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欧盟威胁施压英镑,英镑低位盘整(GBP/USD)
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达56Individual points, closing up0.24%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口,布林中轨趋于上行,汇价持续承压于中轨下方;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于下行,汇价运行于MA5上方;日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the Yin column is relatively large, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to46-47Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3000,突破则看向布林中轨,下方支撑关注1.2915。
Fundamentals:据泰晤士报,在英欧贸易谈判中,欧洲将威胁阻止伦敦金融城进入欧洲市场。一份文件显示,未来两周时间内,欧盟政府将开始内部谈话,可能对适当性(个人数据)和等效性(金融服务)相关问题做出决定。据悉,伦敦金融城都是衍生品交易和清算的全球领先者,根据公开数据显示,伦敦金属交易所(LME)今年已清算了价值174万亿欧元的衍生品,这个份额已经占到该市场75%左右,而以欧元计价的掉期交易也已占到90%.
API库存显示需求旺盛,油价涨势不休(USOIL)
Technical aspect:WTIcrude oilThe previous trading day's amplitude reached74Individual points, closing up0.46%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行,油价持续贴近布林上轨;日线MA5,10双线趋黏合,MA5,10双线稍趋走平;日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较小,势能无明显增减;日线RSI(14)to70-71Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above62.57Below support attention5日均线位置。
Fundamentals:受美国API原油库存减少、贸易局势向好以及欧佩克主导的限产消息影响,油价在周四创下逾三个月高位,两油均连续三个交易日收涨。本月以来油价已经上涨了12%,有望创出接近一年来的最大月度涨幅。周三的API报告称,上周美国原油库存减少了790万桶,如果周六凌晨即将公布的EIA库存数据录得和API库存水平接近,则库存量降幅将是8月份以来最大。在这情况下,两油今年有望收于年内高点;在贸易局势向好的情况下,这一种情况很可能发生。
gold迎季节性强势,多重利空因素“失效”(XAU/USD)
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达148Individual points, closing up0.77%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口,布林中轨趋于上行,金价于布林上轨上方极端超买位置运行;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行,金价运行于MA5上方;日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大,势能较前一交易日增大;日线RSI(14)to70-71一线运行,运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方阻力关注1484Below support attention5Daily moving average.
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌0.16%, closing on12.65; Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day0.27%, closing on18.36。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto12month27日增持3.51吨黄金,为连续第四度增持,持仓量增至892.37吨。在美股上涨、美国国债收益率反弹和美元相对坚挺的情况下,黄金依然继续上涨,这显示了黄金较强的抗跌性。黄金在岁末年初往往取得不错的涨幅,过去十年中,从圣诞节后的第一个交易日至来年1月底这一时间段,黄金只有两次录得下跌。
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