misconception 9: When issuing a warning to open an opposite position in investment and financial management, close the position
Many system transactions enter the market continuously. These systems are usually open positions. This means that in order to build a short position, we have to liquidate one Long warehouse. Someone can use this method, but they must close the position earlier: the closing price must be higher than the opening price.
Misconception 10: Hesitation in Investment and Financial Management
Investment must be decisive. Once you have a good outlook, you should act decisively. Even if you lose, there is a tool called stop loss to help reduce losses, But every time I place an order, I am indecisive and watching waves of good market conditions pass by, it is impossible to make a profit.
The human heart is the greatest skill, and when most people focus on firing in a certain direction, they must weigh and consider more Whether it is easy or not, it is often because you take it for granted that you should do this or that, and what you do is that you cannot pass the task in the end Two tears welled up in my eyes, and the 80/20 rule is an eternal iron law.Wen/Shi Wanjin  (WeChat:swj178）