Chen Dabin4.17Why did gold plummet? Multiple order releases! Crude oil operation suggestions and trend analysis

　　从本质上来说，投资本来就是一项少数人才能够获得成功的事。如果每个人都能成功投资，那投资就和吃饭、喝水一样，变得没有意义。而绝大部分不赚钱的投资者，在投资的时候都是跟着感觉走。他们往往会根据自己不成熟、不专业的投资经验，去盲目判断goldcrude oilThe height, trend, etc. Following the feeling and appearing carefree on the surface often leads to the loss of the principal in the end. Those seemingly inhumane successful investments are because investors never believe in their own feelings. They are better able to confront human weaknesses and analyze and judge based on facts, laws, and other factors. To achieve this, one must have strong willpower. Unfortunately, ordinary investors do not have this kind of willpower and naturally view the rational behaviors of successful investors as "inhumane" heretics.

　　
　　国际黄金，伦敦金分析：全球最大的黄金生产商的负责人说，随着全球经济疲于应对冠状病毒疫情的影响，金价可能会突破2,000The US dollar will continue to remain high for the next five years. The CEO of the company said in a phone interview on Thursday,"In the longer term, the global economic stimulus will definitely support the rise of gold prices, and I believe this stimulus has not stopped yet."We will definitely see a breakthrough in gold prices2000The scenario of the US dollar. ”The spot gold price is currently at1,720Trading near the US dollar, approaching a seven-year high, many banks predict that the rise in gold prices will continue as the impact of the virus pushes the economy into recession and prompts central banks around the world to take action. With the increasing demand for gold from middle-class consumers and signs of supply shortages, these factors are strengthening the already strong outlook. Follow "Chen Dabin" of Gongzong to enjoy daily interpretation of financial news hotspots and a plan for the layout of the golden crude oil middle line!
　　
　　彭博资讯大宗商品策略师在周三的一份报告中写道，全球货币刺激的规模是促使投资者利用黄金分散投资的一个关键因素。他表示:The foundation for price increases has never been as solid as it is now. Although price increases will enhance the ability to increase investor returns, the company is also weighing the potential impact of any new virus outbreaks during the northern hemisphere winter. In recent weeks, some operations in Canada, Argentina, Mexico, and Peru have been closed to comply with travel restrictions or protect local communities.
　　
　　大宾个人观点——黄金昨日震荡后冲高，再测1740First line, then the market fell back and adjusted again, overall performance declined, and the lowest fell to1707The US dollar closed with a bullish cross with a long upper shadow on the daily chart. In the morning session today, there was once again a downward continuation. Technically speaking, from the daily structure, the closing state of gold in the past three days indicates that there is selling pressure above. The expectation of technical correction has been relatively strong, with a short cycleMA5to1718The position forms a watershed for intra day competition, and after yesterday's market surged and fell, there is still considerable room for retreat,4On the hourly line, the price of gold has undergone a wide adjustment,K线围绕布林带中轨整理，目前跌破中轨运行于其下方位置，日内上方关注1709First line pressure, following below1679Frontline support, if it falls below or looks down1660附近找支撑，日内操作上陈大宾建议反弹高空为主，回撤关键支撑位企稳再考虑低多。具体操作以实时行情盘面走势为主，投资有风险，盈亏请自行把控，详情请关注或咨询我进行解套、技术讲解、原油黄金分析指导官微：cbb8527

　　
　　国际原油，美原油分析：原油的第一轮暴跌来自于供需双杀，供应端OPEC+减产协议未能达成，开始恶性增产抢占市场份额，需求端由于疫情的影响，全球原油的需求也大幅下降，从而导致原油暴跌，WTICrude oil once fell below20美金。低油价的情况下，具有原油储备能力的国家开始趁机纷纷加大原油储备，从需求端开始给予一定的支撑，再加上美俄沙三国又开始商讨减产协议，从供应端给市场一个较为乐观的预期，供需两端又开始给予原油价格支撑，从而导致原油开启了暴力反弹，这是第一轮反弹。
　　
　　当具有储备能力的国家采购结束之后，需求端可能短期难以有较大的起色，供应端减产的靴子已经落地了，或许有点不及预期，因为依然改变不了原油供需过剩的局面，从而导致原油价格开启了第二轮大跌。这时候无论是wtiCrude oilbrentCrude oilsc原油还是阿曼原油的月差都变得非常大，较大的月差一方面反映了供需过剩下的高库存压力，另一方面反映了存储罐紧张，仓储成本的上升。至于原油什么时候能够开启上涨，我也不清楚，供需两端至少有一端的问题先解决了，供应端关注实际减产情况以及美国石油钻井的变化，需求端看全球疫情什么时候能够得到控制以及经济活动的恢复情况。从盘面来看的话，只能看原油的月差以及远期价格曲线的变化了。
　　
　　大宾个人观点——技术面来看，IEAIn its monthly report, it was stated that there is currently no feasible production reduction agreement that can offset the short-term demand losses.OPEC+Officials and sources from oil producing countries have stated that,IEAIt may announce the purchase of oil to enrich reserves, with a maximum size of several million barrels, to support the agreement. Crude oil continues to increase at the bottom, with a weaker consolidation at the beginning of the week, confirmed by a lower exploration yesterday19Nearby low point, weekly close to the rising low point of the rising star, pay attention today19.20低点防守，守住此位则是盘底整理回升，若再下破，则会继续伴随下探回升做底。这样时间就会拉得比较长。当然还是看好中期反弹，周线级别的反弹，在底部加速放量后，有价无量，一旦完成止跌，反弹也会比较快，同时目前反弹空间比下跌空间。短线指标已进入低位超卖，今日操作上陈大宾建议继续维持低位分批做多。上方短期重点关注21.8-22.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below19.0-18.5一线支撑。大宾相信，每一个正在交易的人都想盈利，这是毋庸置疑的，但前提你要找对方向，如需帮助可添加陈大宾官方指导微信：cbb8527Get real-time guidance.

　　
　　关于投资：
　　
　　不管人在成功阶段，或是在失落阶段，每个人都想要鸡汤来捧场和安慰。成功时享受人在雾端的缥缈，失败时享受心灵的慰藉。每个人，都认为自己干的事和别人不一样，总认为自己是对的，别人的都不值得一提，其实，大路很多，小路更多，当你能融合的时候，才知道什么是成长和成功。
　　
　　砍了舍不得，不砍怕继续涨（跌），现在是左右为难，加上趋势上还并没有太大的反转意思。或者自己做反了，单子止损了吗？深套了吗？天地锁了吗？为什么会这样呢？明知行情势如破竹，为什么还要一路死补呢？亏了就亏了，舍不得出？行情往往就是这样，在你措手不及的时候杀你片甲不留。问问自己为什么？
　　
　　如果我看到我的学员亏损了，单子被套了，我的心里是非常不舒服的，每个工作日都会盯盘到深夜，及时分析和预测后市行情的行情走势，毕竟学员的钱也来之不易，既然相信我来我这做单，我承担了这份责任，就必须学会负责。
　　
　　我宣传自己是因为我的工作需要。我宣传自己是因为我有自信有责任能帮到大家。没错。所有的投资者需要一个好的老师一个专业的团队去引导。我从来不吹嘘自己。实实在在。实力是需要去验证的。
　　
　　希望大家可以克服市场交易最难熬过的阶段，给自己足够的时间和机会来走上稳定盈利的大道，而不是被短期的困难和压力压垮。我是陈大宾，非常感谢能够耐心得读完我个人的一些小的经验同时也祝愿每个投资者都能够克服困难，勇攀市场交易的高峰。
　　　　笔者陈大宾———对金市/Oil market/equity market/The bond market and other major global financial markets have in-depth and unique insights, mainly using price control to accurately predict high and low prices. The main research directions include volume price spatiotemporal, Gann astrogram, etc