Liang Qiandong4.15早间黄金精准布局，原油走势分析

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In the market, there is no sense of security in the game, because they care too much, they are afraid of losing opportunities. The degree of a person's enlightenment is exactly equal to the depth of their pain. Taking others as a mirror can reveal gains and losses, taking history as a mirror can reveal rise and fall. The direction against the wind is more suitable for flying, not afraid of millions of people blocking or surrendering. The fate of any game is like a palm print in your hand, no matter how tortuous it is, it is ultimately in your own hands. If you want to dig a well, you must dig until the water comes out, and never award medals to the laggards on the market stage. The biggest mistake in trading is constantly worrying about making mistakes. Defeating oneself is the saddest failure, but defeating oneself is the most precious victory.

-----crude oilquotations analysis-----

美、布两油昨日的行情可谓相当刺激。受欧佩克 达成历史性减产协议的提振，两油周一跳空高开，WTIcrude oilfutures开涨8%，布油期货开涨5%。然而，利好只维持不到五分钟，两油就双双转跌，WTI原油期货最高跌超3%，晚间再度转涨逾5%，可惜尾盘回吐全部涨幅再次倒跌。布油也走出相似行情，好在尾盘止住跌势，最终小幅收涨。总而言之，周一整整一天，由跌转涨及由涨转跌的好戏都在交替上演。

昨日早间原油跳空高开，早间下探最低22后迎来一波反弹至24上方，不过二次反弹依旧在24.6一带压力位形成了小周期双顶回落，目前行情更多的还是受到了市场情绪的影响较重，虽然欧佩克达成减产协议，但远不及市场预期，加之全球疫情蔓延，导致原油需求降低，也给原油未来走向带来不确定因素，所以结合来看短期内美油大概率会呈现一个偏弱震荡的走势状态，但这更多的是一个时间过程，今日短线还会继续延续这种慢性下探的走法。短线来看22.0关口下方支撑较强，近期反复试探22.0一线均迎来企稳回升，4小时级别出现背离迹象，近期低位22.0-25.0宽幅震荡整理将是常态，等待止跌启稳，目前相对偏弱，但短线仍是看空不追空。近期原油中长线布局将再次启动。今日操作思路上梁乾东个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅；上方关注24.6Resistance, pay attention below22.0支撑。行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，

-----goldquotations analysis-----

现货黄金昨日高开高收，在盘初迅速涨破1690关口后持续拉涨，连破3道关口，最高涨至1721.98dollar/Ounces, continued brushing2012year12月以来新高，较日低最高涨超40美元。有报道称，世界上最大的三座黄金精炼厂Valcambi、Argor-HeraeusandPAMP在周一表示，他们已在瑞士暂停黄金生产至少一周。这3个精炼厂每年加工约1500吨黄金，约占全球年度总供应量的三分之一。三大加工厂的停产，让实物黄金供应进一步趋紧。据外媒报道，在欧美实物黄金市场，金价早已突破1800美元。实物金市场的疯狂行情，有望传导至黄金期货及现货市场，提振金价。

黄金日线走势图，金价连续两日大涨逾1.5%, refresh2012年以来新高，加上20/50均线正试图形成“金叉”看涨形态，这暗示黄金上涨势头相当强劲。若金价继续走高，上方或看涨至斐波那契123.6%延展位1762，突破后进一步阻力位见关键整数关口1800附近。黄金4小时走势图，此前金价测试短期上升趋势线、4/1甘氏线以及斐波那契78.6%Callback bit1649.38组成的共振支撑后迅速反弹走高，昨日突破3Monthly high point1703被刷新2012New high since the beginning of the year1724。若金价继续上行，上方较近阻力位为3/1甘氏线(1740nearby)，突破后或将进一步看涨至斐波那契123.6%延展位1762.71附近。若金价下行，下方较近支撑位为3Monthly high point1703与关键整数关口1700组成的共振支撑，跌破后意味着黄金上升趋势削弱，未来或将进一步看跌至斐波那契78.6%Callback bit1649。综合来看，今日操作思路上梁乾东建议：逢低做多即可。上方短期重点关注1740Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1700一线支撑。行情千变万化、点位仅供参考
At the wrong time, I opened a lonely flower, but wasted the reincarnation of spring and summer. The moments I used to be indifferent to may become forever that I couldn't let go of later. No one's experience is a blank space, and no matter how boring the market is, there will always be stories to fill it up. Missed markets cannot be ignored, and the profits I have are always my own talk.