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Recentlycrude oil总体呈现涨势,主要还是得益于供应端有力支撑,也就是来自OPEC减产政策提振和美国库存下降提振,这使得市场对于原油供应过剩担忧得到持续缓解,进而支撑油价走强。
具体来看,第17sessionOPECAnd nonOPEC产油国部长级监督委员会(JMMC)会议落下帷幕,双方已经就扩大减产达成一致,在2020年第一季度双方将合理额外减产5010000 barrels/日,从而令减产规模扩大至17010000 barrels/Day.
Wednesday Beijing time(12month25day)In the early morning, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of12month20Day and WeekAPIReduction in crude oil inventory790Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease183.310000 barrels;Increase in gasoline inventory56.610000 barrels;Reduced inventory of refined oil51.4Ten thousand barrels.
昨日罗斯能源部长诺瓦克称,将继续与石油输出国组织(OPEC)合作支持市场,瓦克周一(12month23day)接受采访时称,只要合作“取得有效成果”,参与减产协议的OPEC、俄罗斯和其他生产国将继续合作,直到市场认为需要结束为止。
从技术上看,原油连续在经过一轮调整在400一线止跌后开启了反弹,近期在震荡整理后突破460一线压力后再次走强,今日盘中一度逼近490一线压力,短期如果能突破则有望继续上行,上方看前高520,如果突破不了则短期将继续在460-490Interval oscillation.
Overall,OPEC继续减产且预期继续增加,同时美国原油库存继续下降,短期市场对于原油供应过剩担忧将得到持续缓解,这将支撑原油继续走强,如果短线突破490一线则有望继续上行并有望挑战前高。