03month24日国际原油回调趋势，如何抓住机会/Market comments

beautifulcrude oilMessage surface:
美东时间周一，国际油价先抑后扬，盘初美油一度大跌逾8%，后震荡回升并转涨。截止收盘，纽约商品交易所5Monthly delivery of light crude oilfuturesrise in price0.73USD, closing at per barrel23.36USD, up by3.23%。5London Brent crude oil futures for monthly delivery have risen in price0.05USD, closing at per barrel27.03USD, up by0.19%。从目前来看，原油价格已显著低于各国的盈亏平衡油价。不同国家和地区由于资源密集程度与开采难易程度的不同，盈亏平衡油价会出现显著差异。这也是沙特可以发动价格战的重要原因。沙特的生产盈亏平衡油价在20dollar/桶以下，外部盈亏平衡成本为52dollar/桶，而俄罗斯的生产盈亏平衡油价在49dollar/桶左右。当油价被定到30dollar/桶时，沙特仍可维持生产盈亏平衡。从长期来看，沙特无法维持外部盈亏平衡。因此沙特发动的原油价格战不具备长期可持续性。长期的原油价格中枢上行压力仍然存在。
Technical aspects of US crude oil:
4小时低位震荡；留意布林线轨道20.50-29.85区域突破情况；由于KDJDead fork,MACD也有死叉趋势，布林线轨道略微向下倾斜，若跌破布林线下轨20.50附近支撑，则将打开新的下行空间。但布林线下轨趋于走平，K线形态存在W底的可能性，若能顶破布林线中轨25.18附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；若能顶破布林线上轨29.85附近阻力，则增加中线看涨信号。原油周一低开低走回落下探20.8附近受支撑反弹上探23.5附近再回落，下探21.9附近再反弹上探24Nearby, closing23.7附近，原油激进21.5Look more24and28.3Nearby, steady20.5Look more23and28.3Nearby, or28.3Empty Look27.3and23Nearby, steady30.3Empty Look28.3and23附近即可，原油走区间震荡，具体做单建议以实时点位为准；
Suggestions for intraday operations of US crude oil:（05Contract)
1Suggest using29.0-29.5Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.5Points, target28.3-24.7Nearby;
2Suggest using20.8-21.0Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.5Points, target23.3-25.5Around the US dollar.
The content of the article is purely the author's personal opinion and does not provide any recommendations for placing orders. The specific market trend is subject to intraday trends, and investment is risky. Therefore, caution should be exercised when entering the market.
writing/Market comments