Bo Hu Lun Jin:12.23黄金持续震荡耐心等待区间突破黄金走势分析

The path of trading is gradual and step-by-step. When you miss the beginning of a trend, there is no need to worry about whether to participate in the end of the trend. Doubt and cowardice are both obstacles to success. Success comes from trying, and even a journey of a thousand miles must be taken first. There is no success without the risk of failure. The strong will make way for you, while the weak will find it difficult to move forward. To fly higher, one must first dive lower. Those who observe the overall situation will not care about the gains and losses of a city or a place. To cultivate oneself with calmness, to cultivate virtue with frugality. Soldiers facing the city are calm and calm, those in danger are able to turn misfortune into good fortune, those who stumble into a desperate situation but survive in a desperate situation, not only need to have the experience of rushing through the sand, but also the magnanimity that must be possessed by those who achieve great things. A person whose immediate interests can blind their eyes is destined to miss even greater opportunities.
　　
Message face:
　　
United States11月消费者支出稳健增长，显示经济温和增长，这可能支持美联储无限期维持利率不变的意愿，尽管通胀水平依然温和。
　　
United States11Monthly CorePCEPrice index annual rate recorded1.6%, CorePCE物价指数月率为0.1%，符合市场预期及前值。（美国12月一年期通胀率预期为自2016year12月以来最低水平，与2017year10月持平。）
　　
　　周五公布的美国第三季度实际GDP年化几率终值为2.1%, in line with market expectations.
　　
　　评论称，美国第三季度经济增速有所提高，并且有迹象表明，在强劲的劳动力市场的支撑下，年末经济或多或少保持了适度的增长速度，夏季时金融市场对经济衰退的担忧已经消退。
　　
　　美国第三季度实际个人消费支出季率录得3.2%，高于市场预期。
　　
　　评论称，美国消费者支出比预期强劲。电力基础设施等非住宅方面上的支出也有所增加，这限制了总体投资的下降，抵消了房屋建设投资和库存积累的下修。
　　
　　分析称，10月数据表明，在经历数月挣扎后，美国制造业出现企稳迹象。展望11月报告，通用汽车罢工事件结束意味着汽车及其零部件订单将全面反弹，但汽车行业以外的活动依然承受压力。若未来两年经济增长符合预期，美联储将无需调整利率；若实际GDP增长超出预期，美联储则可以开始讨论加息，不过加息可能至少要到2021年才有可能开始。预计美联储将在可预见的未来内（至少直至2021年结束）维持利率不变。随着收入增长，美国消费者能够继续支出并同时保持储蓄，消费者支出有望支撑美国第四季度增长。
　　
　　贸易局势：
　　
　　报道显示，美国国会众议院12month19日高票批准“美国—墨西哥—加拿大协定”修订版，为这一北美地区自由贸易新框架的生效扫除重要障碍。取得贸易进展后，美国政府开始将矛头转向欧洲，有意借助关税手段施压欧洲联盟改变双边贸易现状。一些市场分析师认为，欧美贸易摩擦如果升级，将冲击规模接近1.3万亿美元的双边贸易，对全球经济前景带来巨大不确定性。
　　
　　美国商务部长罗斯表示，预测美墨加协定（USMCA）将会得到参议院的支持。预测未来一年美墨加协定（USMCA）将会为美国汽车行业带来7.5万新的就业机会。
　　
This week's focus is on:
　　
Monday:21:30 U.S.A11月耐用品订单月率、加拿大10monthGDPMonthly rate;23:00 U.S.A11Annualized total monthly sales of new homes;
　　
Tuesday:23:00 U.S.A12Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index;
　　
Thursday:21:30 From the United States to12month21日当周初请失业金人数；
　　
　　周五：07:30 Japan11Monthly unemployment rate;17:00 Switzerland12monthZEWInvestor confidence index;
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
　　gold技术面来分析，日线上看，黄金上周五并未有效突破1480关口，而是雅.源预期再次冲高回落，日线收得小阴十字星，日线图上，高点不断变低，低点不断更低，形成下行通道，K线有效运行于下行通道之中，下行风险依旧存在；4小时上看，黄金自本周以来一直持于1470-1482运行，多次上探1480关口并没有实质性的突破，当前布林带即将收口，MA5Daily line andMA10线即将向下死叉，KDJThe three lines of random indicators are parallel downwards,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，综合来看，日内黄金大概率将会延续1470-1482区间运行，由于假期来临，并没有有效消息面来支撑黄金或打破此趋势，操作博虎论金建议高空低多进行布局。
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
Rebound1480-1485Close in, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1470-1475；
　　
Withdrawal1468-1470Close in, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1475-1480；
　　
　　行情瞬息万变具体操作以博虎论金（V-亻丶言：KD1394）实时指导为准，对行情把握不够好、对进场点位把握不够准确、今日利润，你错过了吗？
　　
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
　　
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin Micro（KD1394）
　　
Direction guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
Wen/Bo Hu Lun Jin