Shi Wanjin:4.19Crude oil trend analysis, gold opening market forecast for next week, operational recommendations

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Once the mindset is clear, there will be no blind spots in operation. Correct analysis is only the first step towards successful investment, and implementing a trading plan is a major key to success. Successful investment not only requires correct market analysis, but also correct risk management and psychological control. If the pace is wrong, there will definitely be a disconnect in the process. Psychological control between these three is the most important, followed by risk management, and then analytical skills. The ups and downs of the market generally affect most investors. The mentality of being afraid of rising short and afraid of falling long is common, and at this time, it is necessary to have operational principles to constrain and strictly execute in order to reap profits, rather than blindly changing positions. It will make the losses even more severe, so follow Shi Wanjin's steady operation, Make profit a habit!
goldTrend analysis:
Gold under pressure as expected on Friday1720Shaking and falling, the European market broke through during the trading session1700Integer level, once retreated to below1683Nearby, yes10Daily line1688There is some puncture, and the evening market is surrounded by10The daily chart is oscillating near the daily line, with a large bearish candlestick closing.
From the perspective of daily chart structure, yesterday's bearish closing was within expectations, as the closing pattern of the first three days determines that the bearish correction is likely to continue,10The daily chart has been effectively punctured, so there may be further inertia in the short-term market to fall and adjust, which requires special attention below1673-70One belt support test, even with the possibility of later drawdown20Daily line1650Nearby possibilities.
Based on the hourly and daily chart patterns, it is expected that there will likely be further inertia correction in the market at the beginning of the week, but currently1683There is also support nearby, so it may rise first and then fall later at the beginning of the week. Focus on the top1695-1700Short term pressure competition in the area, if the rebound at the beginning of the week does not break through1700There is a high possibility that the market will experience a habitual decline and retreat next week1670Even extending to20Daily line1650Nearby. And if the market returns1700Above, the uncertainty of short-term market trends increases, but it does not provide much help for operations. Next week, gold will still focus on selecting high and short positions, but key support levels below can also be attempted for short long participation.
Operation suggestions:
proposal1695Short selling, stop loss1700, Objective1680-1670；
proposal1660Long, stop loss1655, Objective1675-1685；
crude oilTrend analysis:
Friday white pan oil05Pressure bearing20Shaking and falling, there was a wave of accelerated correction during the European trading session, with a pullback below18After nearby, the market rebounded again and pressure was measured19.2The area is under pressure and undergoing further repairs. Currently, it has fallen again18.4Nearby, the intraday trend has been fluctuating, fully reflecting the abnormal trend risk caused by the weakening of market liquidity before the current shift of positions and months.
short-term4Temporarily slowing down in the hour, as long as it is in a low-level sideways position, it is beneficial for bulls. Even if it breaks the level, if the short-term market can evolve into a bottom divergence, there can be expectations of a stop and rebound. Steady individuals can temporarily choose to wait and see to avoid the uncertainty risks brought by shifting warehouses and months. If you are radical, try to choose low and long, but be sure to maintain a light position and make profits0.3-0.5Once the space is available, the break even and stop loss policy will be implemented to protect the holding order. In addition, according to the daily chart structure and corresponding status5The monthly contract price is consistent with previous expectations, and it is not ruled out that the market may further retreat in the future15-16The possibility of.
Operation suggestions:
proposal17.5Long, stop loss17, look at the goal19-20frontline
黄金操作中如何观察上涨和下跌：
黄金原油操作中如何快速识别反抽（回调）、反弹、
市场下跌并不是一成不变的过程，在下跌的过程中有时也会出现反向上涨的行情。根据不同的上行力度和可能的演变结果，大致可将其分为二类：反抽行情、反弹行情、。下面就来简单介绍一下它们各自的特点——
一、反抽
即经过一段时间的持续下跌后、显示出跌不下去的感觉，甚至技术指标处于超跌状态，盘面显示成交量到了地量，这时候出现的一次上涨。但此时的反抽并非是目的，而是手段。它让人错以为是反弹了，倘若在这样的反抽行情中跟风买入，势必会上当。其主要特征是：
1、反抽时成交量较小，量能无法有效放大。2、反抽时缺乏领涨的热点或新的有影响力的领头羊。3、反抽时缺乏增量资金积极入场的迹象。4、反抽的高度不会触及顶部和破位的位置，对上档调整压力起不到多少消化作用。
反抽的最重要投资原则就是“卖”。 因为，反抽是对阶段性顶部和破位走势的一种确认，破位后的反抽力量有限，往往不具有短线参与的价值。
所以，投资者至少要中线看空后市，坚决不追高，有获利立即了结，没有获利也要采用以逢高减仓为主的投资原则。
值得投资者注意的是：即使投资者中线看空后市，也不要在短线连续急跌之后盲目斩仓出局，而应采用稳健的投资策略趁大盘反抽之际，择机卖出。
这种卖出机会通常是选在发现上涨行情露出疲态，或触及上挡阻力线的时候。
二、反弹
即在下跌途中，突发某种利好消息，市场主力乘机将计就计，利用消息强劲拉升价格。
但是一般的反弹仅能连续三阳，很少出现五连阳或七连阳的情况。连续三阳后大盘或股价有回档整理的必要。倘若回档整理2-3天，大盘或个股继续发力攀升，就意味着主力机构要做一波像样的反弹行情。
但不管其反弹速率多快多强，都要密切观察其反弹有没有超越历史高峰。如果在顶部附近开始回头，冲顶力度不足，说明上档压力较高，昭示着反弹趋向结束。
特别是对于快速反弹行情，投资者需要克制参与的念头，对其敬而远之。正所谓：“反弹不是底、是底不反弹”，反弹行情并不是市场趋势的根本扭转，反弹过后，市场仍将下跌。
投资者抢反弹目的是降低持仓成本和博取短线利润，而快速反弹在反弹空间和反弹时间方面，都没有给投资者留下获利余地，因此，不适宜参与昙花一现的快速反弹行情。
投资操作看盘技巧：
作为投资者，我们应该在进行黄金交易前要严格打好基本功，学习全面分析走势，在走势中挖掘获利点和止损点，才能在黄金投资的路上降低风险、收获高收益。那么下面就是石万金帮助各位投资者总结的几点看盘小技巧：
看多空：不管你是做多，还是做空，盯住当天的最高点和最低点，如果每天的高低点超过了昨日的最高或最低点，意味着行情有变，也就是较为简单地判断多空之分
看力度：连续的拉升或下跌，走势大变;But rockets or waterfalls that do not break through critical points often have limited strength and are often low in altitude.
看振幅：振幅在昨日的高低点之内，行情无忧，但当缩小到无心盯盘时，往往是变盘前奏，要特加留意;The high and low points of the day exceeded yesterday's high and low points, with an increase in amplitude. We need to focus on breaking through the resistance level with important support. There is still range oscillation, but there is room for operation.
看技术：懂图形的每天看看日KWhat type of line is it in, and what is it like yesterdayKComparative analysis of lines. Mainly focus on the changes in pressure and support levels, do not ignore them if they do not change, and adjust the operating strategy accordingly if there are changes.
Investment itself is a game, not only a science, but also an art. Most people may not understand investment and think it is just about making money. However, the true meaning of investment is for investors to learn how to use and control money, that is, the ability to make money. As a financial investment, it is a very special investment because it is completely a game of money and naturally requires the help of platforms for all financial investments.
The author Shi Wanjin is a financial investment analyst who has been working in the financial industry for many years, researching international situations and hot events. The financial field is vast and profound, with daily market fluctuations. All I can do is use my years of research experience to help everyone. myself06I entered the financial field in [year] and have rich practical experience. I am skilled in trends, investment, and living a balanced life. I enjoy fishing, mountaineering, hiking, and fitness, seeking truth from facts, and not bothering anyone. Keeping up with the market is our unchanging choice. Strive to do the right thing, and it all depends on who you go with! Wen Dao has its own sequence, and there are specialized professions.Wen/Shi Wanjin  (WeChat:swj178）