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鲜衣纵马的时候,好像所有波动都不过是扬鞭策马时过眼云烟,无畏的能与众生百态对抗。最后才知道,所有企图打败市场的想法多么可笑,带着不愿放手的单子对着滔滔江水的趋势发脾气,结果所有的怨气都会被K线反射回来。再卧享山河,山河何样。已经学会了在眼里装一个冬天,在心里封一片白雪,待花信过,走遍风雨,莫误了春光。
1month2日(周四)美元指数企稳回升,英镑兑美元下跌,一些策略师认为,由于担忧在2020年底英国脱欧过渡期满之前英国无法与布鲁塞尔达成经贸协定,英镑未来数月将面临困境。澳元兑美元下跌,日内中国财新制造业PMI略不及预期,但仍在荣枯线之上。同时,2019year12月,澳大利亚新年假期前的零售额触及过去10年来的最低点。gold徘徊于1520附近,日内美元指数回升,而亚洲股市表现强劲,也令黄金暂时失去吸引力,但同时,中东地缘局势有所升级,黄金仍获得避险需求的支撑。
Analysis of the trend of spot gold:
现货黄金重心上移,金价现报1519.51dollar/Ounces, intraday increase0.14%;黄金徘徊于1520附近,日内美元指数回升,而亚洲股市表现强劲,也令黄金暂时失去吸引力,但同时,中东地缘局势有所升级,黄金仍获得避险需求的支撑。但考虑到上行1535处的阻力,黄金暂无支撑进一步走高的较强基本面因素,投资者在新年伊始选择观望。但世界黄金协会表示全球经济中有太多行业存在不确定性,全球央行将连续第十一年成为黄金净买家,这将继续支撑2020年的黄金市场。
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJ金叉,布林线开口向上,日线均线多头排列,金价一度顶破1520关口阻力触及1525.38后小幅回落,若金价能顶住回调压力,则大概率会进一步试探9month24Daily high point1535.73附近阻力;短线的话,1530附近也还存在一定阻力,目前下方初步支撑在5Daily moving average1514.81Nearby, further support at5Daily moving average1510.8附近,鸿·金认为若失守该位置,则增加短线回调风险;上周五低点支撑在1507.42附近,同时也需要警惕金价回踩1500整数关口进行确认的可能,目前从日图来看多空分界线在100Daily moving average1493.08附近,若回落至该位置下方,则增加后市看空信号。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
黄金阻力、支撑:
1、上方关注阻力点:1525.38;1530.00;
2、下方关注支撑点:1514.81;1510.8;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Callback1515Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1523-1525(破位持有);
2Rebound1530Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1516-1514;
3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
Beautycrude oilTrend analysis:
国际油价高开低走,美油现报61.2dollar/Barrel, increase0.23%;布油现报66.18dollar/Barrel, increase0.27%。原油futuresstay2020年首日交易中上涨,因为美国原油库存料连续第三周下降,并且中东局势仍然紧张。彭博调查显示,美国原油库存上周料下降300万桶;官方数据将于周五公布。此前俄伊两国外长警告,伊核协议已面临崩溃。而周二,获伊朗支持的伊拉克一民兵组织的数十名成员和他们的支持者冲入位于巴格达的美国驻伊拉克大使馆区,就美军空袭其部队、并致使战斗人员死亡一事表达抗意。
技术面来看,日线相对高位连续录得两根十字星KLine,MACD虽然金叉但红能萎缩且顶背离,KDJ死叉,指示上方阻力较强,上涨动能减弱,短线面临回调甚至是见顶风险;周二美市盘中,油价一度失守10Daily moving average61附近支撑触及60.63后小幅反弹,目前下方支撑在12month20Daily low point support at60关口附近;鸿·金认为若下破该支撑,则增加短线看空信号。进一步支撑分别在9month19Daily high point59.49Nearby and12month11Daily low point58.11附近,目前上方阻力仍然参考9month17Daily high point62.59and9month16Daily high point63.38附近。综合来看,油价再次顶破62.07前,短线偏向震荡下行;所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
原油阻力、支撑:
1、上方关注阻力点:62.07;62.59;
2、下方关注支撑点:60.63;60.00;
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Rebound62.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target60.8-60.6(破位持有);
2Callback60.0Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target61.6-62.8;
3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
鸿金寄语-----
To continue to thrive in this market for a long time, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position skills, risk control, and technical systems. This way, in a volatile market, it can provide you with clear guidance, even if the profit is small, it is easy and there is a sense of achievement;单边行情中,能让你胸中有趋势,如果看对了,争取利润最大化,而看错了的时候,能控制好风险,并能客观调整思路,顺着趋势扭亏为盈,而不是盲目主观的坚持自己的思路,盲目加仓反向码单,置仓于风险边缘。没有不成功的投资,只有不成功的操作!对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,订阅关注“周鸿金”(薇-corezh66646)获取最新资讯、每日行情走势分析、实时交易指导;
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