This week(12month23Solstice12month28日)恰逢西方圣诞节,欧美多数国家将迎来假期,预计金融市场的整体交投会受到限制。本周主要数据包括美国11月耐用品订单数据和中国11月规模以上工业企业利润年率。因圣诞节假期,定于每周三公布的EIAcrude oil库存数据延迟到周五纽约时段,即北京时间12month28日周六公布。事件方面,投资者需继续关注特朗普遭弹劾、英国脱欧和国际贸易局势等,以及日本央行的10Minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting.
黄金今年迄今表现较为出色,目前年度涨幅达到15%左右,金价在夏季迅猛上涨,在10月初一度触及高位1550美元上方,但随后很快回落,迄今跌至1500Below the US dollar.
黄金日线来看:日线窄幅震荡;MACDSlight golden cross,KDJ轻微金叉,但均线交织,金价受到下行趋势线和布林线上轨的压制,短线走势缺乏明确方向;留意1468.60-1484.21区域突破情况,前者是布林线中轨支撑,后者是布林线上轨阻力。若上破1484.21Nearby resistance is expected to be further explored100Daily moving average1492.00附近阻力;进一步强阻力在1500整数关口附近;短线的话,隔夜触及的近一周高点1481.76There are also some resistance nearby.
gold4From an hourly perspective:金价震荡回撤,MACD绿色动能柱扩大,KDJ随机指标继续走低,指示黄金短线指示黄金短线回撤动能有所强化,接下来或继续展开回撤。布林线上轨对金价形成压制,留意布林线中1472附近支撑,若下破该支撑,金价可能会重新试探布林线下轨1467附近支撑,能否进一步下破还有待观察;若进一步下破,则增加后市看空信号。若意外强势顶破布林线上轨1482附近阻力,则可能会打开上涨通道。综合来看,周初短线操作思路上单晨金个人建议采取区间内高沽低渣即可,上方短期重点关注1480-1482Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1468-1470Frontline support.
12.23Suggestions for morning gold trading:
1Suggest using1481-1483Consider short selling and stop loss nearby4US dollars, look at the target1475-1473Near USD
2Suggest using1473-1475Consider going long and stopping losses nearby4US dollars, look at the target1481-1483Near USD
Author: Dan Chenjin Author's Message: The true essence of trading lies in elegance and tastelessness σ-σ:330-5379-776 V-Letter:scj366 WeChat official account: Shan Chenjin