技术面来看,黄金逼近前一交易日高位后有所承压,MACDGolden fork,KDJ三线拐头向下,有形成死叉趋势。短线来看,金价虽仍是看多情绪偏强,但上行空能有限。随着金价目前位于1600关口上方,市场仍以看多情绪为主,上行阻力先留意1643.60美元一线,这是1703.39-1451.55Downtrend76.4%回撤位,具有较强阻力。值得注意,金价曾在上周连续两个交易日测试该点位,但均未能有效突破。因此,一旦该点位被攻破,必将提振看涨预期,有望测试前高1703USD, this is2012年末以来触及的最高位。反之,若金价再度承压回落,失守1600关口,那么将再度回测1575美元一线,这是本周测试的低位,同时也接近1703.39-1451.55下跌趋势50%回撤位,具有较强支撑性,投资者值得关注。一旦该防线失守,下看1546.85一线附近,这是100Daily moving average and38.2%回撤位重合处,同时也在前期多次被测试。若再度下破,料彻底反转1451.55-1643.60的涨势,目标位看向1500关口,该心理关口一旦跌破,不出意外将重测前低1451.55One line of US dollars.
Short line4小时来看,金价整体维持在1550-1645区间震荡。若该区间不能突破,可维持高抛低吸,或是等待决定性突破指引。目前MACD金叉,且RSIbe located50上方,表明市场整体仍以看多情绪为主。上行方面,先关注上方1630美元一线,这是布林带上轨处,对价格上行有一定阻力;上破后重点关注1645美元一线,这是震荡区间的上轨,此前经过多次测试,具有较强的参考价值。若上破,进一步打开上行空间,阻力位上看前期高点1703。若金价再度失守1600关口,将增加短线看跌情绪,关注下方1570美元附近。该点位是100均线与布林带下轨交汇处,同时也接近1451.55-1645.00上涨趋势38.2%回撤位,局有较强支撑性。综合来看,下周一操作思路上文军论市(zwj964646)个人建议以低多为主,高空为辅;
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJ金叉运行,油价强势突破28.5附近阻力,重返27.40-36.34震荡区间,大幅增加投资者看涨情绪。预计价格会先测试30美元关口,这是是65.65-19.27Downtrend23.6%回撤位;突破后上看3month9日的跳空缺口处36.34美元一线,该点位既是震荡区间上轨,同时也与65.65-19.27下跌走势的38.2%回撤位几乎重合,是强阻力位。不过,而随着全球原油储存空间接近极限,若油价无法图破30关口,则仍有再次回落的可能;目前27.4已经转换为下方支撑,进一步支撑在3month25Daily high point25.24附近,若失守该位置,则削弱短线看涨信号;综合来看,下周一操作思路上文军论市(zwj964646)个人建议以低多为主,高空为辅;
Focus on resistance above:30.00;33.80;
Focus on support below:27.40;25.24;
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Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
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