Jue Ying Lun Jin:12.17黄金多空胶着待破位爆发 原油黄金行情走势操作

The financial market is fair to everyone. Since some people make money, others must also lose money. The most important thing about investing is not how much money you can earn in a week. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits in the long run. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods and strategies. As long as they are suitable, achieving stable profits is a good method, but there is really no shortcut to making profits in investment, Only like an ascetic monk, do homework diligently every day and accumulate diligently. Only by steadily grasping short-term returns on a daily basis can we go further on the investment path. Do not rush for quick success or profit, go against the trend, and compete with the market for long or short.
　　
　　美国政府会不会再次停摆？
　　
　　倘若美国政府能够避免停摆、政府工作人员不用休假，则金价可能遭遇冲击。2018year12month22Solstice2019year1month25日美国政府经历了历史上最长的一次政府停摆，在此期间金价上涨了3%多一点。另外，若美国国会无法就预算达成一致从而导致政府再次关门，则金价有望收复近期部分跌幅。在市场预计本周美国第四季度经济增长将表现强劲之际，若最近国际贸易紧张关系得以缓解令市场对美联储的2020年降息预期降温，则本周gold价格可能下跌。
　　
　　绝影论金个人观点;国际贸易局势的乐观预期有所升温，帮助美国股市再创历史记录新高，打压避险情绪；金价承压于1480整数关口，美元指数有些企稳迹象，短线金价面临震荡下行的风险。当然，还需留意特朗普“弹劾门”的相关消息。国际油价徘徊于三个月高位，连续录得3个交易日收涨，目前看涨押注升至4月以来最高。因投资者仍憧憬两大经济体将达成全面的贸易协议，刺激石油需求，再加上OPEC+协议将进一步抑制产量，摩根大通和高盛均上修明年油价预估。但需要注意，美国EIA公布的月度预期报告中称，美国七大页岩油产区1monthcrude oil产量料增加2.910000 barrels/日，至创纪录的91410000 barrels/日，这可能令油价上行空间受到限制。
　　
————Analysis of Gold Market
　　
　　目前美元指数小幅上涨，因约翰逊打算修法确保不延长脱欧过渡期，增加了担忧情绪，英镑大幅走弱，给美元反弹提供了机会；现货黄金则继续窄幅震荡，由于国际贸易局势的乐观预期升温，隔夜受到1480关口附近阻力压制，短线小幅震荡下行的风险有所增加；追踪市场风险偏好的恐慌指数连续五个交易日大幅回落，刷新逾三周的低位，暗示市场的风险偏好继续回升，这对金价构成压力。尽管近期市场风险偏好大幅回升，但是黄金总体回落幅度有限，因市场对于全球经济复苏前景仍持谨慎态度。
　　
　　假如金价突破1480.50dollar/盎司阻力水平，那么金价将很快开始上升趋势，随后金价料进一步升至阻力水平1486dollar/盎司。不过，金价可能自这一水平开始回调，并重新跌至1474dollar/盎司。绝影认为，一旦金价跌破1473dollar/盎司，金价将很快开始下行趋势，随后金价料进一步跌至支撑水平1465dollar/ounce.4小时图上看，金价暂时陷入窄幅盘整格局，MACD红色动能柱不变且实体较窄，但KDJ随机指标继续走低，指示黄金短线动能喜忧参半，接下来或继续进行一段时间的窄幅盘整。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：3051562977Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1Suggestions1483Short nearby, stop loss1488, Objective1475-1472；
　　
　　2Suggestions1467Long nearby, stop loss1462, Objective1474-1478；
　　
　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情瞬息万变，具体进场点位以绝影论金微信(MOT686)The actual offer shall prevail;
　　
————Analysis of crude oil market
　　
　　投资者仍在消化中美之间达成初步协议的消息,早些时候发布的美国制造业和服务业数据显示经济强劲,也提振了市场信心。虽然在过去20个月贸易争端中加征的关税很多维持不变,但初步协议标志着中美关系的解冻;and,OPEC+本月初宣布的减产幅度超出预期。
　　
　　原油技术面日线上看，隔日原油因市场风险情绪较好，延续前两个交易日涨势，再次收涨，日线收小阳，并连续两个交易日创下三个月最高收盘价位，日线图上，原油呈现缓慢阶梯型上涨，每创一个新高都会横盘回撤，整理完毕后再次上涨，日线上我们继续看盘整；4小时上看，原油自上周触及58.092低位后，展开强势反弹，呈上行趋势一路走高，当前布林带处于开口期，MA均线呈多头排列，KDJ随机指标三线向下弯钩，MACD指标顶背离，快慢线有向下弯钩趋势，综合来看，原油日内有回撤需求，或将延续盘整走势，日内操作绝影论金建议主高空进行布局，上方关注60.45-60.9One line of resistance, pay attention below58.7-58.2一线支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：3051562977Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
　　
　　1Suggestions60.45Short selling, stop loss60.95, Objective59.6-59.2；
　　
　　2Suggestions58.7Long, stop loss58.2, Objective59.2-59.5；
　　
　　3、行情瞬息万变、点位仅供参考，中长线布局详情请关注绝影论金官||Wei:MOT686；
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　　绝影论金分析团队投资风险管控:
　　
Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentforeign exchangeThe amount of funds traded, the amount of profits earned, and the approximate range of losses that can be borne are the basic goals through which a reasonable fund management plan can be made. However, it is also important to remind foreign exchange investors that although foreign exchange is a low-cost and high-yield investment with a hundred times leverage for gain, they should also pay attention to cost control and avoid frequent transactions that increase costs.
　　
Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.
　　
Step 3: Verify the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without practical application. After roughly developing your trading strategy, you can use the simulation account provided by the platform to verify whether the formulated strategy is effective and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.
　　
　　第四步：严格执行。这一步才是整个计划的核心所在，任何一次的随性交易所带来的损失都可能是致命的，Foreign exchange transactionsUnable to withstand any deviation. Planned trading is necessary to better control risks, accurately follow market trends, and achieve profits. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!
　　
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