Jue Ying Lun Jin:12.30中东局势危机四起 黄金原油走势受其牵制 如何操作

The financial market is fair to everyone. Since some people make money, others must also lose money. The most important thing about investing is not how much money you can earn in a week. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits in the long run. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods and strategies. As long as they are suitable, achieving stable profits is a good method, but there is really no shortcut to making profits in investment, Only like an ascetic monk, do homework diligently every day and accumulate diligently. Only by steadily grasping short-term returns on a daily basis can we go further on the investment path. Do not rush for quick success or profit, go against the trend, and compete with the market for long or short.
　　
　　crude oil市场分析师绝影论金表示，2019年的一些袭击事件加剧了中东地区的紧张局势，但油价仍维持在区间震荡。2020年市场不能忽视中东局势的变动。不过，从2019年的中东局势看，2020年沙特和伊朗发生军事冲突的可能性很低。面对各种推高油价的努力，油价仍顽固地拒绝做出回应，仍固定在相对低位的窄幅空间震荡。对油价来说，其影响几乎没有什么不同。国际能源署本月早些时候表示，预计2020年前几个月，全球石油供应将超过7010000 barrels/日。虽然讨论并不意味着放松，但在OPEC+达成深化减产仅三个月，扭转部分或全部减产的可能性，足以给油价增加压力。

　　　
　绝影论金个人观点：从宏观和风险角度来看，目前金价在每盎司1500美元上方交投没有什么意义。股市飙升和金价上涨很少同时出现。金价刷新11month4New high in recent days1515.87dollar/盎司，在中东地缘紧张局势的背景下，投资者们在年底清淡交投中进行风险对冲，叠加美元持续走软，为金价提供支撑，市场对美国经济增速放缓的担忧继续打压美元表现，年底市场存在风险对冲交易、季节性需求和央行的买入给金价提供支撑，金价短线上涨动能仍存；不过，国际贸易局势的改善可能会限制金价的上行空间，需要予以警惕。
　　
　　————goldquotations analysis
　　
　　尽管本周元旦周市场经济数据和财经事件甚少，但投资者需警惕清淡行情期间市场波动放大。与此同时，投资者还需警惕地缘政治方面传出新的消息而引发市场情绪变化，尤其需警惕以“嘴炮”着称的川普在新年首周再度发表意外惊人言论。因此，本周元旦周并不意味着市场行情清淡，且根据往年经历，新年首周意外“爆雷”也不是不可能，因此在国际市场持仓的交易者需保持警惕。
　　
　　从技术面上看，金价在上周上涨后似乎出现短期看涨倾向。不过，在上周五的盘整性回撤之后，空头将在年底前瞄准更多的下行走势。绝影称，空头的短期获利目标将在1509dollar/Ounces1507dollar/盎司或更低的1505dollar/盎司水平附近。另一方面，多头将希望金价快速反弹向1515dollar/盎司或者更高的1518dollar/盎司水平。从日线图来看，金价近期突破下降通道，似乎形成了看涨突破，这表明多头试图逆转趋势。在最近金价上涨之后，日线图中相对强弱指标(RSI)已经接近超买水准，这可能引发金价短期回调。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：3051562977Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1Suggestions1518Short nearby, stop loss1523, Objective1510-1505；
　　
　　2Suggestions1500Long nearby, stop loss1495, Objective1507-1509；
　　
　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情瞬息万变，具体进场点位以绝影论金微信（mot686)The actual offer shall prevail;

　　


       ————原油行情分析
　　
　　国际油价窄幅震荡,整体维持三个半月高位。受美国EIA原油库存降至两个月来最低水平、股市走高、OPEC+深化减产等利好影响,oil price4周周线收阳,取得4月以来最长周连涨。不过由于减产联盟脆弱,全球原油需求低迷,2020年油价供需仍不平衡,将会体现为供大于求的格局,这给油价中期下行埋下了伏笔。俄罗斯表示,OPEC+的原油减产稳定了全球石油市场,但不会永远持续下去,because2020year3月份以后,该减产协议的未来所面临的不确定性持续。
　　
　　技术面上看,美油周图保利加通道上扬,油价紧随上轨发展,14Zhou He20周均线看涨,慢步随机指标在超买区继续走高。K线图收长实体阳线,表明买盘强劲,不过技术指标出现超买迹象,警惕本周油价回调。支撑分别位于61.20、60.00、58.80,阻力依次是62.60、63.80、64.80。综合分析来看，绝影论金预计日内油价将在60.45-62.60Intrainterval oscillation,可尝试高抛吸低。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：3051562977Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
　　
　　1Suggestions62.4Short nearby, stop loss62.9, Objective61.4-60.7；
　　
　　2Suggestions61.2Long nearby, stop loss60.7, Objective61.8-62.5；
　　
　　3、行情瞬息万变、点位仅供参考，中长线布局详情请关注绝影论金官||Wei:mot686；

　　　


　新手该如何正确投资黄金原油
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
　　
　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - investing in gold and crude oil carries risks, and trading failure will be inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. In the face of investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6、制定适合自己的投资计划——生活需要规划，投资需要计划，投资不是一朝一夕的事，只有严格执行，才能从中获利。那么怎样成为黄金原油投资市场的获利者，这很关键。细想投资至今你盈利如何。
　　
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