国际现货黄金周五(4month17day)Under pressure, the US market hit its lowest point during trading1679.94dollar/盎司,一路跌破1710、1700and1690At the three major checkpoints, investors' risk sentiment was boosted as the United States sounded the horn of restarting economic plans, and the stock market continued to rise. Earlier this week, due to concerns about the worst economic recession in decades, gold reached7年来的最高点。但全球金融市场从特朗普逐步重启美国经济的计划中得到安慰,盖过了对数据显示中国遭受有史以来最严重的季度经济收缩的担忧。
技术面看,黄金日线图表形态显示,价格受阻于1750After the level gradually drops,KDJThe indicator deviates from the top of the overbought area and falls out of the dead cross, and combines withK线结构,暗示行情继续下行的风险相当高。四小时图表形态显示,短期价格呈现震荡回落的迹象,反映多头动能正在衰竭。同时,MACD指标的顶背离引发了更多下行修正的猜测。日内重要支撑在楔形下轨。一旦确认楔形跌破,则会带来更多的看跌信号,或令后市进一步跌向1650附近。但需要注意KDJ在超卖区底背离的信号,一旦形成此信号,不排除短线有较大幅度的反弹。下周操作上梁乾东建议反弹做空为主,短线上方重点关注1705-1710Resistance, pay attention below1660-1665Support.
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal views and does not constitute a specific operation. The article has a lag effect, and based on this operation, one is responsible for their own profits and losses. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
It expires next week5The monthly US crude oil contract fell to per barrel during trading17.31The daily low of the US dollar is2001year11The lowest level since the beginning of the month;5monthWTIContract ratio6Monthly contract discount close7dollar/Bucket, approaching11年来最大期限价差;该futuresWill be on4month21Due to expiration, investors quickly transition from5The monthly US crude oil futures contract has been transferred6月合约。与此同时,实物市场价格已经低于期货,巴肯、加拿大WCS等内陆原油价格约为11-12dollar/桶。在美国,一个大型的ETF计划将部分巨大的期货头寸转换到下个月;美国近月合约出现很大的折让,因为人们担心库欣的仓储中心将装满。这已经使美国价格与伦敦的布伦特期货脱节。持有期货合约的人,如果不能现在平仓,那就必须交割。