Zhou Hongjin:4.17Gold rebounds and falls, while crude oil hits new lows-Analysis of the latest trend of gold crude oil and operational strategies

Summary:goldMarket trends, gold trading strategies, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
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Message interpretation:
　　4month17On the day, the improvement of risk appetite caused the international gold price to fall more than once1.8%The United States has a preliminary plan to restart the economy, and the trial of COVID-19 is expected to be successful, and the dollar index bottoms out and picks up within the day. The Chinese economy experienced a year-on-year decline in the first quarter6.8%But3The Chinese economy has significantly improved in the month, especially with the sharp narrowing of industrial decline, giving the market a glimmer of hope. But gold prices are expected to record a second consecutive weekly increase, with the Federal Reserve's balance sheet increasing to a record high this week6.42Trillion dollars. During the European period, two major international crude oilsfuturesPrice turns down, China's first quarterGDPThe unexpected contraction has offset the optimism previously brought about by US President Trump's plan to restart economic activity. Saudi Arabia stated that it has notified some refining companies in Asia,5We will supply crude oil in full according to the contracted quantity every month.OPEC+We have decided to reduce production almost1000Thousands of barrels, but even if the United States, Norway, and other countries are notOPEC+Oil producing countries reduce production again100010000 barrels/Day, the supply will still be close100010000 barrels/Daily surplus.
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　技术面来看，黄金亚欧盘击穿千七关口，短线走空，周初整理四个交易日，临了周线收官之作来一波反向回撤，目前小时KThe line chart has broken the oscillation range and turned into a bearish downward trend, while also touching the daily chart10The daily support has not shown signs of recovery, although there was a rebound during the trading session, the European market continued to break through. The short-term trend breaks through the range, and the US market continues to be bearish. Currently, there is a further downward trend, and the rebound high point in the European market is the short-term bearish defense point. The US market continues to be bearish once before the rebound, and resistance moves down to1696-1695Near rebound hits empty, defend1702Above, look down at the target1678-1668.Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout consultation with Zhou Hongjin（zh66646）Get it for free!
　　
　　二、美原油走势分析（2005Contract No.)
　　
　　技术面来看，原油亚欧盘整理后失守19.20Low point and18Integer threshold, lowest touch17.6，低位再放量，使得小周期看上去依旧显弱，但是底部放量行情，阴线下挫快，转换反弹力度也大，超跌反弹买盘重，短线虽然趋势还未反转空头，但不太好再去追空，短线做多容易洗损。毕竟短线单损位不能放太大。不然在这种弱势行情中容易成为炮灰。中线等待美盘出新低后依旧适当补仓。整体仓位控制在10%左右。前期在放量中见位直接轻仓补多，后期启稳再补到正常仓位。控制整体仓位个人认为问题不大，不可重仓，重仓容易洗在黎明前，别人恐惧时正是入场时机，但是也要严格仓位以防控制风险。别在最后一跌的途中被洗出局。支撑关注17.6-17；行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金（zh66646）Get it for free!
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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