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刘智辛:非农的解析、挂单、解套、三波行情
非农含义是非农业就业人数的变化,这个数据是美国劳工部公布的数据,是真实可信的数据。直接反应了美国当前的经济形式;直接和美元挂钩,而美元又是直接和gold挂钩的,所以影响甚大。美元是否上涨(美元和黄金方向相反)取决于美元的供求,而美元的供求和美元利率有最直接的关系,因为利率就是货币的直接价格体现。利率高美元需求就多,利率低美元需求就低。
同样的道理,非农就业人口多了,人们消费就多,通胀压力大,需要加息抑制通胀压力,美元有上涨预期,黄金下跌;失业率高了,通胀压力小,美国政府会通过减息刺激经济,有减息预期,美元下跌.
经济危机时期,是同时处于通胀压力和就业压力的特殊时期,这个时期关键是看政府主要是想保持低失业率还是低通胀率,失业率增加但同时通胀压力也很大的情况下,政府也可能加息,这个时期数据的影响不能单方面看。
而且foreign exchange市场中并不总是遵守这一规则,影响汇率走势的并不只是失业率一个数据,而且还存在庄家借助失业率增加营造的美元下跌预期大量平仓黄金多头头寸造成的黄金下跌。
第一波叫非农前行情:就是预期行情!从ADP数据公布开始到目前均是;
第二波叫做非农行情:也就是大家所深知的那几分钟的涨跌!一般代表者8:30-9:00这一段!波动最大的一段!而这段行情较难把握。
第三波叫非农后行情:这就是大概非农数据出来一个小时以后!方向得到了确认了!之后的一直到凌晨的一波行情!此外也有延续到次周的趋势性行情。
首先,第一波行情,即非农预期行情。
根据非农数据先行指标,ADP数据和就请失业金人数,以及美国经济状况对非农行情进行预期。如ADP数据和失业金人数利好美元,市场普遍预期非农数据将表现出色,打压金银。刘智辛认为投资者可在ADP数据公布后建立金银持仓,一直持有至周五晚间6Point around.
其次,第二波行情,即非农行情。
由于数据就在转瞬间反映在市场上,这段行情快速而剧烈,也是最大获利最快的行情,一般投资者较难把握。对于此时间段行情,第一个方法建议投资者采取双向挂单策略,在非农数据出来前3Hang one minute30Multiple orders and one high order hanging around the dot30Set the low hanging empty order around o'clock before hanging it50点的获利。有一单成交之后就删除另外一个没有成交的单。如果数据没那么大的影响力到不了30点的获利怎么办?那就在你感觉到上攻乏力的时候手动平仓。及时做到止损止盈,务必不要贪心或者长期持单。此类交易手法要求动手迅速,而且坚决果断不可恋战,防止非农行情来回宽幅震荡。一般一年之内,非农数据出炉后行情来回震荡的次数要大于单边走势。(双挂策略,要求执行力强,能承担风险,不贪婪)
此外第二种方法就是非农数据出炉后,迅速分析后市行情,顺势而为操作,但此类操作同样要注意及时止损止盈,同样由于行情宽幅震荡,进场点位防止追涨杀跌,且对交易平台的敏感度要求较高,刘智辛认为对投资者研判能力也较高。
第三波行情:根据非农数据的结果顺势做单。
非农数据公布后30After minutes, the market will stabilize. At this point, based on the actual situation of the news, whether it is positive or negative, we are making a correction or taking advantage of the rebound to take advantage of the situation, combined withK线形态和均线系统操作,务必严格设置止损止盈。若行情给力,有望出现单边行情。在这样的行情中,需要及时止盈。但切忌一点,万万不可盲目反向操作,刘智辛认为需谨慎对待。对于非农后行情,一般会延续到周一周二,在周一周二的日内行情,会对行情有所修正,但不会改变大的趋势,所以稳健操作在周一周二的整理行情中。
方法一:双向挂单,
在非农数据出来前3Minute silver hanging one30Multiple orders and one high order hanging around the dot30Set the low hanging empty order around o'clock before hanging it50点的获利。如果数据没那么大的影响力到不了50点的获利怎么办?那就在你感觉到上攻乏力的时候手动平仓。刘智辛老师为开户客户提供:1风险管控。2及时操作建议,早上9From midnight to evening12点实时在线指导;3疑难解答,提供培养教程,帮助客户提高实战水平!
方法二:在非农来之前进一锁仓单,这对锁仓单你可以通过看5Minute line, relatively low long, relatively high short. If this is possible, there will be some profit first, and handling fees will be charged. If you feel that this is more troublesome, you can directly lock the warehouse receipt and then wait until the news is released3There are two methods after about minutes1Set up each of these two orders25Stop loss at one point,60Stop earning at a certain point, and you can set a higher profit loss ratio. This way, both orders will generally be cancelled, and after removing the handling fee, you will have approximately29A space of points. Both orders are only set to stop earnings based on the expected situation of the news50—80Interval setting: When a message is received, one order is cancelled and the other order can be closed according to the situation. Only in cases where the data is very good and very bad can a unilateral market be established, and even if the market exits, there will be a pullback.
Method 3: Approximately before the announcement of the news3Make an order according to the expected message in minutes, and make an order in the same direction as the expected message. It is subject to both stop loss and stop loss, and generally has a profit loss ratio of at least2:1Using small losses to gain big profits, this type of non agricultural success can generally guarantee capital after three attempts.
方法四:要根据非农的数据影响的大小等出了数据之后再做单,根据消息的实际情况在做回调或者趁回调跟势。结合布林带跟RSI操作此四法操作关键是对此重大消息对相应货币对影响点数的大致预测,
通过此预测设止盈;对止损只要确保在消息公布前不被打掉就行:还有设止盈止损点时间,离消息公布越近越好,同时又要确保把所以该设的全部设完越靠近消息公布设止损的可以相对设少点
今晚非农多空扫,套单解单这里找
在做单过程中我们可能会因为判断错误而扫损,But once a set of orders appears,So closely following are anti loss, lock in orders, and meat cutting,Even if we get rid of it,We cannot expect to profit from the situation and get rid of it,The final loss was actually much greater than the initial scan loss. Locking the warehouse is the next step,If not absolutely necessary,I hope everyone doesn't try easily,Be sure to remember,investment,Firstly, one must learn to control risks,才能保证利润。
三个套单处理方法:
The first is based on the position in hand,作如下处理:
1Mildly trapped investors,Can use the rebound market to get out of the game,或者逢高减仓;
2Investors trapped in high positions,It is also possible to reduce positions at high points,This can take the initiative in both psychological and financial aspects in the next wave of market trends.
第二是根据买入币种的技术状态来作如下的处理:
1If trapped,The purchased price must be immediately stopped at a high level.
2If the purchased price is in the middle range,We can temporarily observe based on the current situation,Seeking to unwind and leave the market or reduce losses by reducing positions at high points.
3If the purchased price is at a low level,Then there is no need to rush to stop the loss,Should stabilize after the currency being purchased falls,Dare to replenish positions at low levels in important support positions,Diluted costs,In the upcoming rebound market, we will rescue the high positions that have been trapped together.
第三是根据买入币种的趋势状态来作如下的处理:
1If the purchased price is in an upward trend,Then there is no need to stop the loss,Hold patiently for a period of time,It's bound to unravel,There is even a possibility of significant profits.
2If the purchased price is in a balanced oscillation trend,There is no need to immediately stop loss either,耐心等待该币种进入震荡循环高位,Once the situation is resolved or the loss is minimal,Should be decisively eliminated from the field.
3If the purchased price is in a downward trend,Once it is confirmed that a downward trend has formed,Should stop loss immediately,Never harbor illusions about gains and losses. Any hesitation or hesitation,It is possible that it will be difficult to extricate oneself from the deep trapping.
服务体现专业,专业来自实力,实力铸就品牌!华中地区最负盛名的高级分析师刘智辛微信:qgf9696,真诚帮助你。 |
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