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MEXDaily Express | 美联储无限量化宽松,黄金支撑较强

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Focus of foreign exchange market
Trading preference本周相对较为看好澳/ Beauty(AUDUSD 和纽/ Beauty(NZDUSD)。昨日欧/美小幅上涨,这可能会削弱看空理由。今日德国将公布制造业数据,考虑到肺炎疫情的影响,我们认为数据可能会比较难看。但,考虑到近期欧/Beauty(EURUSD)的大幅回落基本已经反映了市场预期,因此,我们认为有技术性修复,1.0700以下都是比较好的支撑。
On the UK side,因肺炎疫情影响,英国经济料遭受沉重打击,英镑跌向1985 年以来最低水平。今日英国将公布制造业和服务业PMI,预计较差。因此,短期我们维持英镑为震荡偏弱结构,但负乖离过大不排除有技术性修复。
In terms of commodity currency,
周一新西兰联储迈出历史性一步,开始实施量化宽松政策,以期限制即将到来的衰退。但在汇率市场方面,纽/美只小幅回落,因此,我们认为汇率市场已经提前反应了市场预期。对于澳元、纽元我们认为短期或有技术性反弹。

It is worth noting that the money market plays a crucial role in2019 年展现出稳固并明显的每周动量反转效应MEX The momentum reversal quantization strategy has repeatedly set new highs as a resultInvestors2020You can continue to refer to our weekly suggested combination for the year.
避险货币方面,因美联储宣布无限量宽松措施,美元一度大幅下跌,考虑到近期美元上幅较大,我们认为短期应有修正。
昨日美/日小幅上涨0.27%,从近期美/日的升势来看有放缓的趋势,盘中高点111.25 附近出现商业性卖盘;叠加日本首相安倍晋三暗示推迟奥运会看上去不可避免,我们认为美/日短期将面临承压。
MEX
Quantitative strategy
MEX Quantitative strategy year to date relative benchmarkS&P 500 Total Return Index Annualized alpha(α)For13%.The quantitative model adjusts positions weekly and places orders at the opening on Mondays and closes positions on Fridays, with each currency facing a standard hand,Suggest setting stop loss at0.3. Without considering actual leverage,MEX 量化策略年初至今已大幅跑赢标的,详情请参考《量化专题:基于动量反转策略建构G7 货币对冲组合》。组合净值上周下跌2.00%This week's combination and as of Beijing time3 month24 day07:01 The profit and loss are as follows, with a positive spread (storage fee).
commodity market
Trading preferenceThis week we will maintaingoldXAU)Andcrude oilWTI)For structures with excessive oscillations.美联储目前已经出台的措施外,市场还在期待美国能够提供更大规模的刺激措施,这是当前提振金价的重要原因。因此,我们维持黄金为震荡偏多结构。
油价方面,就目前来看,油价确实偏低,人们寄望于政府和央行出台的刺激措施可能提振世界经济,以及沙特和俄罗斯在两周多前减产协议磋商破裂后可能会和解油价上涨。Technically,20 美元以下是比较好的支撑。
stock market indexprospect
股指方面,市场持续关注疫情对经济的影响,港股周一低开低走,恒指上午大幅低开逾5%,早盘跌幅一度收窄,午后跌幅再次扩大,最终收跌4.86%
盘面上,特斯拉概念板块领跌大市,三桶油和内房股跌幅居前。Considering the weakness of the global market, it is recommended that investors prioritize defense in the near future. In terms of technical form,23000 It's a lot of pressure, below21000 是短期支撑。
abstract

CFTC 资金流数据显示,澳元、纽元净空头处极值,因此,我们认为短期随着资金流入并支持回涨。
Australia/United States, New Zealand/,美可继续持有。
beautiful/日、美/瑞、美/加可获利出局。
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