周四,国际油价走低。截止收盘,WTIcrude oilfuturesClosing down0.88USD, decline1.88%Report collection45.90dollar/桶。作为全球原油价格基准的伦敦洲际交易所5月布伦特原油期货价格下跌1.14USD, decline2.2%, collect49.99dollar/桶。这是该期货自2017year7month24日以来的最低收盘价。石油输出国组织OPECComposed of its alliesOPEC+正在就减产协议进行商讨,不过目前该减产协议遇到阻力,尚未与俄罗斯就减产计划达成一致,同时美国原油库存连续六周增加,国际油价涨后收跌。据外媒报道,尽管面临来自冠状病毒的压力,但俄罗斯仍在抵制沙特阿拉伯将OPEC减产幅度提高15ten thousand~10010000 barrels/日的计划,并建议将OPEC+目前的减产措施维持至第二季末,这次小组会议没有就进一步减产政策达成一致意见。目前OPEC正在实施的减产规模是17010000 barrels/日,加上沙特自愿再减产4010000 barrels/日,合计是21010000 barrels/日,但油价在疫情的冲击下仍不断下跌。因此市场对OPEC再度扩大减产的呼声已经越来越高。伊朗石油部长表示:目前市场供过于求,OPECAnd nonOPEC产油国有必要尽一切努力来平衡市场。在多方消息和因素的共同作用下,国际油价涨后收跌,WTIfall0.40dollar/桶;布伦特跌0.73dollar/桶,中国SC原油期货主力2005fall3.1Yuan to375.4element/Bucket.
althoughOPEC就达成减产协议不断做出努力,但分析师认为这可能并不足以抵御疫情的冲击,毕竟中国是全球最大的原油进口国,同时也是世界主要经济体,因此原油需求的下降幅度可能比想象的更糟糕。OPEC及其合作伙伴组成的OPEC+Will be on3month5day~6日在维也纳举行会议,对此摩根士丹利的分析师称,即便OPEC进一步减产也不会对油价产生太大影响,预计布兰特原油全年将保持在每桶50美元的区间波动。美国国际研究中心分析师也在报告中指出:不论OPEC最终采取何种行动,似乎都不太可能产生他们想看到的平衡市场,并促使油价上涨的效果。
Technical aspects of crude oil:
日图布林带三轨朝下缓和运行,MA5The moving average shows a dead cross and flattens to the right,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located below the zero axis and intersect with a dead cross. The green kinetic energy is slowing down,KDJ三线呈金叉向右走平,日图行情整体呈现偏弱形态;4小时图上,布林带三轨朝上缩口运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average crosses and diverges downwards,KThe line intersects below the Bolin track,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located below the zero axis, forming a dead cross and gradually moving downwards. The green kinetic energy is slightly increased,KDJ三线呈死叉朝下发散,油价短线整体还是表现弱势形态
。日内操作上建议高空为主。上方初步阻力在46.80,近一步阻力在47.50; Preliminary support below45.20Further support on44.50;