刚刚过去的一周,金价冲高回落,受美伊局势陡然升温影响,金价曾强势突破1600The US dollar level reached its highest point1611.27美元。不过在川普发表了缓和气氛的讲话之后,金价迅速回落,周线图收出墓碑十字星,或许暗示金价此前的升势告于段落。本周,美国CPI等重要数据即将公布,美联储褐皮书将会给美联储货币政策提供指引,中镁经贸谈判又会有新消息,而市场更为关注的美伊局势可能又会有新的变化。可以说本周的黄金市场依然精彩。
技术面来看,金价11month9日(周四)盘中完全回补高开缺口一度触及1540.33,周五因美国劳工部公布的美国12月非农新增就业人口14.5万,不及预期的16万;薪资增速意外下降至2.9%, for2018year8月以来最低,金价回落至1550附近后开启反弹,周五录得一根带下影线的大阳线,日线布林线轨道开口向上,MACD金叉运行,目前上方初步阻力在1445.7-1611.42Upward trend23.6%Retreat position1572.20附近,布林线上轨在1576.97附近,进一步较强阻力在1580关口附近,鑫韵认为金价需要回升至该位置上方,才能重新打开上涨通道;由于目前KDJ仍然死叉运行,短线仍然需要警惕震荡回调的风险,目前初步支撑在1550Nearby, further support at10Daily moving average1543.56Nearby,9month24The daily high is supported by1535.73Nearby;
Operation suggestions:
黄金回调不破1545Do not break long, stop loss4USD, target1565;
Perhaps for some people, this market may already be physically and mentally exhausted, from being hopeful about investing in gold, to being afraid of entering with heavy losses, and losing so much that they lack confidence to encourage themselves. Perhaps it is really not suitable for this market, whether in terms of strength or mentality, they cannot do well. They once sought a teacher who can help them, but ended up losing money. They continue to stay unhappy in the gold market and are unwilling to leave, which may be the current situation faced by many investors.
But when investing, one should not dwell on temporary losses. There are gains and losses in investment, which is both thrilling and terrifying. There are joys of making money, as well as sorrows of losing money. No one has been losing money, and no one has been making money. As long as one has a relaxed mind and an objective view of the market, I believe that the winning rate exceeds80%It's very easy. Gold is nothing more than a long and short fight, you can flip a coin50%The winning rate, combined with experience and technical analysis, and a good mindset, stabilizes the winning rate at80%It cannot be done steadily, with one or two orders per day and a stable cycle that yields benefits. This is what I hope to see and the purpose of leading students.
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