Zhou Hongjin:4.19Gold plummets deep, crude oil crashes again-Analysis Strategy for the Opening Trend of Gold Crude Oil on Monday

Summary:goldMarket trends, gold trading strategies, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
Trading is a process of patiently waiting for opportunities to emerge, not because one is at a loss, but because one has a plan in mind,95%The profit always comes from5%的交易，守株待兔是一种交易策略，有时候主动出击只会将兔子吓跑，耐心等待确定信号的出现，避免模糊不清阶段的盲目投资。市场是一个有经验的人获得更多金钱，有金钱的人获得更多经验的地方，每个新手都会从失败的教训中汲取经验，聪明的人则从专业团队的帮助中获利。市场就是一个放大镜，会无限的放大你的缺点，真正的亏损来源于错误已经显而易见还不去修正或者认错，并将错误延续，投资市场有一个怪现象，就是赚钱的永远在赚钱，深套的永远在深套，不知道自身的承受极限是多少，也不知道盈利目标是多少，不是被套就是在被套的路上。
Message interpretation:
　　刚刚过去的一周，卫生事件大考正式拉开帷幕！卫生事件肆虐令世界多国陷入封锁状态，全球供应链被撕裂，本周丑陋的宏观数据以及企业财报正在凸显出经济遭到的深度破坏，多份悲观的全球经济报告更是令前景布满阴霾。在这种绝望的战时状态中，唯一的希望就是卫生事件逐渐见顶、经济活动重启。因有初步迹象显示，卫生事件最严重的欧洲、美国部分地区到达卫生事件最高峰，欧美开始逐渐解除封锁，美国总统川普16Announced a three-stage restart. The record breaking weak data, bleak corporate financial reports, and extremely pessimistic global economic forecasts in the first half of the week dampened sentiment, and safe haven sentiment pushed gold prices to a seven-and-a-half-year high, with the US dollar briefly breaking through100However, as Trump revived its economic plan to bring hope, the stock market rebounded, the dollar and gold prices both fell, and the oil price collapsed.
　　接下来的一周，市场将会公布一系列重磅经济数据，其中包括英国就业数据，英国零售和CPIData, Eurozone and UK manufacturing industryPMIManufacturing industry in the United StatesPMIIn addition to daily monitoring of financial events and data such as durable goods orders in the United States, investors also need to closely monitor the progress of overseas public health and safety issues, as well as new policy developments from governments and central banks around the world.
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，金价冲高回落，当周基本收平，并收出长上影周kLine, Trump's plan to re open the United States was launched, and the market risk sentiment had a little good change, and the gold price fell back from the seven-year high. However, many supporting factors remain strong medium-term support for gold prices, the weak state of the US economy, the global economy deeply mired in recession, the Federal Reserve's unlimited easing measures, the US government's fiscal deficit, and political risks, all of which are important factors supporting the long-term rise of gold prices.
　　
　　技术面来看，国际金价周二最高触及近七年半高点1747.36Refresh again to2012year11After reaching its highest level since the end of the month, it came under pressure and fell back, briefly breaking through1680At the US dollar level, the deepest decline reached2.20%, refresh4month13Since the low point of the day1679.94dollar/Ounces, ultimately recording a large bearish line, daily lineMACDThe golden fork but the red one can start to shrink,KDJForming a dead cross in overbought areas, gold price falls1700Integer level, there is a risk of further pullback in the short term, with initial support at the weekly low1676Nearby, if it continues to decline, take a closer look1644First line, this is1703.39-1451.55Downtrend76.4%Retreat position, however, due toMACDThe golden cross signal is still present, and the moving average is still in a bullish position. If the gold price remains stable1676If there is support nearby, we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a volatile rebound in gold prices,1700If the gold price recovers from the initial resistance level above, it will weaken the short-term bearish signal,5Daily moving average resistance1711.97nearby,If the position is recovered, it will increase the short-term bullish signal, and the resistance at Thursday's high point will be1738.7Nearby, further strong resistance reached a seven-and-a-half-year high on Tuesday1747.36Nearby; Overall, the operational strategy for next Monday is based on last week's Hongjin（zh66646）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:1700.00；1711.97；
　　
Focus on support below:1680.00；1676.00
　　
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　　二、美原油走势分析（2006Contract No.)
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，美原油价格遭到暴击，尽管周初OPEC+历史性减产协议带来利好，但好景不长，随着美国原油库存增加、剩余库存空间紧张以及原油需求出现创纪录的下降，三者共同施压，令原油futures价格遭受重创。美国原油期货价格周五收跌，创下18年来的最低收盘价，本周累计下跌近20%。美国原油期货价格跌至2002年初以来的最低水平，但本周引起投资者关注的是近月和远月之间的价差。但当前油价所处的环境可能是最为困难的环境，而油价已经基本充分消化了诸多利空，投资者要对油价可能出现的强劲反弹保持谨慎。
　　
　　技术面来看，油价涨跌互现，美国原油库存迅速增加，抵消了美国总统川普关于美国经济从卫生事件封锁中重启的计划带来的乐观情绪。美国原油期货触及逾18年低点，延续了跌势，周到期的5The monthly US crude oil contract fell to per barrel during trading17.31The daily low of the US dollar is2001year11The lowest level since the beginning of the month;5monthWTIContract ratio6Monthly contract discount close7dollar/Bucket, approaching11The largest term price difference in the past year; This futures will be available in4month21Due to expiration, investors quickly transition from5The monthly US crude oil futures contract has been transferred6月合约；日线录得六连阴，MACDGolden fork,KDJ也有结成金叉的迹象，布林线轨道开始收口，上方阻力首先关注30Daily moving average25.73，进一步阻力关注因合约切换造成的跳空高点26.78，上方强阻力留意30整数关口，若突破该位置，则上行通道将被打开；不过，由于由于5号合约比6号合约贴水近7美元，日图显示的暴涨属于一种假象，下方初步支撑首先关注布林线中轨24.31Nearby, further support at10Daily moving average23.72Nearby, if the position is lost, the oil price may step back again20整数关口，一旦该位置失守，预计油价将回补因合约切换造成的跳空缺口，重新下探19.20一线；综合来看，综合来看，油价短线仍然偏向震荡下行，但是周鸿金（zh66646）个人建议下周短线操作思路上看空不追空，耐心等待反弹信号布局中线多单即可；
　　
Focus on resistance above:25.73；26.78；
　　
Focus on support below:24.31；23.72;
　　
　　行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取！
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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