现货金盛缘：12.31黄金走势分析，黄金今天行情多空操作建议

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preface

人与人之间，开始让人舒服的也许是你的言语，但后来让人信服的一定是你的人品。做人，就要做一个让人放心的人。无论认识多少年，都能由衷的说一句，认识你真好。人与人之间，最大的吸引力，不是你的容颜，不是你的财富，也不是你的才华；而是你传递给对方的信赖和踏实，真诚和善良，一种发自内心的正能量。人生，并不全是竞争和利益，更多的是相互成全，彼此温暖！

Message: Tuesday(12month31day)亚洲时段，美元指数延续跌势，欧元和英镑的上涨等多重因素令美元承压，短线面临进一步下行风险；现货gold则小幅走高，隔夜美股下跌令对冲需求进一步增加，短线金价仍有进一步上攻机会；油价徘徊在近三个月高点附近，但上涨动能减弱，需要警惕回调风险。

Gold trend analysis:

昨日黄金整体走震荡修正，波幅不大，周初走势相对温和！目前来说，黄金格局方面没有发生变化，趋势方面依旧还是多！当前看来，黄金在上周连续拉升破位之后，上周五整体偏向于震荡修正，而在强势拉升之后，短线修正符合市场正常走势，当前修正已经临近结束，再次上攻指日可待！技术面，周线、日线两大周期指标都是共振看涨向上，趋势毫无疑问是多，周线高点保持在1535不变！趋势方面，高点不断刷新，低点不断抬升，且每日强势行情得以延续，多头趋势显现无疑！短周线，多头依旧强势，下方关注1510/1507支撑，低多依旧为主流！

黄金从技术面来看，日线布林线开口向上，MACDandKDJ金叉，均线多头排列，短线来看，金价有进一步震荡上涨的趋势，上方初步阻力在10month3Daily high point1519.65附近，若顶破该阻力，则有望进一步试探9month12Daily high point1524.27附近阻力，上方较强阻力在9month24Daily high point1535.73附近；另外，1530关口也还存在一些阻力。不过，上周五日K录得十字星，目前KDJ也运行在超买区域，指示上方阻力较强，文龙认为若金价冲高受阻并回落至5Daily moving average1510.32下方，则削弱短线看涨信号；进一在1500整数关口；100The daily moving average is supported by1492.87附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上现货金盛缘个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注1528-1530One line of resistance, pay attention below1514-1516Support.

Latest operating suggestions for gold:

1Suggestions1528-1530Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1522-1520frontline;

2Suggestions1514-1516Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1524-1526frontline;

crude oilTrend analysis:

原油创三个半月新高至62.3dollar/桶，市场对经贸前景表示乐观，带动全球股市纷纷走高；同时交易员亦密切关注中东紧张局势。美国在伊拉克和叙利亚对伊朗支持的民兵组织展开空袭，市场对此没有显现出什么立即反应，尽管美国官员警告可能采取“进一步行动”。文龙认为，几乎所有库存数据均利好。随着消费者信心持续改善，年底股市反弹也帮助提振了油价。

原油从技术面来看，日线均线多头排列，MACDandKDJ金叉运行，油价仍然存在进一步冲高的机会，目前上方初步阻力在9month17Daily high point62.59附近，进一步强阻力在之前多次提到的中线目标9month16Daily high point63.38附近；但需要注意的是，在油价进一步上破前，仍然面临整体调整或者一定的回调风险。另外，MACD发出顶背离信号，且KDJ已经进入超买区域，上周四日K线接近“上吊线”短线来看，油价也面临一定的见顶风险，目前下方初步支撑在12month9Daily high point61.40Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by60.80附近，上周低点支撑在60整数关口附近，若失守该支撑，则增加油价短线见顶信号。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上现货金盛缘个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注62.3-62.5One line of resistance, pay attention below60.8-61.0Frontline support.

Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:

1Suggestions62.3-62.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target61.5-61.3frontline;

2Suggestions60.8-61.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target61.6-61.8frontline;

黄金技术指标，教你如何看盘：

Among numerous technical indicators, the ones that are more accurate for short-term analysis areSAR、KDJ、MACDEtc.

Firstly,SARIndicator, also known as parabolic indicator or stop loss turning operation point indicator. It was created by American technical analysis master Wells-威尔得

What is created is a simple, easy to learn, and relatively accurate tool for short-term technical analysis.

1When the price changes fromSARStarting to break upwards below the curveSARWhen the curve is reached, it is a buying signal, indicating that a round of price increase may unfold, and investors should quickly and timely buy gold.

2When prices break through upwardsSARContinue upward after the curve, whileSARWhen the curve also moves upwards simultaneously, it indicates that an upward trend has formed.SARThe curve provides strong support for prices, and investors should firmly buy gold long or on dips.

3When the price changes fromSARStarting to break down above the curveSARWhen the curve is drawn, it is a selling signal, indicating that a round of price decline may unfold, and investors should sell gold in a timely manner.

4When prices break through downwardsSARContinue downward after the curve, whileSARIf the curve also moves downwards at the same time, it indicates that a downward trend has formed,SARThe curve will exert tremendous pressure on the price, and investors should firmly bear or short gold at high points.

Note that in practice, we can find that if used for a long timeSARIndicators can make big profits by losing small, and it is unlikely to be trapped in one go. Additionally,SARIt is the indicator with clear buying and selling among all indicators, which is easy to cooperate with operational strategies. However, it should be understood that,SARThe performance of indicators is not good in long-term market trends, but they perform better in medium and short-term market trends. When encountering a volatile market,SAR指标准确率不高，所以现货金盛缘建议投资者震荡行情里需要配合其他指标谨慎进行交易。

KDJIndicators. It is a leading indicator,Mainly focused on short-term operations in application;andMACDAlso known as smooth dissimilarity moving average,It is the deviation from the market average cost,Generally reflects the overall trend of the centerline. Theoretical analysis,KDJThe advancement of indicators is mainly reflected in the speed of reflecting prices. However, due to its fast speed, it often leads to frequent buying and selling signal errors;

andMACDIndicators. It moves in sync with market prices,Increase the requirements and limitations for sending signals,This avoids the occurrence of false signals.

holdKDJIndicators andMACDThe advantage of combining the two indicators to judge the market is that it can more accurately grasp the marketKDJThe signal for short-term buying and selling of indicators. Meanwhile, due to theMACDThe median trend reflected by the characteristics of indicators,By using two indicators, it is possible to determine the short-term and medium-term fluctuations of prices.

In summary, each indicator can be said to have its own characteristics. Investors can make choices based on their own preferences or combine them flexibly.

Message

资深的现货投资者建议的是，要顺应现货行情的趋势来做单。简单地说，在现货行情明显上涨的时候做多，现货行情明显下跌的时候做空，现货行情振荡的时候不要进场。

而逆势操作是投资老手们极不赞成的，强烈提醒新人们不要根据猜测的走向来做单。事实上这种情况在投资市场内是很经常见的。在行情上涨时，往往有人会预测价格快到阻力位了，行情可能会反转，于是提前进场做空。但是没有想到阻力位被突破了，行情一跌走强，于是做空的投资者们面临的只有巨额亏损。

现货行情的变化有他自身的规律，不会根据投资者的个人愿意有所改变，所以，做现货交易最牢记的，还是要跟紧现货行情走势。基本上若能遵守文中提到的五条，交易是很大机会成功的。

现货金盛缘的操作原则一直都是以压力、支撑为准，高空低多、以震荡极限为防守，不贪、不恋；注意方向，选择关键点，关键不破或不过，就是震荡，不猜测、不犹豫。以稳为前提！提醒各位，所有单子只要被套、方向做反，就一定不要盲目抗单。与行情对堵、盲目抗单，只会造成自己更大的亏损，从而无法挽回。一定要记住自己做投资的初衷：小亏大赚，稳健获利，积小胜为大胜！

现货金盛缘老师个人认为，从事金融行业多年，研究国际局势和热点事件。金融领域博大精深，每天行情波折不断，我所能做的就是用我多年的研究经验，给大家帮助。本人06年进入金融领域工作，实战经验丰富，擅长趋势，投资，生活两不耽误，喜欢垂钓，登山，徒步健身，实事求是，非诚勿扰。紧跟市场是我们不变的选择。努力做对的事，更看与谁同行！闻道有先后，术业有专攻。经常做错方向和进出场点位把控的不是很好，套单、解锁、亏损的朋友，可和笔者一起交流。
Wen/现货金盛缘  （微信：swj178）