李亦合：非常时期，黄金与日元大幅上涨

李亦合：非常时期，gold与日元大幅上涨

上周五数据和避险情绪均打压美元，日元则趁势升至三个月高位。稍早消息指出，美军击毙一名伊朗高级将领，可能引发的报复行动令中东紧张局势骤然升级。同时日本今日依然处于假期，因此清淡的交易情况也放大了市场走势。

数据方面，美国供应管理协会(ISM)周五公布的报告显示，美国12月制造业活动降幅为逾十年最大，订单跌至近11年低点，制造业就业人数连续第五个月下降。这表明与贸易战相关的不确定性实际上正在持续损害制造业。

在上周五的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈反弹后回落整理的走势，美元指数最高上涨到97.11，最低下跌到96.71, closing at96.83。欧美最高上涨到1.1181，最低下跌到1.1125, closing at1.1167。

从技术上来看，美指上周五回调在96.70之上受到支持，反弹在97.15之下遇阻，收盘在96.83，意味着美元短线回调后有可能保持反弹的走势。如果美指今天回调在96.65之上受到支持，后市反弹的目标将会指向97.05—97.25. Today, the short-term resistance of the US Index is97.05—97.10Short term important resistance97.25—97.30. Today, the short-term support of the US Index is on96.65—96.70Short term important support in96.45—96.50。欧美上周五反弹在1.1185之下遇阻，回调在1.1125之上受到支持，收盘在1.1167，意味着欧美短线反弹后有可能保持回调的走势。如果欧美今天反弹在1.1190If there is a hindrance below, the goal of future correction will be directed towards1.1135—1.1105. Today, short-term resistance in Europe and America is1.1185—1.1190Short term important resistance1.1210—1.1215. Today, short-term support in Europe and America1.1130—1.1135Short term important support in1.1100—1.1105。

The US dollar is mainly trading long on dips in the short term today, breaking levels to stop losses and making profits30Set a stop win for orders with more than one point, and withdraw all outstanding orders before the US market opens. This strategy is suitable for margin trading and a firm offer can be used as a reference.

美元指数：可以在97.05—96.65Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit20Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.

Euro/USD: can be used in1.1190---1.1135Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.

黄金：可以在1558.00---1533.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损，目标在区间的上限。

白银：可以在18.20—17.90Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.10美元止损，目标在区间的上限。

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