MBG Markets：央行鸽声挫败英镑，避险退潮黄金回落

　　
德国工业产出稍走高，欧元兑美元震荡微跌(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar28Points, closing down0.03%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行，汇价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to46-47Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1180Below support attention1.1065。
　　
Fundamentals:美联储埃文斯表示，美国经济处在良好状态，基本面良好，他预计今年经济增速为2%to2.5%，但可能会更好，不过美国就业增速将逐步下滑；预计美联储在2020年维持利率不变，他对当前的货币政策立场相当满意。德国11月季调后工业产出月率录得1.1%，优于市场预期0.7%，前值由-1.7%大幅上修至-1%。 Germany11月工作日调整后工业产出年率录得-2.6%，优于市场预期-3.7%及前值-5.3%。
　　
卡尼讲话鸽声嘹亮，英镑破位1.31(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达111Points, closing down0.27%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于下行，汇价隔夜上破布林中轨后下行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10双线稍趋走平，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to48-49Frontline operation, with a smaller operating slope tending to rise. Attention to resistance above1.3160Below support attention1.2915。
　　
Fundamentals:周四下午，英国央行行长卡尼表示，量化宽松、前瞻性指引和降息是工具箱的一部分，还有相当于250个基点的政策调整空间。但是，调整英国货币政策框架的门槛很高。英国脱欧协议法案以330yes231票在下议院获得通过，现已提交上议院表决。约翰逊希望在本月结束前完成立法流程，以便英国在1month31日脱离欧盟，兑现自己“搞定脱欧”的竞选承诺。约翰逊当局希望能效仿加拿大与欧盟的贸易协议，在脱欧后延续同欧盟的贸易关系。但欧盟与加拿大历时七年才达成这一协议，很难想象欧盟和英国能在不到一年的时间内达成协商。
　　
避险情绪退潮，金价持续回落(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached211Points, closing down0.34%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to59-60一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方阻力关注1572Below support attention1528。
　　
Fundamentals:金价前瞻指标巴里克黄金公司(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌1.23%, closing on17.60。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto1month10Daily reduction of holdings4.69吨黄金，为连续第二度减持，持仓量缩减至882.12吨。美国国会众议院在当地时间9日通过一项旨在限制总统对伊朗动武权力的决议，该法案将限制特朗普在伊朗问题上的权力。中东地区地缘风险降温，市场避险情绪退潮，致使金价持续回落。
　　
　　
　　
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