Bo Hu Lun Jin:12.24黄金短期震荡偏多但不改大区间震荡黄金走势分析

The road to investment is long, and there are many who follow the trend!However, those who do not plan for the overall situation are not enough to plan for a city. The market situation is unpredictable and unpredictable. Only by setting one's mind, observing the situation, planning and moving forward, not being confused by the heart, not trapped in the situation, and strategizing can one win a thousand miles away. Doubt can filter out risks, but it can also miss opportunities. To seize opportunities, one must be brave enough to try. If one lacks ambition, even with the help of influential people, it will eventually be difficult to achieve their goals. As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time one should focus on observation, patiently wait for the best opportunity, avoid frequent entry, and avoid attempting to capture all fluctuations in operations. Also, do not expect to make correct judgments on each market segment, and be cautious and precise!
　　
　　周一公布的11月耐用品订单乐律为-2%, lower than market expectations1.5%, previous value is0.5%。
　　
　　美国耐用品需求下降，11Monthly rate of durable goods orders recorded-2%，远远不及分析师的预期，国防订单减少是主要原因。国防资本货物订单按月跌35.6%。除去国防方面的因素，11月总体订单增长0.8%. since6月以来，耐用品订单大多称上涨趋势，不过，民用飞机领域持续疲软。波音737 MAX飞机在3月全球停飞以来，订单逐步下降。目前该公司已计划在明年1月停止MAX的生产。耐用品订单增幅远低于市场预期的1.2%，这表明尽管消费者信心有所改善，但上个月制造业仍面临着持续的逆风。
　　
The United States announced on Monday11月新屋销售总数年化为71.9万户，低于市场预期73.5.
　　
Although the United States11月新屋销售总数年化增幅有所下滑，但新建独栋房屋销售较前月增长，这是美国楼市在低利率和经济稳定增长的背景下出现期待已久的回升的最新迹象。美国房地产市场今年有所回升，一定程度上是因为美联储下调了利率，让一些购房者更能负担得起抵押贷款利率。
　　
　　2020yeargold预计将迎来不俗的一年，因市场预计2020年美国衰退风险将会徘徊不散。制造业处于困境，就业市场接近充分就业之际开始放缓，以及每隔一段时间收益率曲线就会倒挂，这些现象表明美国历史上最长的扩张期几乎将会终结。根据彭博调查的经济学家预估中值，未来12个月经济衰退的可能性为30%。
　　
　　当前贸易消息释放形式化的改善信号，但尚未给出一份实际的签署，其次众人皆知美联储并不会很快考虑加息，这使得黄金仍然获得看涨机遇。
　　
According toCME“美联储观察”：美联储明年1月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is97.8%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is0%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is2.2%； By next year3月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is93.6%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is4.3%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is2.1%
　　
Today's Focus:
　　
　　23:00 U.S.A12Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
　　国际黄金周一震荡收涨，周一早间进价开盘于1478一线，开盘初期金价小幅下探1477.5一线后开启走高模式。亚盘交易时间进价维持短线较为强劲上行延续，进入下午盘进价最高触及1485一线后一度维持高点强势维持，形成阶段性自1477-1485短线单边上行。欧盘交易时间进价扩大高点回落幅度开启震荡走低，美盘开盘初期进价最低回踩1481一线后维持震荡走高形成对1486一线上探后收盘于1485一线。日线录得实体柱较为强劲阳线，短期金价维稳于日线移动平均线技术指标支撑位价格上方，截止目前为止金价整体维持偏震荡走高延续，短期金价回落或面临较强技术指标支撑位价格影响，当前高点压力位价格区间窄幅维持形成较为强劲单边下行概率较低。四小时线显示随着金价短期震荡区间再度上行，整体四小时移动平均线呈整齐向上发散排列，当前金价仍处于技术指标多头呈现形态。日内谨慎维持偏多区间操作思路。
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
Gold rebound1488-1494Short on the front line, stop loss4USD, target1470；
　　
Gold Callback1477-1480Long on the front line, stop loss4USD, target1484；
　　
　　行情瞬息万变具体操作以博虎论金（V-亻丶言：KD1394）实时指导为准，对行情把握不够好、对进场点位把握不够准确、今日利润，你错过了吗？
　　
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
　　
The above views only represent the personal views of Bohu Lunjin. Thank you for your continuous support. Welcome to share, share, and comment, let's grow together! If you feel that the above views on Bo Hu Lun Jin are helpful to you, you can try adding Bo Hu Lun JinvxNumber“KD1394”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
　　
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin Micro（KD1394）
　　
Direction guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
Wen/Bo Hu Lun Jin