Shi Wanjin:4.20Analysis of the intraday long short market trend in gold and recommendations for short-term crude oil trading

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The game in the investment market is like the experience of life's ups and downs. The changes in the market have rules to follow, while the changes in human nature are unpredictable. Many investments Friends facing the ups and downs of the market may shake their original intentions over time, become anxious about gains and losses, and more seriously, evolve into startled birds If you don't have good determination, you will be led by the market, and without a good mentality, it is easy to make mistakes. It's best to invest in friends correctly Make a plan for your own investment, set a reasonable return target based on the amount of funds, and do not blindly make orders, which may cause unnecessary losses. In There is no friend in the market who does not want to achieve excess returns, but there are always only a few winners in the market?The path of life is depicted by the heart The success of investment requires wisdom to be obtained.
goldTrend analysis:
Last Friday, gold came under pressure as expected1720Shaking and falling, the European market broke through during the trading session1700Integer level, once retreated to below1683Nearby, yes10Daily line1688There is some puncture, and the evening market is surrounded by10The daily chart is oscillating near the daily line, with a large bearish candlestick closing.
In terms of daily structure, last Friday's bearish closing was within expectations, as the closing pattern of the first three days determined that the bearish correction is likely to continue,10The daily chart has been effectively punctured, so there may be further inertia in the short-term market to fall and adjust, which requires special attention below1673-70One belt support test, even with the possibility of later drawdown20Daily line1650Nearby possibilities.
Based on the hourly and daily chart patterns, it is expected that there will likely be further inertia correction in the market at the beginning of the week, but currently1683There is also support nearby, so it may rise first and then fall later at the beginning of the week. Focus on the top1695-1700Short term pressure competition in the area, if the rebound at the beginning of the week does not break through1700There is a high possibility that the intraday market will experience a habitual decline and retreat1670Even extending to20Daily line1650Nearby. And if the market returns1700Above, the uncertainty of short-term market trends increases, but it does not provide much help for operations. During the day, gold still focuses on selecting high and short positions, but key support levels below can also be attempted for short long participation.
Operation suggestions:
proposal1695Short selling, stop loss1700, Objective1680-1670；
proposal1660Long, stop loss1655, Objective1675-1685；
crude oilTrend analysis:
Last Friday's white pan oil05Pressure bearing20Shaking and falling, there was a wave of accelerated correction during the European trading session, with a pullback below18After nearby, the market rebounded again and pressure was measured19.2Under pressure nearby, it will be repaired again, and later it will drop again18.4Nearby, the intraday trend has been fluctuating, fully reflecting the abnormal trend risk caused by the weakening of market liquidity before the current shift of positions and months.
short-term4Temporarily slowing down in the hour, as long as it is in a low-level sideways position, it is beneficial for bulls. Even if it breaks the level, if the short-term market can evolve into a bottom divergence, there can be expectations of a stop and rebound. Steady individuals can temporarily choose to wait and see to avoid the uncertainty risks brought by shifting warehouses and months. If you are radical, try to choose low and long, but be sure to maintain a light position and make profits0.3-0.5Once the space is available, the break even and stop loss policy will be implemented to protect the holding order. In addition, according to the daily chart structure and corresponding status5The monthly contract price is consistent with previous expectations, and it is not ruled out that the market may further retreat in the future15-16The possibility of.
Operation suggestions:
proposal17.5Long, stop loss17, look at the goal19-20frontline
The following are common misconceptions among many investors:
Misconception 1: The mentality of turning over funds in investment and financial management
The flip over mentality is the most common type of investment gambling mentality, where one immediately thinks of building another order to recover the loss after losing one order Another new loss has arrived. Therefore, the most important thing after a loss is to calm down and take a break, rather than immediately starting over just to make up for it Next entry.
Misconception 2: Trading at the Opening of Investment and Wealth Management
In the first few minutes of the market opening, the market may be very unstable, and sudden surges or drops are also common situations. So beginners should Try to avoid trading during this time period to avoid losses.
Misconception 3: Hasty exit in investment and financial management
It is generally better to use stop loss or trailing stop loss orders when exiting, as a hasty exit may result in missing out on stronger market trends And greater profits.
Misconception 4: Adding positions when losses occur in investment and financial management
The market will definitely turn back, I just opened my position too early. "This is the most wrong mentality in crude oil investment. If we add it here Investing may result in even greater losses. Investment should not have a mentality of luck. Additional investments can only be made when profits are made.
Misconception 5: Ignoring the timing of closing positions in investment and financial management
If the entire market starts to decline, these already losing positions may be the biggest part of your losses, which means you should first level them out These positions. A good position will not fall quickly, on the other hand, they may also rise again. So don't rush to liquidate profits Position.
Misconception 6: Pursuing Perfect Positions in Investment and Financial Management
Always thinking about entering or closing positions at the best point is also a greedy mentality, which is more likely to bring greater losses.
Misconception 7: Reverse market operations in investment and financial management
Any wave of market fluctuations is formed through the accumulation of a period of time and some events, so how much risk is there in operating against the market It is unrealistic to expect to reverse the long-term accumulation of market trends, so investment needs to follow the trend.
Misconception 8: Overnight Holding in Investment and Wealth Management
Unless in special circumstances, it is not recommended to hold positions overnight. As mentioned earlier, there may be many unexpected market events when the market opens again the next day Changes and overnight positions may catch you off guard.
Misconception 9: When issuing a warning to open an opposite position in investment and financial management, close the position
Many system transactions enter the market continuously. These systems are usually open positions. This means that in order to build a short position, we have to liquidate one Long warehouse. Someone can use this method, but they must close the position earlier: the closing price must be higher than the opening price.
Misconception 10: Hesitation in Investment and Financial Management
Investment must be decisive. Once you have a good outlook, you should act decisively. Even if you lose, there is a tool called stop loss to help reduce losses, But every time I place an order, I am indecisive and watching waves of good market conditions pass by, it is impossible to make a profit.
The human heart is the greatest skill, and when most people focus on firing in a certain direction, they must weigh and consider more Whether it is easy or not, it is often because you take it for granted that you should do this or that, and what you do is that you cannot pass the task in the end Two tears welled up in my eyes, and the 80/20 rule is an eternal iron law.Wen/Shi Wanjin  (WeChat:swj178）