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叶金言:美伊冲突继续发酵,贵金属板块破位上行

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叶金言:美伊冲突继续发酵,贵金属板块破位上行



主要利多因素:
1. U.S.A12monthISMmanufacturingPMI,前值:48.1Expected:49, Announced:47.2,对美元利空
2. Germany12monthCPI月率初值,前值:-0.8%Expected:0.4%, Announced:0.5%,对美元利空。
3. U.S.A12月谘商会消费者信心指数,前值:125.5Expected:128.2, Announced:126.5,对美元利空。
4. U.S.A12monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI终值,前值:52.5Expected:52.5, Announced:52.4,对美元利空。
5.因中东紧张局势进一步升级,市场依然处于避险情绪之中,现货gold维持大涨态势,目前位于1570dollar/盎司附近,此前金价盘初一度跳涨逾30USD, Breakthrough1580dollar/盎司,避险日元也走强,美元/日元跌破108关口。伊朗此前宣布将不再遵守伊核协议的任何限制。美国总统特朗普刚刚发出威胁称,如果伊朗采取任何行动,将对伊朗实施大规模报复。
主要利空因素:
1. U.S.A12Month ChicagoPMI,前值:46.3Expected:48, Announced:48.9,利好美元。
2. U.S.A11月成屋签约销售指数月率,前值:-1.70%Expected:1.1%, Announced:1.2%,利好美元。
3. From the United States to12month28Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week(ten thousand people),前值:22.2Expected:22.5, Announced:22.2,利好美元。
Operation suggestions:
铂金:铂金短期走势于880一带受到支撑反弹,目前阻力看向1000,短期走势偏多。


钯金:钯金近期于1800-1850一带受到支撑上涨,目前2000一带突破后,下一阻力看向2050,走势维持看多。
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